Quoting: dudedude336
Okay let me throw a scenario at you.
Leafs don't sign, don't trade, he sits, leafs get nothing in a year where they aren't winning anything in the postseason with that defense. Then they have 3 to sign next year and you best believe AZ will offer sheet the bajesus out of Matthews.
Everyone knows Dubas NEEDS to trade him, pretty obvious they cant afford him. That's not leverage.
The Leafs can drag this on for up to four years and then still trade Nylander for a late 1st or whatever he's worth after three seasons abroad. He's worth more today, coming off of two 61 point NHL seasons as a 22 year old, than he will be next summer if he doesn't play this year, so Nylander has some leverage in his salary negotiations.
If he signs a team-unfriendly contract, then Toronto will play him this year and trade either him or Marner next summer so it has room to keep some defensemen. In spite of what a lot of fans post on here, Marner and Nylander are each very good, and Toronto should be pretty happy with whichever of them decides to stick around, but it can get something decent back for whichever doesn't. I think Marcus Johansson and Damon Seversson are young guys with high ceilings who have had some recent struggles. If Toronto can get both, plus some more stuff, for Nylander, that seems fair to me.
Johansson peaked two years ago with 24 goals and 58 points. Nylander can get three more points a year, but Johansson can get three more goals. There's a huge age difference of six years, but Damon Severson on the Leafs' power play gives them a right shot defenseman who can really play the puck, so he'll get some significant points, in that role.
The down side of this trade for Toronto is that Johansson is only signed for one more year, but they can fix that, and given the bad numbers he's put up in New Jersey, he won't need a raise, and the team can pick the term.
Leafs trolls like to say that no deal is fair, but this is a really good one for Toronto. It doesn't help New Jersey this year, but as Nylander keeps improving, I do think they win it, long term.... but that's after Toronto signs M&M, so it's immaterial.