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phoenix159

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Jan. 11, 2017
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Forum: Armchair-GMMay 3, 2019 at 4:26 p.m.
Thread: Realistic Retool
Wow, I think you need to review some of these trades:

Ottawa is in rebuild mode. While it <strong>may </strong>be possible to convince them to take JJ as a cap dump, it probably requires a better prospect and/or a high draft pick.

Not sure why Nashville would give up Sissions plus a pick when they could just try to resign Simmonds - Similar money, simliar player. And I'm pretty sure they'd rather just resign Sissions with that money rather than get Hornqvist.

Coyotes don't need another 2nd pair Dman, doubly so if it would cost them a pick.

Pretty sure the Wild would jump on that trade... but why do the Pens trade Hornqvist then trade a bunch of assets to get a similar player/contract back?

Huge overpay for Pettersson. Sure, he looked pretty good this year, but this was still his first full season. He doesn't have arbitration rights, so a 2-3 year deal makes more sense, plus he's still a RFA afterwards, which is good for the Pens.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 3, 2019 at 2:47 p.m.
Thread: Please JR give the young D a Chance
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>WhatsaMaattaWithYou</b></div><div>Low ball Pettersson and give raises to players who haven't proved anything at the NHL level. What was the point of dumping salary to overpay unproven players? Isn't this why the Penguins are in the situation they're in? So if you are trying to correct Rutherford's mistakes, who is going to correct yours?</div></div>

I have no idea what you're talking about. Pettersson is the only RFA who isn't arbitration eligible and only has 1.5 seasons in the league. He's not going to cash-in on this contract. All the others will need RFA tenders which means they are guaranteed at least a 5% raise, I believe. Prow is an UFA, so he needs a decent contract or he likely signs somewhere else. Regardless, $50-100k/year isn't going to make-or-break this lineup.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 3, 2019 at 2:09 p.m.
Thread: Please JR give the young D a Chance
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jfstompers</b></div><div>Tampa can do better for cheaper on the ufa market than Johnson and get a player that fits them better.</div></div>

There's certainly better players available - but how does Tampa afford them with their cap squeeze? I doubt TB wants to fill the D4 thru 7 spots on their roster with nothing but guys with less than 1 full season in the league. Assuming they trade a forward for a 2nd pairing guy (pick one of the million proposed trades on the site) and assuming they have the 6-7 spots for young guys, they still need a cheap veteran. Maybe you don't want that to be Johnson, but I think he's decent in that role at the right price. Let me know if I'm missing something.

While I'd much rather get rid of Johnson, the Pens could alternatively trade Maatta, but that's a different thread entirely. Bottom line is the Pens have 3 guys (Guds, JJ, &amp; Maatta) who all are borderline 4/5 D and need to drop 2 of them. Tampa seems like a fit for JJ with retained salary and a pick sweetener.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 3, 2019 at 1:27 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 9, 2018 at 12:18 p.m.
Thread: Karlsson rental
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Chigurrhh</b></div><div>Without the Schultz cap hit and with Guentzel taking a bridge deal between 5-6 million (just pretend that Guentzel is getting Schultz's cap space), there should be enough space to sign Karlsson. This means the 4th line is going to be pretty cheap, but it's certainly possible. The cap should go up a few million (lets say 3). Brassard, Sheahan, and Hagelin all have expiring deals for a total of $8.1 million. Bellerive could potentially play 3rd line center. Blueger is said to be ready to center the fourth line already. ZAR can take the wing on the 3rd or 4th line. This leaves 10-11 million to sign Karlsson.

And of course, other moves could be made to clear space.</div></div>

3 million seems like a pretty optimistic cap increase and I would be shocked if Bellerive was ready to make the leap to the NHL full-time in 19-20.

Brassard / Sheahan / Hagelin cap hits total 9.1million, but you're not going to be able to replace all of them with minimum salary players. Even if the cap jumps 3 million AND you get Guentzel for 5.5 AND Bellerive is ready... Karlsson is going to want 10.5-11 million, which leaves you maybe a million in cap space to replace Hagelin, and remember that ZAR will be due a raise as well. You're now completely out of cap space. Technically possible, but what if the cap only goes up 2 million?
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 31, 2018 at 3:29 p.m.
Thread: Erik Karlsson
As previously mentioned, Vegas does this deal in a heart-beat: Elite winger and overpriced middle-6 winger all for a single 1st round pick? Of course!

Ottawa gets two first-round picks and a replacement 2/3D and sheds Ryan's contract? That basically meets their reported asking price, except they're getting two picks instead of a pick and a prospect.

Pittsburgh... eh. I'm assuming this trade is contingent on an extension for Karlsson in the $11+ million range, given all the salary cleared. So they definitely get a big boost to their D at the expense of a 1st and an elite forward. I guess that's not completely unreasonable?

I'm not sure why this is getting so much hate. The Sens are getting a lot of assets for a player that really sounds like he's ready to leave for *nothing* after one more year. Vegas makes out like bandits. Pens improve their defense, but at significant cost. Not saying this is likely, since who knows how all the various GM's and players with NTC's feel, but it's far more reasonable than some of the stuff you see proposed here.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 28, 2018 at 7:51 a.m.
Thread: fil 2
Kunitz isn't done, he still put up near 30 points in limited minutes, killed penalties, and has "championship experience", for whatever that's worth. Some GM is going to offer him a contract. I don't really *want* the Pens to sign him, but I don't think this contract is unreasonable. I think the Pens would be better off trying to filling the spot with one of their prospects, though.

I'm pretty sure Cullen is either going to retire or resign with the Wild. If he wanted to play for Pittsburgh, he wouldn't have left last summer.

Still hoping the Johnson contract is for 3-4 years at most. And despite that, all of his fancy stats say he's terrible and isn't anything better than a 6/7D man. But yeah, this seems to match all the rumors.

Kühnhackl supposedly already turned down a 2 year contract, so he's probably looking to sign somewhere that will give him more minutes.

You need to flip Rust/Sprong in your lineup. Rust can play either side, but as far as I know, Sprong has only ever played RW.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 10, 2017 at 4:19 p.m.
Thread: Possible Quick Rebuild
I think all of those trades are lopsided in Detroit's favor:

-No reason for the Av's to take on Ericsson's contract for just a 6th round pick, no matter how much they need bodies on D.
-Helm is overpayed and the Pen's can't afford him. They would've just kept Bonino, who's a better player, got a similar contract, and wouldn't cost a pick.
-The Green trade is probably the most reasonable, but no contender is going to be able to accommodate his cap hit without retained salary.
-Mrazek isn't worth a 1st. Goalies generally don't get huge returns in a trade, and his numbers for the past year were terrible. This reminds me of all the crazy Fleury trades people were proposing before the expansion draft. Maybe a 3rd round pick if a team is desperate after an injury.
-I don't see the Jets trading Trouba unless the offer blows them away. They didn't trade him last year, why would they trade him now?

Assuming they were able to move enough salary, I could see Jagr taking that contract. But I don't think these moves work as-is.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 12, 2017 at 2:14 p.m.
Thread: PHIL KESSEL IS A 2X STANLEY CUP CHAMP
Fleury has reportedly already waived for expansion:
<a href="https://www.murphyshockeylaw.net/murphys-hockey-law/mhl-per-nhl-sources-marc-andre-fleury-waived-his-modified-nmc-for-expansion-draft/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.murphyshockeylaw.net/murphys-hockey-law/mhl-per-nhl-sources-marc-andre-fleury-waived-his-modified-nmc-for-expansion-draft/</a>

Vegas needs at least two NHL level goaltenders and Fleury is most likely to be the best available (in the short term). But assuming LV doesn't want Fleury, who do they take? Cole/Rust/Pouliot/Hagelin are likely candidates, and I'm not sure any of them offer more value than Fleury. Rust may be close, depending on if you think he can still score away from Crosby/Malkin.

I think Bonino is going to get offered $4 mil x 4 years somewhere else. If somehow he's willing to take less to stay in Pittsburgh, I wouldn't be angry with that contract. Seems like an overpay for Eliot, but the goalie market is going to be weird this off season, so who knows.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 12, 2017 at 4:53 p.m.
Thread: RFA signings and Fleury trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Adamitis</b></div><div>Lehner is really good
Buffalo doesn't need Fleury
Maybe with the 2 million retained Carolina or Winnipeg would be interested....
Or even a trade to Vegas post Exp. Draft</div></div>

My understanding (from a friend who follows Buffalo more than I do) is that Lehner has been inconsistent and the Sabres management may not want to commit to a long term contract that he'll probably be seeking. Bringing in a competitor for the starting spot (even if it isn't Fleury) seems like a good move.

Calgary/Winnipeg/LV are all options from a needs/cap space point of view, but no guarantee that Fleury waives his NTC to go west. Carolina probably needs to send a goalie back (AND still needs to have one to expose to the draft) which won't work with the Pen's cap.