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Miguelicious

Oil Country Rising
Member Since
Jul. 3, 2018
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Edmonton Oilers
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Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 3, 2021 at 5:56 p.m.
Thread: Would Cossa Be A Waste Of A 1st Rounder
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Miguelicious</b></div><div>Looking at teams in that range:

CHI, No blue chip Goalie prospect
PHI, Hart young
DAL, No blue chip Goalie prospect
NYR, Georgiev Shesterkin both young and able
MTL, Price signed long term
STL, Binnington young; signed long term
NSH, Saros young, Askarov waiting in the wings
NJ, Blackwood young; just drafted Dawes
EDM, cupboard BARE, konovalov is there i guess

On second thought, we might have a chance since I doubt CHI and DAL would reach for him that early.</div></div>

Dallas has Oettinger who's only recently starting to break onto their roster and will be expected to usurp Bishop as the starter next season. The Flyers are also quite high on their own Sam Ersson.

Depending on which school of draft thought you attend, any of Detroit, Los Angeles, or Chicago could be the landing spot for Wallstedt. Some projections have Jesper falling into the 20s. I subscribe to the notion that he's essentially a Red Wing in all but stone. I really don't like the forwards available to Detroit at #6 unless Guenther is still on the board but they could surprise and take a defender, in which case I can't see the Kings passing on a goaltender that could be NHL-ready in 2 years.

Cossa appears to be one of those consensus picks in the #20 overall range. Thanks to both the Leafs and Oilers showing well in the first round of the playoffs, Edmonton's pick is actually automatically upgraded to being 21st overall. If the Islanders make the Final Four, Edmonton will have the #20 pick.

I also believe that Cossa is going to be NHL-ready within the same timeframe as if Edmonton had selected a forward with that pick instead. A defender, knowing Holland, is automatically 3-4 years out.

Using Carter Hart as an example, the Flyers gave him essentially 2.5 years of time to develop: two additional seasons with Everett and a half season in Lehigh Valley. Seb's numbers through the AMBHL, AMHL, and WHL are suggesting that he's projecting to be better than Hart. Note that Cossa full-on skipped minor midget and went right from major bantam to midget. It could never be a one-to-one comparison but I suspect that should the Oilers draft Cossa he'd be projected to be our backup after two seasons. He has the size to fill out the net and he's beyond excellent on his feet, all he's really missing is the ability to contend with an NHL-calibre shooter. Training camps, WJC's, and the potential for two seasons' worth of AHL/ECHL late season/playoff games suggests that he could learn quick.

I like the pick but in order for it to make the most sense, Cossa needs to be prepared for a *fast* development curve. I have a feeling he can handle it.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 24, 2021 at 1:30 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 24, 2021 at 2:01 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 26, 2021 at 3:24 p.m.
Thread: 2022 Oilers FTW
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Miguelicious</b></div><div>I'll just say this while we're on the subject of giving raises lol. I'm glad one team rewards players with a well-deserved raise and all I hear from the fanbase (from my limited vantage point) is "well, he deserves it so whatevs". Pionk and Morrissey are paid (and going to be paid) fair value for what they bring. Now, the Oilers have to convince Nurse to take 6M-ish right when he's proving he can be a legit 1st pair (albeit a 1B at this point) D-man, something we know is in short supply in EDM the past decade or so. "tHaT's tOo mUcH, tRaDe HiM" *doublefacepalm

Back to the matter at hand. I see now that for your team needs, Copp is going to be better value for the $$$ than Bear will be. That's really a shame for Little, he's a good player!</div></div>

Haha I definitely wont disagree with you there!! :) I truly hope Nurse ends up staying in EDM on a fair deal for both sides, he definitely deserves to be paid and honestly, even if it's a slight over-pay, just do it. Like you said, they've been in short supply and he would be a huge loss. I have a feeling they will come to an agreement and he remains an Oiler.

Yeah, the Little situation was honestly kind of sad. He gave everything for our organization and you never wanna see a players career end early like that. I won't complain about the extra cap space which we desperately needed...but again I would never wish that on anyone!
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 26, 2021 at 1:44 p.m.
Thread: 2022 Oilers FTW
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Miguelicious</b></div><div>I agree, yall got a pretty dangerous bottom six (that Perrault line aint no joke either!).

However, with all the pending UFAs &amp; RFAs (Stastny, Perrault, Lowry, Copp, Thompson, Lewis, Pionk, Forbort, Stanley, Poolman) and only 24M (less 5.3 if Little is back to full health) would you want to pay him more than league average when you play him on the bottom six as opposed to having a cost-controlled top 4 RHD in Bear?
Really asking because I don't know much about PEG's team but Copp is interesting for sure!</div></div>

I totally understand your thought process! Speaking to our UFA/RFA situation, Stastny, Lowry, Forbort &amp; Lewis would be the only UFAs I can realistically see being brought back. I think Stastny will finish his career as a Jet and take a more team friendly deal. Lewis would also be around league minimum and Forbort deserves a raise but won't be outrageous. For our RFAs, Pionk will command a big raise and I have no issues giving him that. Copp is 2nd in line and I could see him coming in around $4.5m/year on a longer term deal which is do-able with our cap situation. Stanley unfortunately I believe will be selected by Seattle :( Little is all but confirmed to be done with hockey and will ride out that contract on the LTIR before retiring.

Now, going back to the Bear for Copp scenario, Bear is a great, cost controlled (like you said) defender, but I just feel like Copp, while he will be more expensive benefits the Jets more.

I appreciate your feedback/response!!
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 6, 2020 at 5:20 p.m.
Thread: Fair Question Mark
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Miguelicious</b></div><div>The main reasoning for the giveaway fallacy is the fact that McDavid is a puck possession player. He drives in 1v4 almost half the time and often gets a half-decent scoring attempt off despite those odds. Matthews benefits from this because he is a finisher, not really touching the puck unless he's firing it in.

Secondly, McDavid is always looking to pass. Only when there are no open options does he take the shot himself. Matthews is a shot attempt machine. 339 vs 504 to be exact. So you see, on 200-ish more attempts, your guy pot in, what, 5-10 more? This suggests McDavid has a very underrated and extremely UNDERUSED shot.

Anything else while I'm at it, champ?</div></div>

All very valid points I didn't consider

I concede, McDavid is better. Add in the Canadian factor and I would love him on the leafs, there's no denying that.

Still, Robertson is a question mark and I love FredEx, but ik Edmonton would laugh this out of the room regardless because you can't improve by trading a guy like McDavid
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 6, 2020 at 3:14 p.m.
Thread: Fair Question Mark
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lyle_Bubas</b></div><div>no thanks, I'm taking matthews over mcdavid, call me crazy

(All situations) 64GP |34G|63A|97P|18 blocks|75 giveaways|53 takeaways|37 hits|14 PIM taken / 24 PIM drawn| 22min TOI average | $12.500 AAV
(All situations) 70GP |47G|33A|80P|60 blocks|48 giveaways|78 takeaways|40 hits|4 PIM taken / 14 PIM drawn| 21min TOI average | $11.634 AAV

(5v5) 64GP |22G|30A|52P|17 blocks|60 giveaways|49 takeaways|32 hits|13 PIM taken / 20 PIM drawn| 17min TOI average | $12.500 AAV
(5v5) 70GP |30G|17A|47P|55 blocks|44 giveaways|75 takeaways|40 hits|3 PIM taken / 9 PIM drawn| 17min TOI average | $11.634 AAV

I'd maybe take mcdavid, but not at the price of losing andersen and robertson who has future stud potential</div></div>

hahahahahahahahah " I'd maybe take mcdavid " and you're one year from losing andersen and robertson will be a top6 player at best, not elite or franchise

I guess the " delusional leafs fan " fits well
Forum: Armchair-GMOct. 28, 2020 at 6:36 p.m.
Thread: Spitballing PHI JVR
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Miguelicious</b></div><div>Not really. It's just the hill you're willing to die on is, to put it bluntly, dumb. The only time it isnt is when it might affect the scenario at hand ie. "trade Nurse no matter what cause he bad" so one might correctly inquire as to whether having either Jones or Russel as the 1LD would even make sense given Klefbom's absence this year.

Your reasons for vetoing the trade were simply "we've screwed up on a no-win prospect panning out elsewhere, the pandemic ramifications screwed us over with adjusted values in the Kassian extension, and oh Lord AA's sunken acquisition cost so any trade, even spit-balling an idea, is unrealistic". Trivial, added zero value to the overall conversation, and quite Karen-esque.

Anyways, good morning and have a great day!</div></div>

Okay, I can accept that you may be challenged with recognizing context and interpreting what you are reading. You take care.