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Forums/Armchair-GM

Top 10 defenseman in the league

Created by: AndrewLadd
Team: 2020-21 Custom Team
Initial Creation Date: Apr. 20, 2021
Published: Apr. 20, 2021
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
IR= Honorable mentions (they’re in no order)
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
10$81,500,000$92,783,999$0$5,850,000-$11,283,999
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Tampa Bay Lightning
$7,875,000$7,875,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Nashville Predators
$9,059,000$9,059,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 8
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$5,750,000$5,750,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vegas Golden Knights
$5,200,000$5,200,000
LD/RD
UFA - 5
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the New York Rangers
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Boston Bruins
$4,900,000$4,900,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Washington Capitals
$8,000,000$8,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 6
Logo of the New York Islanders
$1,600,000$1,600,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Arizona Coyotes
$4,600,000$4,600,000
LD/RD
UFA - 5
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Dallas Stars
$894,166$894,166 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the New York Islanders
$5,000,000$5,000,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vegas Golden Knights
$8,800,000$8,800,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD/RD
UFA - 7
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$5,300,000$5,300,000
LD
UFA - 5
Logo of the Los Angeles Kings
$11,000,000$11,000,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$8,000,000$8,000,000
LD
UFA - 8

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Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:29 p.m.
#1
Rangers 2023
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Pelech should make the cut IMO
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:29 p.m.
#2
MGITBPITNHL
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Devon Toews and Adam Pelech > John Carlson and Thomas Chabot
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:31 p.m.
#3
Smythe.over.Hart
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I haven't watched Chychrun enough to comment. But lot's of good names here and hard to argue.
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:32 p.m.
#4
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Bo Horvat enjoyer
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Quoting: Ragsandbluesfan
Pelech should make the cut IMO


I didn’t wanna look biased 😭
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:32 p.m.
#5
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Alex Pietrangelo definitely makes it on the list, and Darnell
Nurse possibly maybe a honourable mention..
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:33 p.m.
#6
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Is it three straight year the bruins have played Carolina in the playoffs, or just two? Anyway, I’ve seen a lot of Carolina. Slavin is their best defenseman. Dougie is flawed and doesn’t belong on this list. Slavin does.

Chabot will be there, but not yet. He hasn’t played an important game in his NHL career, and he’s been quasi one dimensional, although I think he gets more crap than he deserves for the play in his own end. I do think he has trouble dealing with transition and retrieval though. I would stick doughty in for him. He’s having a good year.

Love chychrun. Love his game. He’s taken a big step forward but I’m not sure the sample size is big enough to say, “this is the player he is,” rather than, “he’s playing well right now.” I would put Petro in for him.
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:33 p.m.
#7
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Bo Horvat enjoyer
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Quoting: mhroblak
Devon Toews and Adam Pelech > John Carlson and Thomas Chabot


Toews is an honorable mention to make the honorable mentions, but I think Girard>Toews. I’m putting Pelech in
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:35 p.m.
#8
Isles7
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Quoting: AndrewLadd
I didn’t wanna look biased 😭



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Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:41 p.m.
#9
Jinx god
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I would put Heiskanen there but that's just me. He isn't a flashy guy with points and he still has 24 points this season. He has a great defensive game and he has the speed and skill.
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:42 p.m.
#10
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Bo Horvat enjoyer
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Quoting: EsoYeezus69
I would put Heiskanen there but that's just me. He isn't a flashy guy with points and he still has 24 points this season. He has a great defensive game and he has the speed and skill.


Heiskanen is one of my favorite players in the league it pained me to leave him out but he’s right there
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:44 p.m.
#11
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Quoting: Isles777



I think this is really good evidence that the advanced stats geeks having figured out how to evaluate defensemen. They likely never will. Too many variables.
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:45 p.m.
#12
Jinx god
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Quoting: AndrewLadd
Heiskanen is one of my favorite players in the league it pained me to leave him out but he’s right there


He's more a playoff guy than a regular season guy. He was the best d-man in the playoffs last year and would've won the Conn Smythe if we won the cup last year.
Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:48 p.m.
#13
Isles7
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
I think this is really good evidence that the advanced stats geeks having figured out how to evaluate defensemen. They likely never will. Too many variables.


Disagree. You're dismissing analytics but the main reason why teams like TB and Colorado are successful is because they let analytics dictate their decisions.
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:53 p.m.
#14
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Pesce 8th on WAR? cmon now, that guy is worth Kerfoot, Bracco, and a 3rd. Maybe a really bad Andsersen if the Canes were gracious enough to retain on pesce.
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 12:59 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: Isles777
Disagree. You're dismissing analytics but the main reason why teams like TB and Colorado are successful is because they let analytics dictate their decisions.


The main reason TB has been successful (has Colorado really been successful?) is they have the best defensemen in the NHL, who happens to not be on that garbage chart
Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:05 p.m.
#16
Isles7
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
The main reason TB has been successful (has Colorado really been successful?) is they have the best defensemen in the NHL, who happens to not be on that garbage chart


Hedman has definitely been a top 3 defenseman over the last decade, but he isn’t top 10 this season. Not driving play as well, a lot of his points come on the powerplay.

They use analytics for their drafts, which is how they’ve gotten guys like cirelli, kucherov, point etc...their director of analytics Michael Peterson has influence on players they trade for like Blake Coleman (who is a fringe 1st liner playing on the 3rd line):

Colarado is the best team in the league this season. Joe sakic fleeced Lou lamoriello for Devon toews. Anyone who looked at toews analytics from last season with the isles would know that he’s a top pairing defenseman - trotz gave him 2nd pairing minutes but his impact was that of a #1 D. Now he leads the avs in ATOI and is a top 10 D in the league this season. It’s well known sakic is heavily invested in analytics
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:13 p.m.
#17
Daddy
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Quoting: Isles777
Hedman has definitely been a top 3 defenseman over the last decade, but he isn’t top 10 this season. Not driving play as well, a lot of his points come on the powerplay.

They use analytics for their drafts, which is how they’ve gotten guys like cirelli, kucherov, point etc...their director of analytics Michael Peterson has influence on players they trade for like Blake Coleman (who is a fringe 1st liner playing on the 3rd line):

Colarado is the best team in the league this season. Joe sakic fleeced Lou lamoriello for Devon toews. Anyone who looked at toews analytics from last season with the isles would know that he’s a top pairing defenseman - trotz gave him 2nd pairing minutes but his impact was that of a #1 D. Now he leads the avs in ATOI and is a top 10 D in the league this season. It’s well known sakic is heavily invested in analytics


I think analytics are great and I agree with everything you've said here except Coleman is by no means a fringe first liner. And I have a hard time leaving Hedman out of the top 10, although I agree his advanved stats show he's definitely had a down year.
Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:18 p.m.
#18
Isles7
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Quoting: AustonMatthews3443
I think analytics are great and I agree with everything you've said here except Coleman is by no means a fringe first liner. And I have a hard time leaving Hedman out of the top 10, although I agree his advanved stats show he's definitely had a down year.


Quoting: AustonMatthews3443
I think analytics are great and I agree with everything you've said here except Coleman is by no means a fringe first liner. And I have a hard time leaving Hedman out of the top 10, although I agree his advanved stats show he's definitely had a down year.


Last season Coleman was a fringe 1st liner when TB traded for him

Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:23 p.m.
#19
Kovid Klaw
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can't believe you left on zaitsev
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:26 p.m.
#20
Daddy
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Quoting: Isles777
Last season Coleman was a fringe 1st liner when TB traded for him



Oh last season when they traded for him ok, I was just going based off this season. 22 points in 44 games, good analytics. I have a difficult time saying a guy with 0.5 points per game and only a 0.3 WAR is a fringe first liner, more of a solid 2nd liner, very good 3rd liner but based off those stats from last year I agree that's borderline 1st liner.
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:33 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: Isles777
Hedman has definitely been a top 3 defenseman over the last decade, but he isn’t top 10 this season. Not driving play as well, a lot of his points come on the powerplay.

They use analytics for their drafts, which is how they’ve gotten guys like cirelli, kucherov, point etc...their director of analytics Michael Peterson has influence on players they trade for like Blake Coleman (who is a fringe 1st liner playing on the 3rd line):

Colarado is the best team in the league this season. Joe sakic fleeced Lou lamoriello for Devon toews. Anyone who looked at toews analytics from last season with the isles would know that he’s a top pairing defenseman - trotz gave him 2nd pairing minutes but his impact was that of a #1 D. Now he leads the avs in ATOI and is a top 10 D in the league this season. It’s well known sakic is heavily invested in analytics


Uhhhh okay. Sure

I say that the league doesn’t have analytics that work for defensemen, and you tell me how thats not true because the lightning drafted two forwards? That make much sense?
Buddy, no one needed analytics to see that toews was good.

Colorado has had a good regular season in a weird pandemic year involving only intradivision games. Let’s wait until they have sustained success in normal times, or postseason success before we start talking about how awesome they are.
Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:35 p.m.
#22
Isles7
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Quoting: AustonMatthews3443
Oh last season when they traded for him ok, I was just going based off this season. 22 points in 44 games, good analytics. I have a difficult time saying a guy with 0.5 points per game and only a 0.3 WAR is a fringe first liner, more of a solid 2nd liner, very good 3rd liner but based off those stats from last year I agree that's borderline 1st liner.


His role changed in Tampa. This season id say he’s a solid 2nd line forward. Look at guys who leave Tampa and get an increased role (Miller, verhaeghe) and thrive.
Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:38 p.m.
#23
Daddy
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Quoting: Isles777
His role changed in Tampa. This season id say he’s a solid 2nd line forward. Look at guys who leave Tampa and get an increased role (Miller, verhaeghe) and thrive.


Fair, he's never had the offensive production for the first line anywhere he's been though. I think he's a solid 2nd liner on any team, and it's deadly for Tampa to be able to play him on the 3rd line. Perhaps with an increased role on another team he could mold himself into a first liner, I just don't think his offensive upside is first line material, super solid 2way 2nd liner though.
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:42 p.m.
#24
Isles7
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Quoting: CMcAvoy73
Uhhhh okay. Sure

I say that the league doesn’t have analytics that work for defensemen, and you tell me how thats not true because the lightning drafted two forwards? That make much sense?
Buddy, no one needed analytics to see that toews was good.

Colorado has had a good regular season in a weird pandemic year involving only intradivision games. Let’s wait until they have sustained success in normal times, or postseason success before we start talking about how awesome they are.


The league doesn’t have analytics that work for defenseman? Lol . Pretty sure expected goals against (preventing quality shots) and ca/60 (shot suprression) are pretty accurate metrics to evaluate a defensemans impact.

If most teams believed toews was a top pairing defenseman, then they would have beat sakics offer of two 2nd rd picks. General consensus was that toews was a solid 2nd pairing D, analytics caught on that toews was one of the best play driving defenseman in the league and a legitimate top pairing D.
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Apr. 20, 2021 at 1:46 p.m.
#25
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Quoting: Isles777
The league doesn’t have analytics that work for defenseman? Lol . Pretty sure expected goals against (preventing quality shots) and ca/60 (shot suprression) are pretty accurate metrics to evaluate a defensemans impact.

If most teams believed toews was a top pairing defenseman, then they would have beat sakics offer of two 2nd rd picks. General consensus was that toews was a solid 2nd pairing D, analytics caught on that toews was one of the best play driving defenseman in the league and a legitimate top pairing D.


Eh. I’m still in the camp that has toews as a good second pairing guy, but he’s in a situation in Colorado where he can play more minutes, and has had to given all the injuries they’ve had. He’s like a #2/#3

But ya, advanced stats and analytics for d men are legitimately trash. Not worth the HTML they take up. The charts you’ve posted prove that. So thanks! I really didn’t want to go digging for that junk.
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