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drewjenks
Member Since
Aug. 18, 2017
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
Forum Posts
1717
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
NHL Signings
May 12, 2020 at 1:15 p.m.
Thread:
Montreal Canadiens signed Cameron Hillis (3 Years / $910,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Kotkaniemi15</b></div><div>Nice. It’s great that he was able to bounce back this year after his injuries in 18-19.
And this probably means that McShane, Fonstad, and Houde won’t get ELCs.</div></div>
Have you heard the Brodin to Montreal rumors?
I really think it's going to happen man!
Kotkaniemi is a bust anyways.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Apr. 30, 2020 at 2:25 a.m.
Thread:
Vancouver Canucks signed Nils Höglander (3 Years / $1,125,000 AAV)
The voice of reason in me wonders why everyone is acting like this guy is the next Pettersson?
14 points in 40 games isn't exactly lighting up the SHL.
Pettersson had 56 points in 44 games at the same age.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 30, 2020 at 2:19 a.m.
Thread:
TOR-VAN - Im The Gay Tupac Edition
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Bruins_Lover37</b></div><div>even if this were to work vancouver wouldnt give up petterson, horvat, and hughes for marner</div></div>
They would because I'm the gay Tupac.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Apr. 28, 2020 at 9:33 p.m.
Thread:
Edmonton Oilers signed Gaëtan Haas (1 Year / $915,000 AAV)
That $10,000 pay decrease is just insulting.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 28, 2020 at 9:30 p.m.
Thread:
TOR-VAN - Im The Gay Tupac Edition
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>reelkena</b></div><div>not gonna work</div></div>
Bro I'm the gay Tupac !
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 28, 2020 at 12:05 p.m.
Thread:
TOR-VAN - Im The Gay Tupac Edition
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>reelkena</b></div><div>Weak troll bait.</div></div>
Says the man in the comments ...
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 28, 2020 at 1:45 a.m.
Thread:
better trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hockeytor15</b></div><div>Tell me how his stats are even near similar to Kerfoots?</div></div>
<strong>Alex Kerfoot - First 2 NHL Seasons</strong>
14:09 = Average Ice Time
157 = Games Played
34 = Goals Scored
51 = Assists
85 = Points
0.217 = Goals / Game <strong>(Loss)</strong>
0.325 = Assist / Game <strong>(Win)</strong>
0.541 = Points / Game <strong>(Win)</strong>
2.304 = Points / 60-Min <strong>(Win)</strong>
-------------------------
<strong>Conor Garland - First 2 NHL Seasons</strong>
13:36 = Average Ice Time
115 = Games Played
35 = Goals Scored
22 = Assists
57 = Points
0.304 = Goals / Game <strong>(Win)</strong>
0.191 = Assist / Game <strong>(Loss)</strong>
0.495 = Points / Game <strong>(Loss)</strong>
2.186 = Points / 60-Min <strong>(Loss)</strong>
-----------------------
<strong>"Tell me how his stats are even near similar to Kerfoots?"</strong>
Seems like you're looking for conflict where there isn't any:
- Garland is clearly the better goal scorer.
- Kerfoot is clearly the better play-maker.
- Kerfoot has an edge in points per game.
- Kerfoot has an edge in points per 60 min.
- Both players were 23 in their first season.
- Both players were 24 in their 2nd season.
- Both players are 5'10 and close to 170 lbs.
- Kerfoot plays at C while Garland plays RW.
I didn't even say Kerfoot's stats were better (even though there's an argument for it).
I said their stats are similar, which is true (even if we add in Kerfoot's current season).
I should also note that Pierre Engvall's rookie stats are similar to Garland's rookie stats.
Engvall is younger than Garland as will (he's also 6'5, kills penalties and can play center).
Engvall could very well end up being as good or better than Garland in the near future.
And buying out a contract like Kessel's would likely net Toronto a 2nd round pick (or better).
Factor that in and Toronto would giving up <strong>Kerfoot + Engvall + 2nd + 2nd + 3rd</strong> for Garland.
Why give up 2 similar players (two of Toronto's best 3rd line center options) plus 3 high picks?
<strong>I'd 100% take Garland over Kerfoot straight up, but I stand by my comments.</strong>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 26, 2020 at 9:01 p.m.
Thread:
better trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hockeytor15</b></div><div>So you don't like 25 goal scorers. ok</div></div>
His stats are similar to Kerfoot ... so adding a 2nd + 3rd + Engvall + wasting a buyout makes it a bad trade.
Engvall could easily develop into the same type of or better player next year. Their rookie seasons are statistically similar.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 26, 2020 at 5:40 p.m.
Thread:
better trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hockeytor15</b></div><div>I like how you are assuming he is really bad</div></div>
I know who he is ... It's just a bad trade
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 25, 2020 at 11:23 p.m.
Thread:
better trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>bhavikp27</b></div><div>Make some research if you don't know who he is.</div></div>
I did. He looks OK. What is so special about him?
What exactly makes him a 2nd + 3rd + Engvall + Free Buyout better than Kerfoot?
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 25, 2020 at 11:20 p.m.
Thread:
BLOCKBUSTER TRADE
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>moli92</b></div><div>0.65 points per game in the playoffs all 1st round exits</div></div>
OK you lost argument.
Got it.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 25, 2020 at 11:11 p.m.
Thread:
Kessel with no retainer
<strong>As his dentist, I can confirm that Phil Kessel does, in fact, have a retainer. </strong>
And whatever you're suggesting is 100% against my recommendations.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 25, 2020 at 11:05 p.m.
Thread:
better trades
<strong>I just want to confirm that you want to:</strong>
1. Trade Alexander Kerfoot
2. Trade a 2nd round pick (2022)
3. Trade a 3rd round pick (Stotts)
4. Buyout Phil Kessel for Arizona
5. Give away Pierre Engvall for free
<strong>Just to get your hands on a 24 year old plug named Connor Garland?</strong>
<strong>And play him on his off wing forcing Nick Robertson to the 4th line?</strong>
Who the f*** is Connor Garland?
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 24, 2020 at 11:30 p.m.
Thread:
BLOCKBUSTER TRADE
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JeffW</b></div><div>Last time I checked Matthew's hasn't made it to 99 or 100pts yet, or had any hart nominations</div></div>
Matthews career points per games = 1.01
MacKinnon's = 0.94
And he's 3 years younger than MacKinnon.
Mack was around 0.6 points per game at this point in his career.
I won't even mention goals.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 24, 2020 at 11:26 p.m.
Thread:
BLOCKBUSTER TRADE
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>moli92</b></div><div>yeah too bad he doesnt show up in the playoffs</div></div>
10 goals in 20 playoff games ... Is not showing up?
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 22, 2020 at 2:38 a.m.
Thread:
Rivals helping each other out
"Rivals"
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 22, 2020 at 2:37 a.m.
Thread:
BLOCKBUSTER TRADE
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JeffW</b></div><div>I wouldnt trade mack for Matthew's straight up.. I wouldnt do this trade.. MacKinnon is worth 2 austin matthews at half the salary</div></div>
<strong>Yeah exactly. Since entering the NHL:</strong>
MacKinnon is 1st in goals per game
MacKinnon is 1st in goals per minute
MacKinnon is 1st in even strength goals
MacKinnon is 2nd in total goals to Ovechkin
<strong>Oh wait, my bad, I meant Matthews</strong>
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 22, 2020 at 2:32 a.m.
Thread:
Goalie Prospect Swap
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>moli92</b></div><div>Why would ANA do that? 2 bad goalie prospect doesnt equal 1 good one</div></div>
Scott is better than Dostal ....
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 22, 2020 at 2:31 a.m.
Thread:
Everyones needs met
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>firezfurx</b></div><div>As a leafs fan I think they would have to move some middle-6 guys in order to sign a top-pairing RHD like Montour. They have enough depth to replace them with Barabanov, Mikheyev, Engvall, Spezza, Korshkov etc., and Ennis or Galchenyuk could always be brought in.</div></div>
Johnsson and Kerfoot are both middle six guys ... and Montour isn't a top pairing RD.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 22, 2020 at 2:28 a.m.
Thread:
Goalie Prospect Swap
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>reelkena</b></div><div>Van passes. DiPietro is in our plans and Woll does not look like he would do much beyond AHL. I know it's early on Woll but we know DiPietro can play and we're not interested in moving a goaltender.</div></div>
Toronto passes. It's not even a conversation. Scott is just as good of a goalie prospect and Kokkonen is very good D prospect.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Apr. 20, 2020 at 5:32 p.m.
Thread:
Columbus Blue Jackets signed Mikhail Grigorenko (1 Year / $1,200,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lord_Simek</b></div><div>Tldr</div></div>
I stopped after TL ... keep em short bruh.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Apr. 20, 2020 at 3:39 p.m.
Thread:
Columbus Blue Jackets signed Mikhail Grigorenko (1 Year / $1,200,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ON3M4N</b></div><div>Well lets see how this go around is going to turn out. The common "con" of his scouting reports from what I recalls was:
-Low work ethic and compete level
-Struggled to pull himself out a slump
-Defensive game </div></div>
I remember reading a couple (translated) articles about him last fall.
Both mentioned that his compete level and 2-way game have improved since his first KHL season.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Brian2016</b></div><div>I'm surprised some of the bigger market teams in cap crunches didn't drive up the price.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tormundgiantsbane</b></div><div>I think he could really make a big comeback on this Columbus team</div></div>
Agree. I wanted the Leafs to sign him to compete with Kerfoot at center (hoping he could make Kerfoot expendable).
I figured someone would offer at least $1,500,000 x 1-2 years (he's only 25 and he definitely still has middle six potential).
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AwesomeMatthews</b></div><div>He's back baby hopefully he won't disappoint again.</div></div>
I really do think he's gonna surprise some people.
He was only 18-22 during his NHL stint. Very few players are NHL ready at that age.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SKATES21</b></div><div>My tops for this guy is 30 points with about 10 goals. Cant see him getting the ice time, descent line mates and lacks the skill level to produce much more.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lord_Simek</b></div><div>I’d say that output is about right. I can see him possibly getting around 15 goals and 40 points depending on who he plays with.</div></div>
<strong>I'm going to apply some highly speculative math to project Grigorenko's statistics:</strong>
<strong>STEP 1</strong> = Set a baseline for his NHL statistics (selection = his last 2 NHL seasons)
NHL Baseline (2015-2017) = 50 points in 149 games = 0.34 points per game = 28 points per 82 games
<strong>STEP 2</strong> = Calculate his statistical improvement over 3 KHL seasons (assumption = his 1st year KHL stats equal his NHL performance)
First KHL Season (2017-2018) = 23 points in 45 games = 0.51 points per game
Last KHL Seasons (2018-2020) = 93 points in 102 games = 0.91 points per game
-- Points per game in KHL season 1 (2017-2018) = 0.51
-- Points per game in KHL seasons 2/3 (2018-2020) = 0.91
= Points per game improvement rate between periods = 1.79
<strong>STEP 3</strong> = Calculate NHL goals per game inflation rate since Grigorenko recorded his baseline NHL statistics:
-- NHL average goals per game (2015-2017) = 2.74
-- NHL average goals per game (2019-2020) = 3.02
= Goals per game inflation rate over period = 1.10
<strong>STEP 4</strong> = Apply KHL improvement rate + NHL goal inflation rate to Grigorenko's baseline NHL statistics:
-- 1.79 KHL improvement rate x 0.34 NHL points per game = 0.60 points per NHL game
-- 1.10 NHL goal inflation rate x 0.60 NHL points per game = 0.66 points per NHL game
-- 0.66 NHL points per game = 54 points per 82 NHL games
<strong>Projection = Grigorenko plays at a 54 point pace during the 2020-21 NHL season</strong>
Forum:
NHL Trades
Feb. 18, 2020 at 12:34 a.m.
Thread:
(LAK/VAN) - Toffoli for Schaller, Madden, 2nd round pick, conditional 4th round pick
<strong>VANCOUVER ADDITIONS:</strong>
Tyler Toffoli
<strong>VANCOUVER SUBTRACTIONS:</strong>
Brock Boeser
Michael Ferland
Timothy Schaller
<strong>2nd </strong>Round Pick (2020 - TBD)
<strong>3rd </strong>Round Pick (2018 - Madden)
<strong>Seems legit.
</strong>
Forum:
NHL Signings
Feb. 11, 2020 at 1:13 p.m.
Thread:
Edmonton Oilers signed Darnell Nurse (2 Years / $5,600,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>Here's the thing though: in 2 years, Jones, Broberg and Samorukov will all be pushing for Nurse's job. And do you really want to sign a 27-year-old to a long-term deal? I don't think he'll have much leverage at that point.</div></div>
It would depend on how he's playing I guess ... 27 isn't that old for a defensemen.
Leverage won't be applicable when his contract expires ... it generally requires some type of constraint that the leverage helps you maneuver through.
Nurse will have 100% leverage over Edmonton ... and the freedom to do whatever he wants as a UFA.
The thing I don't like about your scenario is that a 7th overall pick will be walking out the door about 3-years after he became a top-4 defensemen.
Forum:
NHL Signings
Feb. 11, 2020 at 8:00 a.m.
Thread:
Edmonton Oilers signed Darnell Nurse (2 Years / $5,600,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>thelastlongbow</b></div><div>Nurse's camp did well in controlling his future! At 5.6 there's a "hometown" discount, but it's not cheap either.</div></div>
LOL ... "Hometown Discount"
On a 2 year contract with a $5,600,000 cap-hit that makes him a UFA at 27 years old.
This AAV implies that Nurse would be worth $8,000,000 - $9,000,000 on a long-term deal.
You can't even call it a bridge deal since it's got a UFA expiry.
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