Joined: Mar. 2017
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I'm not too high on Tampa because of the current goaltender situation. Andrei Vasilevskiy, while I think he has a very high ceiling, is still isn't proven enough for me. Another concern is health. If they can stay healthy, they can make a strong push, but if Stamkos, or anyone who vital crashes, send your condolences to Tampa. The "subtraction by addition" of Dan Girardi is another red flag for me. The guy cannot suppress a shot if his life depended on it.
Washington lost some key defenders, and Holtby is shaky in the postseason. I think that if they play Pittsburgh or New York Rangers, they are going to have a hard time to get past the 2nd round, something that hasn't been done in the 21st century. Not a knock on Washington, just evaluating the "cold hand fallacy", where a team fails year after year and individuals become more susceptible to believing that they will fail again. I just can't reasonably conclude that they beat PIT or NYR in the y'offs.
While Nashville does a have a very deep core, I think that they peaked last season. They have very talented players on both ends, and arguably the best top-4 in the NHL, however, with the hype of being a lovable team brings mental hardship IMO. I think that individuals on the team cave in on the mental side.
Edmonton has another high chance to do it, just my only concern is how Ryan Strome will play compared to Jordan Eberle. You know what to expect from McNut and Klefbom and Talbot, but can they win is the real question.
I voted that Pittsburgh will win the Cup. Not a popular vote by any regard, just basing it off of realism and facts. It's hard to envisioning them not winning with the roster they have, even with the 3c depletion.