Quoting: GMTD
Boeser + Pettersson + Juolevi + 2018 1st + 2019 1st + 2020 1st but really there is no way that Botterill will trade that pick. I have no idea if this is good analogy, but what would Pittsburgh have wanted for Crosby. Just for the fun of it let's say a team offered ten first round picks. That team would have been as good as Pittsburgh was for the next ten years, now look at who was drafted in each one of those spots, Jordan Staal, Angelo Esposito, Daultan Leveille, Simon Despres, Beau Bennett, Joe Morrow, Olli Maatta, Morgan Klimchuk, Kasperi Kapanen, and Mathew Barzal. What do you all think are they worth Crosby? So now tell me what are you offering for Dahlin, it is not enough
Whoa. Staal, Kapanen, and Barzaal? I mean, they don't have Crosby's four cup rings between them, but if you stick them on a team that already had a young Fleury and Malkin, I bet they'd do okay.
But, of course, maybe not all at the same time.
At the end of this list, there are some examples of how trades involving top picks can blow up for either side.
https://www.thesportster.com/hockey/mike-milburys-top-15-worst-moves-as-a-gm/
If Botterrill's goal is to avoid blame and look intelligent, keeping the #1 overall pick and taking the consensus favorite is the best move he can make.
If he's got a vision for how to improve the Sabres and get much more competitive right away, there's a chance he'll make them better, but there's a big risk that they'll stay bad, but suddenly that will be seen as his fault rather than the fault of the players. So that's what he's up against, and why trading for Dahlin right before draft day costs more than at any other time, and won't happen. Of course, Vancouver would be taking the same kind of risk, and probably isn't looking to lose the trade in any measurable way, either.
It's much easier to trade up/down at later spots, when teams and fans aren't all that invested, emotionally. If either of these teams wants, say, the Caps' first round pick this year, I bet they offer, what, a couple seconds? Not even? And everybody shrugs on all sides.