Some overpays - Some underpays - Can Grier get a W this TDL

Created by: yikes

Team: 2023-24 San Jose Sharks

Initial Creation Date: Jan. 2, 2024

Published: Jan. 2, 2024

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Legend

Left Handed

Original Team

Waivers Exempt

Right Handed

Position

Trade Clause

Max Perf. Bonus

Expiry Status

Term Remaining

McDavid, Connor

$12,500,000 ( Performance Bonus

$250,000)

NMC

UFA - 5

Free Agent Signings

CREATED	YEARS	CAP HIT
Celebrini, Macklin	3	$925,000
Brandsegg-Nygrd, Michael	3	$925,000
Demidov, Ivan	3	$925,000
Jiricek, Adam	3	$925,000
Freij, Alfons	3	$925,000

Trades

SJS

Overpay Category:
*ranked in terms of likelihood of an overpay being offered/ received*

1. Kaapo
His analytics rank him as a top 20 goalie in the league this year, and he’s dealing with the most difficult team in front of him every night (HIS OWN). Blackwood was phenomenal but has cooled offer, Kaapo has stayed hot. He’s playing his way out of SJS and clearly would want to follow Hills footsteps to a cup. I could see a 2nd or a 3rd and prospect if his overpay is met.

2. MacDonald
700k aav for a elite power forward - lol but I think he could get a 4th which is definitely a highball

3. Granlund @ 50% (2years)
Change my mind, if he’s at 50% - he clears a firsts value + asset if the overpay is met.

4. Ferraro
I’m a believer in Ferraro and trading him for scraps would be idiotic but he’s a more polarizing player for fans. Some love him dearly and some hate him dearly. His overpay is a first +

5. Duclair
Least likely but his overpay would be around a 3rd - 2nd.

CAR

SJS

Underpay Category:
*ranked in terms of likelihood of a lowball being offered/ received*

1. Barabanov
He was unreal last year and has struggled a ton (+ injuries) this year. He could go for a 4th and a prospect or even just a fourth if he doesn’t turn it around in Jan/Feb.

2. Hoffman
Grier May just move him for FC.

3. Duclair
If he won’t sign Grier will just move him for best offer.

4. Rutta or Benning
Grier may move another D if Ferraros overpay isn’t met. And that could come down to one of these two going for whatever he can get.

5. Kaapo
If no one overpaid for Kaapo, he’ll accept the best offer, and despite Elliotte Friedman saying the goalie price market is absurd right now (why we’ve seen no moves yet) - some teams going to bite first, and if Grier waits too long and Kaapos one of the remaining few, his overpay won’t be met as he won’t let him walk to UFA, so he’ll accept the best offer. So I’d expect Grier wants to be the 2nd-4th goalie trade of the big names, when the values high but there’s a price set that may allow for an overpay.

CAR

SJS

Here are my predictions - trying to be as realistic as possible, please read trade descriptions.

CAR

SJS

Raanta, Antti
2024 2nd round pick (PHI)

Additional Details:

OVERPAY IS MET
With so many discussions regarding Ferraro - I’d bet it’s likely that they circle back to Kaapo and give Pytor K some help. They’re a cup team and will be going for the win. Kaapo comes cheap and Sharks can take back the dead weight. The overpay is met here.

*Sharks receive the better of the TWO 2nds in 2024 if CAR reach the ECF, if not they receive the worst of the two*

CAR

Kähkönen, Kaapo
2026 7th round pick (SJS)

Additional Details:

Probably like the 2nd goalie (big name) traded.

SJS

Phillips, Matthew
2024 1st round pick (WSH)

Additional Details:

OVERPAY IS MET
Washington adds some great depth. Granlund comes in for their third line and provides a serviceable 2C if they get injuries and allows their Center depth to stay strong incase of injury. Phillip is moved for the roster, and Carpenter comes in as a great 12th man/ 13th man up.

WSH

Carpenter, Ryan
Granlund, Mikael ($2,500,000 retained)

Additional Details:

Wash is super interesting, their team analysis suggests they’re “bad” but they’re performing great and in the race, and can easily knock out tampa from the WC race.

They’re going to go in with Ovi and the boys and if Ovi gets hot in the playoffs or down the stretch and holds it, they’re a very tough out in the playoffs.

SJS

2024 4th round pick (COL)

Additional Details:

Lowballs accepted

COL

Additional Details:

Not sure about the financials for COL but they seem thatd love to get some dirt cheap adds if they go Elias Lindholm or a big fish.

SJS

Reaves, Ryan
2024 4th round pick (TOR)
2024 5th round pick (TOR)

Additional Details:

OVERPAY IS MET
MacDonald (elite power forward 4th liner) does Reaves job but better and buries the puck.

TOR

MacDonald, Jacob

Additional Details:

Get rid of this bad contract

SJS

2024 6th round pick (NYR)
2026 3rd round pick (NYR)

Additional Details:

Lowball accepted

NYR

Duclair, Anthony
2024 7th round pick (NJD)

Additional Details:

San Jose / NYR pay for retention on Duke, he wants to hit UFA so SJS moves him and a lowball is accepted.

SJS

PLACEHOLDER retains 1.5m on Duclair

NYR

2024 6th round pick (NYR)

10.

SJS

2024 7th round pick (BOS)

Additional Details:

Lowball accepted

ARI

Hoffman, Mike

11.

SJS

/2024 NHL DRAFT DAY/

1st Overall - Macklin Celebrini, C (🇨🇦)

… we have a trade to announce

San Jose’s pick from Pittsburgh is 13th. Valued at :
481 points. San Jose elects to trade up - with the Flyers pick (like 45, 192 points). This is valued at 673 points.

They trade up to 6th Overall which is valued at 702.
They use a 7th to make up the small gap in points.

6th Overall: Ivan Demidov, RW (🇷🇺)

20th Overall: Michael Brandsegg-Nygård, W (🇳🇴)

33rd Overall: Adam Jiricek, RHD (🇨🇿)

50th Overall: Alfons Freij, LHD (🇸🇪)

ANA

2024 1st round pick (SJS)
2024 1st round pick (PIT)
2024 1st round pick (WSH)
2024 2nd round pick (NJD)
2024 2nd round pick (PHI)
2024 7th round pick (SJS)

12.

SJS

San Jose Sharks Pool Pyramid 2024-2025
1st Tier:
Celebrini
Demidov
Smith

2nd Tier:
Mukhamadullin
Brandsegg-Nygård
Musty
Halttunen / Bystedt
Lund/ Cagoni / Jiricek / Havelids

3rd Tier:
Alfons Freij / Gushchin / Bordeleau
Furlong / Gawanke / Laroque / Fisher / Pohlkamp

4th Tier:
Ozzy / Coe / Young
Robins / Svoboda
Muldowney
Cardwell
Goalies

ANA

Buyouts

Martin Jones: $2,916,667
Rūdolfs Balcers: $308,334

Retained Salary Transactions

Brent Burns: $2,720,000 (34%)
Erik Karlsson: $1,500,000 (13.04%)
Mikael Granlund: $2,500,000 (50%)

Buried

Oskar Lindblom: $1,350,000 ($2,500,000)
Radim Simek: $1,100,000 ($2,250,000)
Nikolai Knyzhov: $100,000 ($1,250,000)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2024
2025
2026

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$83,500,000	$65,872,501	$25,000	$1,145,000	$17,627,499

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Eklund, William $863,333$863,333 ($850,000$850K) LW RFA - 3	Hertl, Tomas $6,750,000$6,750,000 C NMC UFA - 7	Zetterlund, Fabian $1,450,000$1,450,000 RW RFA - 2
Zadina, Filip $1,100,000$1,100,000 RW, LW RFA - 1	Couture, Logan $8,000,000$8,000,000 C M-NTC UFA - 4	Phillips, Matthew $775,000$775,000 RW, C UFA - 1
Studnicka, Jack $762,500$762,500 RW, C RFA - 1	Kunin, Luke $2,750,000$2,750,000 RW, C RFA - 1	Bailey, Justin $775,000$775,000 RW UFA - 1
Smith, Givani $800,000$800,000 LW, RW UFA - 2	Sturm, Nico $2,000,000$2,000,000 C UFA - 2	Reaves, Ryan $1,350,000$1,350,000 RW UFA - 3

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Ferraro, Mario $3,250,000$3,250,000 LD UFA - 3	Emberson, Ty $775,000$775,000 RD RFA - 1	Blackwood, Mackenzie $2,350,000$2,350,000 G UFA - 2
Thrun, Henry $912,500$912,500 ($212,500$212K) LD RFA - 1	Addison, Calen $825,000$825,000 RD RFA - 1	Raanta, Antti $1,500,000$1,500,000 G UFA - 1
Okhotiuk, Nikita $789,167$789,167 ($82,500$82K) LD RFA - 1	Rutta, Jan $2,750,000$2,750,000 LD/RD UFA - 2
	Burroughs, Kyle $1,100,000$1,100,000 LD/RD UFA - 3

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Labanc, Kevin $4,725,000$4,725,000 RW, LW UFA - 1
Vlasic, Marc-Édouard $7,000,000$7,000,000 LD/RD M-NTC UFA - 3

Taxi Squad
Celebrini, Macklin $925,000$925,000 ($0$0$0$0)
Demidov, Ivan $925,000$925,000 ($0$0$0$0)
Brandsegg-Nygrd, Michael $925,000$925,000 ($0$0$0$0)
Jiricek, Adam $925,000$925,000 ($0$0$0$0)
Freij, Alfons $925,000$925,000 ($0$0$0$0)

Top Comments

Jan. 2 at 6:47 p.m.

justinhollfan3

Joined: Feb. 2023

Posts: 395

Likes: 108

The leafs just dont need to do this deal, McMann fits well on our current 4th and if we need to really get out of a cap bind we will just waive reaves instead of giving up picks

SomeonesOffended and Britishbulldog liked this.

Jan. 2 at 7:02 p.m.

Lancebmx

Joined: Oct. 2020

Posts: 10,506

Likes: 8,143

I enjoyed this. I don't see Philly biting for that little at the draft. The point system or whatever scoring for draft picks is a bit skewed in my opinion. Also Jiricek isn't available that late.

Rob32sjsharks liked this.

Jan. 2 at 7:06 p.m.

Xqb15a

Joined: Aug. 2020

Posts: 11,403

Likes: 9,040

Please no team help TML out of the Reaves or Kampf contracts.🤣

TJTwolf and Rob32sjsharks liked this.

Jan. 2 at 7:11 p.m.

brady_t12

Fantasy Hockey Pro

Joined: Jun. 2016

Posts: 5,118

Likes: 2,270

You clearly put a lot of thought into this so I commend you for that. I just can’t see the caps moving that first unless we’re getting a young stud in return. I am personally 60/40 that we’re missing the playoffs, so it’s more likely to be a decent pick imo. Not that you don’t think the same thing, it just doesn’t help us much to add Granlund right now despite the retention.

SomeonesOffended, Rob32sjsharks and BoringBrianMacLellan liked this.

Jan. 2 at 7:30 p.m.

evelutions2

Lets Get Kraken

Joined: Apr. 2021

Posts: 8,644

Likes: 3,473

All things considered, I don’t think the Canes will need to move Raanta. If he doesn’t improve over the rest of the season, they can just waive him and send him to the AHL for 350k, which is very manageable since the Canes are projected to have about 8mil in deadline cap space (after whatever cap accruing calculations are used (witchcraft)).

Now based on the assumption, and the assumption that Freddie ends up returning in less the than a month as projected, I think it’s inevitable for the Canes to run 3 goalies for the remainder of the year. If they end up really turning their eye to the goalie market, I would definitely expect Kahkonen to be their top target.

My only suggestion to the OP for amending the trade, would be Kahkonen and a the 7th for a conditional 2nd (conditions being if the Canes win the cup the Sharks get the best 2nd the Canes have for 2024; if they reach the SCF and lose the Sharks get the worse of the 2 seconds the Canes have for 2024; and if they only make the playoffs (ECQF-ECF) the Sharks get a 3rd and 4th round pick (don’t care what years, but preferably not the same year)). Would that be something the Sharks consider?

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Some overpays - Some underpays - Can Grier get a W this TDL

Legend

Free Agent Signings

Trades

SJS

CAR

SJS

CAR

SJS

CAR

SJS

CAR

SJS

WSH

SJS

COL

SJS

TOR

SJS

NYR

SJS

NYR

SJS

ARI

SJS

ANA

SJS

ANA

Buyouts

Retained Salary Transactions

Buried

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