Edited May 22, 2023 at 1:43 p.m.
Quoting: tryger
There are a lot of factors you aren't addressing
1. You are right several teams can afford Matthews next season or will move cap to make it work, but how many playoff teams have $10M laying around and the assets to pay for Matthews. There is a reason why it's always LA in these trade scenarios. Will any team trade even in the top-5 of this draft just to get a shot at reupping Matthews? I think not.
2. If there is even a shadow of a doubt that Matthews will try to go UFA, Blake can not do any deal including Clarke or Byfield, and with the new GM we have no idea what this will look like.
3. The Kings focusing on Matthews can open them up to Vilardi getting an offer sheet
4. The Kings are already rumored in talks with Gavrikov which would immediately put them out on Matthews unless there is retention involved.
5. The Kings also need to get a goalie, any signing there will likely put them out on this conversation.
Toronto would need to quickly put together a trade and Matthews would need to agree to an extension before free agency began to make this a reality. And I frankly don't see that in the cards. Toronto will offer Matthews $15M and you all will need to move assets to make it work. The Kings will be fine as we are hoping Byfield or one of many center prospects can take over for Kopitar (who will likely be reupped after having a very good season).
1+2. Yeah, I agree that most GMs and probably Blake won't trade for Matthews at the draft. Will probably be after his NMC kicks in and that means that he's only going to places where he would probably consider resigning.
Before Dubas was let go, Matthews said that he was hopeful to get a contract done before the season, so I don't think he would be against negotiating a deal after a trade.
How many teams have 10M and the assets to trade for Matthews? Not many, but remember my argument is that LA isn't going to standpat if Matthews becomes available via trade because there are going to be more teams that could sign him the following year.
Who LA gives up is a different story, I don't know that the Leafs would even be interested in Byfield since they would need a 1C asap, so they might just get oyher pieces that they can use. The Leafs could use Clarke but I don't think he gets dealt in a trade for Matthews. I do think LA could trade for Matthews with a more quantity than quality but with all pieces being quality picks.
3. It wouldn't surprise me if Vilardi and another roster player like Iafallo are in the trade.
4. Retention on Matthews might be possible but it will be expensive and this is where negotiations could fall apart. That's why I said Blake would try.
5. Goaltending would definitely need to be fixed but I kind of doubt that LA is going to look for a gaoltender in FA unless they want Andersen. So, the solution likely would have to come via trade anyways and that could happen in the season. Wouldn't be ideal nut who knows maybe Petersen has a bounce back like Grubauer did. Of course, goaltending is an important facet of the game, so if a Matthews trade prevents them from a goalie trade, then that would be a reason to not pull the trigger.