TMarch

Member Since
Apr 3, 2017
Favourite Team
Detroit Red Wings
2nd Favourite Team
Vegas Golden Knights
Birthday
Feb 26, 1977
Location
Houston
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463
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Forum Threads
74
Forum: Armchair-GMNov 22 at 9:03
Thread: Next years DET team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aedoran</b></div><div>I agree Mantha will be over $7M. If AA and Fabbri continue to produce they will get more.



I'd much rather give up Helm for a 4th instead of LGD. I think they could resign Howard but it will be probably be 1yr but some where between $2M - $3M. That's because he has said he doesn't want to leave Detroit.</div></div>

You guys are probably right on Mantha, though it doesn't affect this scenario very much, as they still have $16mm+ left in cap space. I think AA gets a bridge deal (unless he really takes off), and Fabbri is finally not hurt after years of getting hurt, so I'm not sure he commands much more than my estimate. He may take a 1 year prove-it deal, stay healthy, and cash in after that.

I expect all three AHL guys to make the roster, because 1) Svech will have to (he's waiver eligible next year), they'll need a C with Glendening gone (Ras), and I'm predicting that Zadina keeps up this pace (basically graduating). This will also help drive down the average age, along with replicating what Stevie Y did with Tampa.

Now, if they get the #1/#2 pick, maybe something changes (as LaFreniere and Byfield both are expected to graduate immediately)
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 30 at 3:22
Thread: New Lineup post trade and AHL shuffle
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jfstompers</b></div><div>im done with Mantha away from Larkin, he looks lost out there especially. I still want AA back at center to see if that jump-starts him a little, play him with hirose and helm I guess and just let them skate as fast as they can</div></div>

The problem with Mantha away from Larkin is that they can focus on Mantha because no one on the line is a risk (yet). If AA was scoring, I think AA/Mantha would be fine (and AA will score soon, it's very much coming). When Mantha is with Larkin and Bertuzzi, all 3 of them are dangerous, so you have to defend all 3. There were a few times last night that EDM had 2 people "covering" Mantha (rolling coverage his way), and leaving Fil alone (because he's not a risk to shoot anyway). He'll learn to get through it, it's definitely new to him to have this much attention. It's not a negative either (it would be if they were in a playoff chase).
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 29 at 11:18
Thread: Post Trade DET
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>pinslack</b></div><div>Interesting read as a non wing fan!

Simple question : do you see the light at the end of the tunnel? It will be a hard year for wings fan, and my guess is next year too. When will Wings could hope for a playoffs spot?</div></div>

WARNING: Long answer to short question.

The veteran churn is going to dictate the speed of the rebuild. Anyone complaining about the team's performance this year had their expectations WAY out of line, they are exactly who everyone thought they were. They were supposed to be bad, and they are. They need more talent, and being bad this year will help. I think with all the tinkering, Stevie is already figuring out ways to clean up this mess, get younger (though not rushing prospects), and return some of the pride back.

Who goes at the end of the year? You can expect Daley, Ericsson, and Green to be gone (and maybe 1 or 2 of them in February). But, are any of the prospects worth graduating? Hicketts got called up this morning, what does DET have in him (he's played really well at GR this year so far, and hasn't look that out of place with his previous DET stints)? Does Seider graduate after this year? What about Kaski? Lindstrom? There is 2 open spots on D next year.

Who goes on the F side? Does a Stanley Cup contender that needs bottom 6 help come calling for Glendening (who is winning faceoffs at 55% this year)? Does someone make a deal for Helm (both Glendening and Helm would need some type of retention)? Is de la Rose worth keeping (as a 4th liner at 950k, so far yes, for at least 1 more year), or does he get moved at the deadline? And then who graduates? Zadina should (he's been very snakebitten, but his engagement is way up, along with his defensive play). Ras has looked great at C in GR, and probably is close to graduating next year. What about Smith and Svech? Turgeon and Kuffner? And Pearson looks like he may be something too. That's 7 Fs that potentially need room (not counting Veleno, who may need a little bit of time on the 200ft game). There isn't 7 spots available in DET next year yet.

If they land a top 2 pick (I lean Byfield over Laferniere, I value Cs more), then it could definitely jumpstart the rebuilding. Imagine these lines:

Bertuzzi - Larkin - Mantha
Zadina - Byfield - AA
Hirose - Ras - Erne
Smith - de la Rose - Perlini

Cholo - Hronek
DDK - Seider
Nemeth - Bowey
Hicketts

Bench:
Fil
Abdelkader
Nielsen

Next season they compete: 2021-2022
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 28 at 9:52
Thread: Trade with Buffalo thoughts
Risto is having a "good" season (by his standards only, not everyone else's):

He's averaging 24:27 a night (not 26)
He's at 44.3% Corsi, with a -5.7 relative Corsi, meaning the team is much better when he's on the bench (BTW: Mike Green is a 51.1% Corsi, with a 3.1 relative Corsi, but if you want someone closer in age and O/D zone split, Hronek is a 52.9% Corsi, with a 5.6% relative Corsi)
Has seen his ice time trend down (and will probably continue as the team is much better when he's on the bench)
All the teams needing d-help didn't want him
He'd be the 3rd best RHD on the Detroit team (Hronek and Green in front of him)


<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jdfitz77</b></div><div>Ristolainen
-RH defenseman- a position of value &amp; demand
-playing well, &amp; over 26min a night vs tough competition
-under contract for 2 more years after this

Athanasiou
-having a really rough start
-playing wing- a position we don’t really “need”
-pending UFA


Before this season started maybe
But i really don’t think it’s even close now</div></div>
Forum: Armchair-GMOct 24 at 2:27
Thread: They are who we thought they were
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>butterbean91</b></div><div>I agree. This years a write off which is fine. Hopefully the NHL gifts us a top 3 pick for once, like bigger market teams Chicago and New York magically did last year. Lafrienere is the cream of the crop. If we don't get 1st I agree Byfield would look pretty good behind Larkin. Perfetti could be a good player too almost Patrick Kane-esque. Trade Green hes looked horrible. Svech has impressed me with his small sample size, looks confident out there.</div></div>

The reason why I'm leaning Byfield is Stanley Cup contenders tend to have 2 very high end/elite Cs (TOR, TBL, PIT, BOS, STL, WSH, WPG - not necessarily a perfect science with EDM, but still). LW are a little easier to find (not a knock against Lafrienere). Cs and Dmen always carry more weight on teams, they have the puck more than wingers, and have more responsibility.