There are a few young RFA forwards still yet to sign, but whoever signs first at this point will most likely dictate the value of all other RFA’s. A direct comparable, a team comparable, and cap space will all be taken into account when projecting these contracts. The direct comparable will be a player from any team who has a similar playing style and value to the player. The team comparable will be a teammate who plays similar minutes and has a similar role.
Mikko Rantanen - $8,000,000 x 5
Direct comparable – Blake Wheeler, $8,250,000 x 5
Team comparable – Nathan MacKinnon, $6,300,000 x 7
Colorado Avalanche cap space – $16,400,000
Sakic hasn’t reached out to Rantanen yet and is waiting for other RFA’s to sign before contract negotiations with Rantanen pick up. He has lots of cap space to sign Rantanen and Rantanen has previously expressed lots of interest in staying in Colorado. The big playmaking winger will most likely earn more than MacKinnon and become Colorado’s highest paid player.
Mathew Tkachuk – $7,000,000 x 6
Direct comparable – Brad Marchand, $6,125,000 x 8
Team comparable – Johnny Gaudreau, $6,750,000 x 6
Calgary Flames cap space – $7,750,000
This deal would make Tkachuk the highest paid player on Calgary. He’s a great net-front presence and is a textbook agitator. He put up numbers very similar to Marchand when he was nearing his contract year.
Kyle Connor – $6,500,000 x 7
Direct Comparable – David Pastrnak, $6,666,666 x 6
Team Comparable – Nikolaj Ehlers, $6,000,000 x 7
Winnipeg Jets cap space – $17,500,000
Connor is a great offensive-minded winger capable who is a goal scorer and a play maker. He will most likely end up with something similar to teammate Nikolaj Ehlers, who signed a 7 x $6,000,000 deal last season.
Patrick Laine – $3,500,000 x 2
Winnipeg Jets Cap Space – $17,500,000
I skipped comparables because I think Laine will most likely get a bride deal. The potential is there, but Laine often looked lost last season, especially in the D zone. He is definitely capable of being a consistent 40+ goal scorer but has been two one-dimensional and inconsistent to earn a long term contract or big money. He did have 30 goals last season, but 11 of those were scored in three games. Offering him a long term deal would be risky.
Brock Boeser – $6,500 ,000 x 6
Direct Comparable – David Pastrnak, $6,666,666 x 6
Team Comparable – Bo Horvat, $5,500,000 x 6
Vancoucer Canucks cap space – $6,500,000
Boeser is a great producing winger and will only get better. This would be a pretty standard contract for a winger who generates offense.
Braden Point –$9,000,000 x 8
Direct Comparable – Leon Draisaitl, $8,500,000 x 8
Team Comparable – Steven Stamkos, $8,500,000 x 8
Tampa Bay Lightning cap space – $9,000,000
This would be a deal that would put Points AAV right between Stamkos and Kucherov. Tampa has consistently gone with long contracts up and down their roster and the Vasilevskiy and Gourde signings show that Brisebois is probably going to continue on that method.
Mitch Marner – No clue
Direct Comparable – Johnny Gaudreau, $6,750,000 x 6
Team Comparable – Auston Mathews, $11,634,000 x 5
Toronto Maple Leafs cap space – It’s complicated
I’m not going to pretend I know the CBA or what Dubas is up to. From what I can understand, they have at least $9,000,000 to sign him, but apparently he wants more. Marners teammates seem to be extremely confident that he will sign.
Even on a bridge deal Laine will cost $7M like it or not.
If these players were looking for what you're suggesting here they'd almost all surely be signed by now.
Either these RFA'S are beyond greedy and think they're worth far more then they actually are or the union is telling them to hold out for as long as possible to make the most money possible.
3.5x2 is way too low for Laine even on a 2 year bridge.
Probably, you could easily justify him making more but keep in mind the Kuch bridge deal was 2.75 x 3. The Laine deal I made was more about the term and less about the AAV.
Probably, you could easily justify him making more but keep in mind the Kuch bridge deal was 2.75 x 3. The Laine deal I made was more about the term and less about the AAV.
I'm like 90% sure the kuch deal was 5. Something x3, and the cap has gone up since then sooooo
McDavid, Connor
$250,000)
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