Arom5477

Member Since

Jun 17, 2016

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Pittsburgh Penguins

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Forum: Armchair-GMJul 31 at 4:07

Thread: Matt Murray DET

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>redwingsfan04</b></div><div>First off, Yzerman is our GM, not Holland. Second, we can easily afford to pay Mantha whatever he wants, even if it’s 7 mil +. Third, I’m not going to argue Murray’s value so I’ll agree that’s he’s worth a late 1st... Other people on Cap Friendly are offering a top 10 pick and good prospect and Detroit fans are still declining (Not saying that I’d decline, just stating the general price that’s being associated with him)... No way Detroit accepts that.</div></div>

Oh no...I made a typo in my ACGM. I might as well delete this now, since that's all the comments are going to talk about.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 31 at 12:21

Thread: Why Not___Trading Letang Murray

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dzmets</b></div><div>Sabres pass. We are not trading Dahlins d partner for Murray. We can find a UFA or less expensive trade for backup goalie</div></div>

I'd take Montour, but picks (2nd + 4th?) would have to come PIT's way.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 29 at 3:15

Thread: Writing Is On The Wall

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>No chance i would move a first for a goalie.</div></div>

I mean no disrespect, but Carter Hutton is your starting goalie...

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 29 at 3:09

Thread: Writing Is On The Wall

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mhockey91</b></div><div>if pens win the cup with Murray as our starter.. why trade him?</div></div>

He'll be more expensive. Pens tend to go with the cheaper goalie who is just as good.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 1 at 2:16

Thread: Sounds Like A Flat Cap

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>buffbry</b></div><div>You forgot to add in hallinder and your first for us to take on JJ</div></div>

lol. sure, buddy. they said the same thing about erik gudbranson

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 26 at 7:28

Thread: Lottery Day___Winning Lafreniere___A Year Later

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Wqrrior</b></div><div>There are 31 teams. This is the ONLY one I don't want to win the lottery.</div></div>

But deep, deep down you know you want the chaos. Let the chaos loose, I say.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 26 at 7:18

Thread: Lottery Day___Winning Lafreniere

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Stan_Bowman</b></div><div>Chad Krys + 2020 2nd (yours) for Murray?</div></div>

Maybe, but I think PIT would want a RHD prospect with 2nd pairing upside.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 26 at 7:16

Thread: Lottery Day___Winning Lafreniere

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>No I didn't TBH but then why even make this thread if you don't think they could lose.</div></div>

Because you're, I dont know, supposed to have fun on this website?? Crazy thought, I know.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 26 at 7:11

Thread: Lottery Day___Winning Lafreniere___A Year Later

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>justaBoss</b></div><div>Yeah think Seattle's not touching that Horny contract.

If I had to guess, they'll be taking Blueger or Simon.</div></div>

Simon would be a UFA at that point.

Maybe on Blueger, but throw enough picks at them and they'll take Hornqvist.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 26 at 7:09

Thread: Lottery Day___Winning Lafreniere

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>So you don't think the Pens can beat the Habs good to know</div></div>

You didn't read the description? Good to know.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 11 at 12:14

Thread: MTL and BUF___Domi and Montour

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MaxDomi13</b></div><div>Domi should be on your 1st or 2nd line - he could put up 70-80 pts with Crosby/Malkin</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MitchMarnerElite </b></div><div>Agree he should definitely be playing over Sheary</div></div>

I can understand that. But knowing Mike Sullivan, all of the lines and linemates are quite fluid. So he'd definitely see time with Sid or Geno.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 5 at 11:13

Thread: I Saw A Strome Trade

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>exo2769</b></div><div>As a Hawks fan, I do not like that trade.</div></div>

Care to elaborate?

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 2 at 3:30

Thread: If PIT Loses Play in Round and Makes It Into the Top 5 But Not First Overall

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DiehardRedWingsFan58</b></div><div>You do understand that Pittsburgh has already qualified for the playoffs? I'm pretty sure if they lose the lose in round the best they can hope for is #20 Pittsburgh can't get a top 5 spot that's only for the 15 non-qualifying teams Pittsburgh was a lock to make the playoffs so they don't qualify.</div></div>

Play-in rounds are not the playoffs.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 2 at 3:23

Thread: If PIT Loses Play in Round and Makes It Into the Top 5 But Not First Overall

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Howisbergevinstillhere</b></div><div>This isn’t how the draft works</div></div>

Draft day trades are a thing.

Forum: Armchair-GMMay 27 at 3:35

Thread: What if We Lost to MTL and Won the Draft Lottery

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Capitalfail67</b></div><div>Why are so many people making this exact post? If the penguins lose to the Habs it would be extremely embarrassing and they would make some substantial changes. They are in win now.</div></div>

I want to win the Stanley Cup as much as the next person. The reality of the situation is: we have to play Carey Price (albeit, a little overrated but still good) who could steal a best of 3 series. So, a nice consolation prize is winning the draft lottery, picking Lafreniere, and extending our window substantially.

Forum: Armchair-GMMay 27 at 11:49

Thread: Leblanc May Be Available_Flat Cap Assumed

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Rob32sjsharks </b></div><div>Your underpaying for Labanc in the trade and overpaying for him in salary sharks decline and keep one of their core young players.</div></div>

Labanc is a good, young player. But he's never scored 20 goals and is a career .5 PPG player. His perceived value is higher than his actual value. You're getting a good goalie. A good, young forward who's ceiling is a little lower than Labanc's, and multiple picks (with one likely being a 1st). Seems fair to me.

Forum: Armchair-GMMay 27 at 11:01

Thread: Playoff Lines

I agree with these.

However:
1.) Murray is going to be on the shortest leash of his career this post season. Jarry presents such an interesting skill set with his ability to play the puck to just be kept on the bench.
2.) Now that it's the post season and his iron man streak won't be affected, and if he struggles to get back up to speed or contribute, don't be surprised if Rodrigues takes Marleau out of the line up.
3.) Would not be surprised to see Zucker and Sheary trade places from time to time.

Forum: Armchair-GMMay 18 at 11:38

Thread: Domi

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>pharrow</b></div><div>that's a lot to give a guy to play a 3C role that is typically like 13-14 minutes a game.
On top of it, your cap going forward is so screwed up.
I guess you can fix that by CBO Hornqvist to start. Not trading for Murphy.
But in general, you are still paying a 3C 6 million a year. Ouch.</div></div>

The way I see it, Domi can play 1/2LW (if Guentzel or Zucker get hurt); paying for the positional flexibility on a crowded forward group.

And the general assumption to all the rosters I make is that Hornqvist is going to be picked by Seattle.

Forum: Armchair-GMMay 18 at 11:30

Thread: Domi

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>keep_ups12</b></div><div>That is the smallest package for Domi I have seen. There isn't even a LH d man involved</div></div>

Trust me...I'm all on the Domi hype train. He's a great player to have on one's team, BUT he is a mojor regression candidate that will not be worth the price of a Montreal 1/2C. If anyone pays more for Domi, other than a replacement 2/3C + good prospect + potential 1st rounder, then they're either desperate or not paying attention.

All I know is that GMJR tried to get Domi once before, and GMJR typically gets what he wants.

Forum: Armchair-GMMay 9 at 10:47

Thread: Jarry Trade Option

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>pharrow</b></div><div>I don't care how you flip this. That RW is aweful. Rust is the only top 6 RW there, and Tanev is the only other help he really has.
Hornqvist is too damn slow to play for this team and Sheary blows.</div></div>

Hornqvist was 2nd on the team in EV Goals per 60 mins. I think he can stay. Slow or not.

And Sheary has shown great chemistry with Sid. Sheary and Simon can fight for that spot. They're there to support Sid and Guentzel, nothing more, nothing less.

Forum: NHLMay 9 at 7:54

Thread: NHL 2020 Playoffs Projections Round 2

Forum: Armchair-GMMay 6 at 11:44

Thread: Murray to COL

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>coga16</b></div><div>Dan Kingerski is a no body and he is part of the Hockeynow network with Dater. He was using Dater who has 0 clue about the Avs rumour mill as a source.
Also he only made that low hanging fruit speculation connections bc Avs had goalie injuries at the deadline...shocker avs dont have hurt goalies anymore

Actual Avs insiders who have good connections with the team dispute at any sort of make goalie trade talk</div></div>

The man is a credentialed reporter for the Pens. Let's not act like he's Eklund...

Forum: Armchair-GMMay 6 at 11:37

Thread: Murray to COL

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>coga16</b></div><div>avs have no interested in Murray
and even if they did, they would never give that sort of value for him</div></div>

Dan Kingerski, of Pittsburgh Hockey Now, reported that COL was in trade talks with PIT regarding one of Murray or Jarry. Said IF the deal was to be done, it would be completed at, or before, the draft. Now...that was before the pandemic.

Forum: NHLApr 29 at 5:17

Thread: NHL 2020 Playoffs Projections

Forum: Armchair-GMMar 10 at 2:27

Thread: Changes That Need to Be Made

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Capitalfail67</b></div><div>Go by last 2 seasons.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Sebybbq</b></div><div>Why you just admit you are wrong and apologize.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Arom5477</b></div><div>Over the past three seasons, here is the breakdown b/w Letang and Carlson on who had better statistical and analytical performances:
Games played: Carlson (231 vs 204)
TOI: Carlson (3971 vs 3826)
Total Points: Carlson (100 vs 71)
Less Giveaways: <strong>Letang</strong> (160 vs 195)
Takeaways: <strong>Letang</strong> (111 vs 96)
CF%: <strong>Letang</strong> (53% vs 50%)
FF%: <strong>Letang</strong> (53% vs 49%)
SF% <strong>Letang</strong> (54% vs 50%)
GF%: Carlson (55% vs 50%)
xGF%: <strong>Letang</strong> (54% vs 48%)
SCF%:<strong> Letang</strong> (54% vs 50%)
HDCF%: <strong>Letang</strong> (53% vs 47%)
HDGF%: <strong>Letang</strong> (49% vs 46%)
MDCF%: <strong>Letang</strong> (55% vs 53%)
MDGF%: Carlson (65% vs 50%)
LDCF%: <strong>Letang</strong> (53% vs 51%)
LDGF%: Carlson (72% vs 53%)
PDO (higher number means the more luck the respective player had): <strong>Letang</strong>: .988 vs Carlson: 1.020

TLDR: Letang, over the last three seasons, has been better offensively and defensively than Carlson; all the while less lucky.

**Data came from Natural Stat Trick**</div></div>

Looking at the last two seasons:

The Breakdown is the same except for:

Carlson's LDCF% was higher.

Besides that, the breakdown was the exact same.

So I will reiterate: Letang over the last..two seasons...has been better offensively and defensively; all the while being less lucky.

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Arom5477

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