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phillyjabroni

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Mar. 8, 2017
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Philadelphia Flyers
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Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 9, 2023 at 11:10 a.m.
Thread: Is this good value for all teams
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ennis</b></div><div>He's never been more than a depth defenseman and that's really all he'll be on a genuine contender. He's just getting loaded minutes on a bad team and looks good in a short 20 game sample size. A GM would be insane to pay any sort of price near a first</div></div>

I don't think his utilization is going to be a depth defensemen on a contending team. While he averages second-pair TOI for the Flyers, his per/60 rates are one of the best in the NHL with respect to shot generation and expected goals suppression. Walker is also doing this in the context of having average puck luck (PDO = 1.000) and having a relatively worse deployment (o-zone start time = 43.52%) compared to others. Can't really qualify the Flyers as a "bad team", considering they are currently in the playoff picture a week into December. I don't anticipate they will remain a playoff team, but the Flyers certainly have not played poorly this year. He's closer to being worth a 1st than he is a 3rd.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 8, 2023 at 9:34 p.m.
Thread: Darren Dreger thinks the Flyers can get a 1st round pick for Sean Walker
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>justinhollfan3</b></div><div>Yeah this is not going to work for the leafs.
To start, Ristolainen is not good and carries a huge cap hit for what he brings on the ice. Additionally he plays the opposite style that we want in a defenseman. Even if Ristolainen is retained he is not worth Cowan, the first, or reaves, much less all 3. We also dont have to pay to dump reaves because we can waive/send him down and only retain 200k in the buried penalty. Cowan is a top prospect of the leafs and if you want him youre going to have to pay us in assets/players we can actually use to make our team better, not somebody that makes us worse and inhibits us from furthering the team.</div></div>

What play style are you looking for in a defensemen? Since last year, the only regular defensemen with a lower xGA/60 on TOR is Brodie compared to Risto. Risto would also be the best in HDCA/60 on TOR since last year.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 7, 2023 at 1:15 p.m.
Thread: TDL Ideas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Burnzie8_88_4Cup</b></div><div>I don’t want to lose him., but if you get him, you’ll love him, he’s a Torts kinda player.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>phillyjabroni</b></div><div>Sanheim is going to stay on the right side for the indefinite future and there is one RHD in the system so it makes sense to keep him there. Andrea really the only defensemen on the left side that has potential. Zamula I don't think is really going to be anything more than he is now but wouldn't be outside of this world to have him become more of a solid 4/5. Been a fan of Ferraro since DY and he's got a really high motor and jumps up on the rush. Would fit beautifully with Tortorella.</div></div>

https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/776194
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 6, 2023 at 6:36 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 6, 2023 at 6:02 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 3, 2023 at 11:09 a.m.
Thread: Deadly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Affectionate_Side_64</b></div><div>This would only be for 3 years, and if you choose to keep you'd have 5.1 mil against the cap instead of 2 mil against the cap, two 3rds and a 5th. The reason for retaining is to get more value back, and you will need that cap near the end of his tenure. He does not fit your window and you are rebuilding, it makes sense to get whatever you can for the assets that don't fit your window. Darts on the draft board and clear the salary of players that don't fit your window of contention are exactly what rebuilding/retooling teams look for, and you've already started on that path by trading Provorov and Hayes. You can debate the value, but the logic is clear.</div></div>

The logic that the Flyers should accumulate draft capital is clear, but this trade doesn't line up with the most efficient method to do so. Rebuilding teams should maximize their chances to draft franchise caliber players (i.e top-10 draft picks) either through selling current roster players at full cost who do not fit the timeline or leveraging cap space. This trade does neither: the Flyers trade a player, who has improved his play under the new coaching staff, is not currently blocking any prospects, and would rather chance that he develops into the player they want him to over the additional dart throws, as well as lock up their 2nd retained salary spot until 2026-27 for draft picks that have a very slim chance of becoming a regular NHL-player, let along an impact player.

If teams want Ristolainen, they can have him at his full cap hit. If not, the Flyers are better to keep him. Provorov yielded a 1st, (2) 2nds, and a prospect. Hayes was blocking additional young players and the value of having those prospects in the lineup outweighs the cost of his dead cap hit + usage of a RS spot.

Marginal benefit &lt; Marginal cost, do not execute the trade.