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goldie078

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Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 12, 2017 at 12:14 p.m.
Thread: Duchene
coga16

The best teams don't draft and develop at a rate fast enough to fill out Colorado's NHL blue line, and Colorado has fewer players on the table to pick from. That's if I'm assuming the Avs have 4 NHL D (instead of 2), and are only wanting to fill 3-4 spots.

Pick any team you want. If they add 1 D from their farm team in a year, that's a good year. 2 is excellent.
There is no way the Avs fill out their blue line. They won't have the talent+luck to double their odds, they haven't the bodies to double their spins of the wheel.

The primary problem in Colorado is NHL players leaving faster than they are arriving. It's not just with the stars like Stastny, O'Reilly or Duchene wanting to get out asap.
Wiercoch was a great addition last year, that he didn't work out is the problem the Avs need to fix. Coaching, atmosphere around the team, paying attention to the wrong stats, pressure from above?
Will there be any of the players from the O'Reilly trade left next season?

You certainly do know the Avs prospects better than me. You're up close, like someone driving in a traffic jam who's ready to pounce on the gas pedal. I'm just the bird in the sky who sees the whole thing as slow and predictable.



The Duchene trade situation is a fiasco, the Avs are desperate for defencemen. These things have already happened. Fixing them doesn't change much.
The way the Avalanche will dig themselves out of their hole is with coaching. Boring hockey, cut down on goals against. Once they're stable, then they can start developing the guys who only get 10 minutes a night so they'll want to stick around. The stars will enjoy coming to the rink because they feel like they can make a difference.

Coaches under heavy pressure don't make the smart moves for the team and franchise, they just do whatever they can to survive another week. If the team loses 10-0, no one is cool with saying "Yeah, that's right, we intend to play a bunch of prospects and we're probably going to lose 12-0 tomorrow because I noticed some things they need to learn tonight".

The way this is headed is a bloodbath. Sakic fired. Coach fired at end of season. Duchene traded just to clear the air. A bunch of journeymen vets filling the spot of any rookie who couldn't win a spot on any other NHL team. Then hopefully maybe honesty comes in and there is a steady rebuild. You don't get lost time back.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 12, 2017 at 11:40 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 6, 2017 at 1:16 p.m.
Thread: Bennett
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 6, 2017 at 12:58 p.m.
Thread: Bennett
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Dylan1995</b></div><div>

You can't say the guy is worth a top 5 pick when he hasn't even cracked the roster. Yes he's very good but is he dougie Hamilton good? No and Calgary gave up a first for him and it was t even TOP 5 Haha come on man lazar is a lost cause and jost is already looking a lot better then him</div></div>

Hasn't cracked the roster. I am of the opinion that Kylington and Andersson could play, but CGY just did the smart thing and let them develop by playing top minutes. I am absolutely confident they are NHL top 4, and maybe NHL top pair.

All good deals hurt both sides. If I had to guess, I would say the instinctual reaction was feeling the hurt of Duchene/Jost who have been seen in the NHL vs. "For who?!"
I think GMs with a scouting team to lean on would take a different view, and I think the structure of a bigger deal like I proposed is the one thing that works for Colorado.

Duchene isn't the problem in Colorado, but they have to trade him or trade Mackinnon because they can't commit to both and they can't afford to let another star walk like Stastny. They have no excuses at a time like this where they are stuck in the basement and not even drafting 1st overall anymore due to the new rules. They aren't going to be getting one of the half dozen #1D stars -- they're not available, or they won't be around long enough to see the rebuild through. There's no team out there that has a pairing of young NHL ready D like Calgary; they're one step above Manson and Montour who were 24 and 22 year old nobodies of Anaheim before last season.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 6, 2017 at 12:31 p.m.
Thread: Bennett
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>coga16</b></div><div>

Jost and Duchene haha thats funny. Bennett isnt worth Jost straight up and Kylington doesnt get you Duchene

ANd you initally think that would have got you Mackinnon...wow</div></div>

Look, Duchene walks in one year. Bennett is what, 5 years younger.
Lazar and Jost are not that far apart yet.
So CGY locks in 2 upgrades today. COL takes on uncertainty -- which is fine, they still have 2 top 6 Cs of their own that they trust, that they can count on.
Kylington is going to be worth a lot, and you will probably never hear him traded from Calgary. He's worth more than a 2nd round pick. He's worth more than a top 5 1st round pick, because he's proven out and on track. Think of Kylington + Andersson as Pietrangelo + Bouwmeester.

You might very well be upset, but it's not from this trade offer. Let it sit and come back to it


edit: Sorry for mixing the 3 proposals around and mentioning Lazar when you responded to Bennett + Kylington.
fwiw I think Kylington and Andersson are worth more as a pair given all the minutes they've played. They're the same age and their game complements each other. If it makes you reconsider, they were at times expected to go much much earlier in the draft.

Kylington + Andersson + Bennett for a great Top 6 C and futures in return (CGY has traded 6 out of their next 14 draft picks) would be what's needed in return. Keep in mind there is a bit of a gap in CGY's D depth going forward losing their top 2 prospects, they have played Bartowski and Russell to get through it already.

I'll also add, for all the hype given to CAR's D corp -- Faulk, Hanifin don't show up as good defenders in the types of shots they give up. They artificially look better with offense numbers that get recorded and seen, while the one aspect of their game that a F or G can't replace is their biggest weakness and forgotten because no one watches Carolina.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 5, 2017 at 2:41 p.m.