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jempey82
Member Since
Jul. 7, 2018
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
Forum Posts
221
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0.1
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 24, 2023 at 10:30 a.m.
Thread:
Leafs 23-24
Your values are low by a bit on Samsonov and by a bit more on Bunting and Zucker.
I like the thought of some of these moves. But values aren’t there. You only have a 21 man roster with no cap space so you are in major trouble if you have someone injured.
Lastly, you can’t just assume Murray will be on LTIR. Can’t just stash him there without him actually being hurt. Sure he likely ends up missing half the season. But can’t just assume that. You have to factor his 4.6 mil into your plan, and see it as a bonus if you can stash him at some point.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 24, 2023 at 10:23 a.m.
Thread:
Go easy
IMO Way too much for McCabe even with the Hawks taking on Kerfoot. While he is a veteran and brings a little to the table. He is not that much of an upgrade on Sandin.
Adding Lafferty to the Hawks deal and just skipping the Kuraly deal and it’s interesting
That said I expect you see the Leafs look at depth Dmen that will be a 7/8 defender and perhaps another bottom six forward. So McCabe is likely out. I think names like Nick Seeler, Justin Braun, and maybe Luke Schenn (although his reported asking price should push the Leafs out of that one.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 11:03 a.m.
Thread:
Laughs
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>In_it_to_winnik</b></div><div>Agreed, but adding a RD to push brodie to the left has the same effect imo</div></div>
Brodie has always been more comfortable on the right side and has played almost exclusively RD throughout his career.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 11:01 a.m.
Thread:
Go Chefs Great houdly moodly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>Leading the NCAA in goals, no pedigree eh? Go away</div></div>
Check your stats chief he currently sits T-7 in goal scoring and T-23 in pts. But thanks for furthering my point for me. He is a good prospect, he is not an elite prospect.
Any other shots in the dark you wanna take?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 10:18 a.m.
Thread:
Laughs
I don’t see the Leafs making any kind of move for a RD at this point. They have a decent lineup on the right side, with depth already built in.
If they are making a move on the back end it is for a difference maker that would be a top 4 upgrade with term on the left side (Chychrun, McCabe, Ekholm)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 10:06 a.m.
Thread:
Go Chefs Great houdly moodly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>Knies is a high end prospect everyone says so. While I don't know how good he'll be, his ceiling is extremely high which is why everyone wants him, and why Dubas doesn't want to give him up. But let's just pretend he's a B prospect so you can get him for nothing eh?</div></div>
I never said he was any kind of throw in prospect at all. I in fact said he has value and rated him as a B+ prospect which is a quite high rating for a guy that hasn’t signed with the team yet and was a second round pick in his draft year.
He has zero pedigree to call him a can’t miss (or A level prospect) he hasn’t played any pro style hockey at this point so it is hard to tell what he will be when the competition level changes, and it is that unknown quantity that means he doesn’t have A level value. Sure any team would like to have a guy that has upside and top 6 power forward potential. But to assume he would carry the value of an A/A+ prospect (reserved for guys who are top 10 picks generally and are seen as imminently entering the league with immediate potential star status) is a major reach is what I am saying.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 9:50 a.m.
Thread:
Go Chefs Great houdly moodly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>You are not worth talking to</div></div>
Seems like you could have just said nothing rather than this reply if I’m not worth talking too. But just so I can see where you’re coming from on your stance that Knies is a can’t miss prospect, since you have offered nothing in the way of reasoning so far. What are you basing this can’t miss status on?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 8:55 a.m.
Thread:
Go Chefs Great houdly moodly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>You are either one of those "everything tied to the leafs is crap" people or just ill informed. Knies is very much a top prospect. Everyone says so. So no, ROR is not getting Knies and Barbashev isn't worth more than a 2nd.</div></div>
I am neither ill informed or a Leafs pessimist. Knies while a good prospect with high upside, at this point without any real prove it moments remains a B+ prospect which makes him a top prospect, but not the kind of A+ prospect that has unmatched trade value. So in this case he is not going to get 2 guys on his own with impact potential even if both are having down years.
However if they do move him which I am sure is not high on the teams list I am in agreement that it will be in a different kind of trade. One that brings in a player with Term that is a much bigger impact overall both this playoff push and next season.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 8:48 a.m.
Thread:
Oreilly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MitchJr</b></div><div>First, every team is going to ask for $3.75M in retention. Can’t think of any team that can afford him at full cap hit.
He may get a first (& his track record deserves it) but he’s had such a bad year, I doubt it. s you say - could be a buyer’s market.
Could he just re-sign there instead?</div></div>
When I say buyers market I am talking about trade deadline buyers market. There are a pile of pending UFAs that are said to be available and with that many impact players on the market the price will potentially be much lower than in past years. So it could drive the price down, but in the case of a guy like ROR who is playoff experienced and still an elite level shut down Center he likely draws a first regardless when you take retention into consideration.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 8:41 a.m.
Thread:
Go Chefs Great houdly moodly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>ROR and Barbashev are not getting Knies</div></div>
Pretty sure it’s the other way around. Knies is a B+ Prospect not an A+ (or even and A prospect honestly) he has lots of upside and has the most value of any Leafs prospect. But he isn’t alone getting 2 impact players.
Honestly the value is there in the trade. That said I still wouldn’t do it from a Leafs stand point. They need to divide their assets to fill more gaps. One deal like this while it fills 2 holes (top 6 quality left side and third line veteran depth with lots of playoff experience) I think filling the hole in the top 4 D is more important.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 8:34 a.m.
Thread:
Ducks Tank For Bedard
If the Leafs move their first (which I think they will) it will involve a more long term and higher impact player. Yes getting Holl of the books would be nice (addition through subtraction) and losing Kerfoots contract would be important if they want cap space to add elsewhere, but what good is cap space if you don’t have the trade assets to use it?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 8:22 a.m.
Thread:
Both Is it possible
I feel like assets can be better used. I like the idea of Chychrun, hell I love the idea of Chychrun. But I just don’t know if it’s going to work. That said I think a package that involves a first and Sandin is a very good start but good chance it’s also going to involve Knies as well (based on asking price of 1st +1st equivalent+B prospect although the Leafs should look to try and send a contract back as well to make room for other deals)
I feel like you could acquire 2 players that could make an impact for the cost of Chychrun and while the long term may not be as huge as what Chychrun could bring It would be a smarter use of limited assets to fill more needs.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 12, 2023 at 8:03 a.m.
Thread:
Oreilly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MitchJr</b></div><div>ROR is not going to return a 1st, not given his year</div></div>
Good chance he is if you’re going to ask for almost 4 mil in retention.
That said it’s looking like a buyers market with all of the expiring contracts rumoured to be available so it could drive the price down on the second tier of guys.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 31, 2021 at 10:52 a.m.
Thread:
Ight
I would be afraid to play Sandin in a top 4 role this early. While he showed promise, he needs a full year against NHL competition. That said if it did need to happen, I would be more tempted to put him with Brodie. Holl would be very exposed in this situation. Muzzin keeps him safe
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 31, 2021 at 10:43 a.m.
Thread:
A couple moves to add some veteran presence
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JaredOfLondon</b></div><div>Gudbranson wouldn't fill a hole on the Marlies, he's not an nhler</div></div>
While he doesn’t fit some people idea of what an NHL player is in the league today (because his advanced stats are not at shining star level) he still provides a presence and edge that will hit and block shots. Sure he isn’t the best defenceman out there, but when you are a cap strapped team with specific needs you take what you can get and hope that with a few less minutes against (primarily) 3rd and 4th lines, he can give you a decent year so you can upgrade at 2RD next year and put Holl down a peg where he belongs.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 12:40 p.m.
Thread:
DVORAK TRADE FAS
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>I don't know why their is so much love shown for Dvorak by Leaf fans. He may be worth 4.4m contract, but certainly the trade proposed and others are really overpayments by the Leafs.
For some reason many Leaf fans are really enamoured by non playoff teams players.
In what world does the cap work. Tatar and Ritchie sign for 1m?</div></div>
You are going to pay to trade for a top 6 player, AZ isn’t going to give him away, and if you consider the alternatives you are getting, I think he is worth giving up a little more. A top 6 winger that could easily put up .5 pts per game playing in the Leafs top 6 is worth a top end prospect and an early round pick plus.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 12:38 p.m.
Thread:
DVORAK TRADE FAS
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KM87</b></div><div>I don't really want Dvorak. His 5v5 numbers aren't that great.</div></div>
While they are not superb 5v5 numbers, he would almost certainly increase his 5v5 production playing with elite level players.
But you can add the fact that the Leafs PP could use a shot in the arm and that is a plus as well, and then you can add the fact that he kills penalties as well and you have a 3 format player that could easily meet the production you get from Hyman for less than 5 million per for another 4 year and I think it’s a steal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 9:04 a.m.
Thread:
Why is everybody freaking out
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ecupirate07</b></div><div>Improvement in cap sure. The Op’s point wasnt excitement in lower AAV on goalies.</div></div>
Have to look at the big picture to see the win in a cap strapped team. As a fit for what the team was looking to do, as well as the cap ramifications Mrazek is an improvement.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 9:00 a.m.
Thread:
Why is everybody freaking out
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ecupirate07</b></div><div>I think you’ll be disappointed if you think Mrazek is an improvement</div></div>
While he isn’t Freddie when he stands on his head, he is very close to the same level as Freddie was when both are at their baseline. Plus he cost over a million less per season to play a platoon role. Really a lateral move quality wise but an improvement cap wise.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 8:57 a.m.
Thread:
Why is everybody freaking out
I feel like you loose quite a bit going from Hyman as your 1LW to Galchenyuk or Kerfoot. The thing that is concerning is you don’t have much at all on the left side when it comes to guys that can get after it and drive a line, turn pucks over and be a general pain in the ass.
I think the biggest cause for concern is less about being dramatically worse and more about the fact that the team is not improving when many other contenders in the same tier as the Leafs did get better.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 8:51 a.m.
Thread:
Hextall Makes Hockey Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gpmack95</b></div><div>What do you think they would like? Dermott?</div></div>
I would assume they would look at the third being a second. Don’t think they take on any cap as far as players and retain for 2 years. Maybe add a B- level prospect like SDA.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 8:34 a.m.
Thread:
Hextall Makes Hockey Trades
As a Leaf fan I definitely wouldn’t mind the idea of Zucker at that cap hit for 2 years. I am okay with the return to Pitt as well. Not sure Buffalo eats that kind of cap though without getting a bigger piece in return.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 7:55 a.m.
Thread:
Centre depth
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>xFalse</b></div><div>They have 3.5M to sign someone else. As much as 5M if they move on from Mikheyev</div></div>
Problem is there won’t be a lot of action on Mikheyev. As much as he isn’t negative value normally, flat cap season has made him very difficult to move without taking something back or sweetening the pot a little. Not many teams out there looking to add a bottom 6 with very little offensive upside.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 30, 2021 at 6:29 a.m.
Thread:
Trade Reilly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jaok3</b></div><div>Spezza is way to old to play 3rd line minutes and shouldn't be on a checking line</div></div>
Spezza is coming off a good season and a solid playoffs. He needs more minutes than they were giving him last year. He is a solid veteran and can handle any role given to him. Plus, the days of the straight checking line are gone. The third line anymore needs to not be a liability defensively while giving the ability to sneak a goal in now and then. If you aren’t getting 20-30 goals from your 3rd line you will struggle.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29, 2021 at 7:42 a.m.
Thread:
Toronto minus Marner So good
This doesn’t make the team any better, you do not
Fix the hole on the left side at all, and if Keefoot and Spezza are your 1 & 2 LW that’s not a great scenario
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