Joined: May 2016
Posts: 11,505
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I only looked at a 5yr stretch because honestly its time consuming. From 2014 to 2018 here are the forwards that were picked between 27th & 31st (+/- 2 spots from where Frederic was picked), currently active and have played at least 100 games in the NHL:
Adrian Kempe - Until his breakout season at 25yr old he was a 30pt player
Anthony Beauvillier - Consistent mid/upper 30's pt player
Sam Steel - Having his best production year and on pace for 28pts
Brett Howden - Depth forward whose only cracked 20pts twice
Eeli Tolvanen - Having his best production year and on pace for 28pts
Brendan Lemieux - Depth player whose never cracked 20pts
Morgan Frost - Having his best production year and on pace for 43pts
Trent Frederic - Having his best production year and on pace for 31pts
Joseph Veleno - Having his best production year and on pace for 19pts
I mean all in all even if you manage to hit on a forward later in the 1st round (picks 27-31), odds are they end up being guy who'll give you 20-40 points. On top of that, you're likely looking at 4-5 years after drafting a player in this range before the player is closing in on 100 NHL games.