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newballcoach

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May 16, 2019

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Toronto Maple Leafs

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Forum: Armchair-GMSep 10 at 11:56

Thread: Making a wild guess on Leafs and Bruins rumors

The Rielly trade makes absolutely zero sense. Trade for a worse pending UFA then the one you already have? Unless it's a significant player or draft pick accompanying him, there's just no reason.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 22 at 7:31

Thread: 2Trades 2Signings

You traded a 70-point defenceman for a backup goalie? Not sure that's the move that the Leafs are going to want to make.

That's probably more money and term then I would want to give to Savard. It would be better to keep our current top four in tact if that's the best option. I like the Saad signing and would love him if he only cost that much. Would also love to see the Leafs acquire Jarnkrok from Seattle, I've had him as a target for a bit (assumed they would take him).

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 22 at 7:27

Thread: Trip

I don't think the Leafs want to give up a 2nd for Georgiev. I do think they'll do something, but the price is a bit heftier then I think they'd like.

Not sure Seattle wants to do that considering their dearth of centres. Although after this week, who the hell knows what they're doing.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 10 at 9:17

Thread: Pre-Expansion Wishlist

I don't think you'll have to convince Seattle to take Holl. Who are you protecting in that scenario? The only likely players of value to be exposed are Kerfoot and Dermott. Neither one of them is Holl + a 3rd.

I like Schwartz as well. You've overpaid Galchenyuk and the goaltending scares me.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 10 at 9:12

Thread: Tarasenko and LeBanc

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Klara</b></div><div>Who is Leblanc?</div></div>

Yikes. Typo!

I'm sure there's a LeBlanc somewhere and he's probably a swell guy.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 10 at 9:11

Thread: Tarasenko and LeBanc

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>A_K</b></div><div>I've seen some Dunn/rielly swaps and I don't think it makes any sense for STL. The only reason they'd trade Dunn is to get a pick and lose a lesser piece in the expansion draft. Swapping him for rielly would likely force them to protect 4 d-men and then lose a better forward. How about tarasenko at 5.5 mil for Robertson? A bit of a gamble but if his shoulder is good to go it could pay off.</div></div>

I have seen Blues fans create Rielly trades so naturally assumed there was some interest. Adding in Dunn was for Toronto's sake, I can see why the Blues would be hesitant to include him there.

I don't know if the Leafs would want to move Robertson. Tarasenko carries a lot of risk. It's quite possible over the next two years Robertson scores more goals, and that would be bad. It would really depend on how bad the Leafs want Tarasenko. I'm not sure he's the perfect add for them TBH, just a fun thought.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 9 at 12:44

Thread: Leafs Need Two Top Six Wingers

I think the Leafs have overpaid in both of those trades. You can find help that won't cost that much, nothing particularly special about either of these two players.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 8 at 1:58

Thread: Blockbuster

Not sure Anaheim or Chicago take those deals.

The framework on the St. Louis deal is fine, but with Tarasenko's injury history you're taking a risk. Dunn is a nice add but I don't like he can handle the minutes Muzzin plays. You need to keep Justin Holl in this situation.

If that's the St. Louis trade, it now makes Morgan Rielly expendable (since Dunn plays a similar style, albeit not as well). I'd like to see what that return would look like. Maybe it's part of the Chicago trade.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 8 at 1:55

Thread: SEA becomes middle man

I don't think Hall is going to take that contract, no reason for him to it's a huge discount.

I don't see Tierney being a huge upgrade over Kerfoot to be honest. Why give up Hallander and a 3rd for him. I am sure you could steer Seattle to a player like Dermott for less if you wanted to.

I could see Toronto dealing with Seattle though, a forward upgrade and maybe a goaltender would be the move. Regardless I would definitely ask them to retain salary, especially on a 1-year deal like Tierney's to provide more flexibility.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 8 at 1:47

Thread: TOR Fans Whats His Cost

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Terry_AkiSauce</b></div><div>I really don't think Holl would get moved</div></div>

I tend to agree. His contribution at his cap number is pretty invaluable for Toronto. He's only currently the only RHD on the roster. They would only move him if they got a replacement, and maybe not even then.

The mismatch platter of things you don't want is definitely not going to entice Toronto.

Forum: Armchair-GMJul 8 at 1:44

Thread: isles get tarasenko

No way St. Louis retains that much salary for that return. I highly doubt they'd be willing to retain any at all, but they would definitely want more then a prospect you don't want, a winger you don't want and a third round pick.

There is also no way to "backload" an NHL contract to reduce the cap hit. Cap hits are calculated by Average Annual Value, meaning no matter what a player makes in a given year, their cap hit stays the same. You can't do it on cap friendly because it's not possible in real life.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 30 at 9:55

Thread: What do you think

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>qwerty271</b></div><div>Can someone explain to me how it would work against the leafs?
Isn't it just that they have to have a 'over cap' team in place to get the full relief?</div></div>

Yes I can. Two ways both revolving around the trade deadline. The first is that you must now take the players full cap hit on, so instead of getting a 5 million dollar player for the 1.8 or so he has left on his salary, you need to have space for the entire 5. The second is very similar, but your capspace will accrue during the season as a result of money already paid out. If you are working in LTIR, cap space stays the same, meaning you are tight up to the cap the entire time. The way cap friendly uses LTIR is not the way it functions in real life.

There is no reason to work in LTIR unless you have to. The Leafs had to for a few years, they no longer have to and should not seek to.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 30 at 9:39

Thread: What do you think

I don't understand why people think LTIR is some cheat code for the Leafs? Using LTIR works against you in everyway.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 29 at 10:10

Thread: Huge Moves

I feel like the Leafs would be willing to do that trade, even if some of Schenn's term scares me a bit. I'd love to see if the Leafs could add Dunn if they're moving Rielly, he has a similar type game and would give them some insurance in case their top rookie Sandin isn't 100% ready.

Would the Blues want Rielly? He plays similar styles to Faulk and Krug. It feels like with these trades St. Louis goes from a tougher D to a more puck-moving offensively focused D. I don't have a problem with that, but it seems to be a big philosophy change for a team that won a cup very recently.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 29 at 9:59

Thread: 21-22 Leafs

Do we honestly feel like adding Hamilton is what this team was missing last year? Does his presence help them win the series against Montreal? I don't think so. I think that money needs to be spread out in the forward group to improve some depth there. Your LW's might be the worst in the NHL, Robertson being on the first line is a HUGE gamble that he likely is not ready for (seems like a bottom-6 role to start makes sense). The goaltending is terrifying here.

Signing Hamilton also mean Morgan Rielly is guaranteed out the door next year, because you can't afford to pay another big ticket on the back end. Not sure this solves any problems at all. Not a fan of the Leafs signing Dougie light.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 29 at 10:07

Thread: Realistic offseason I think

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ritzy</b></div><div>Seeing a lot of Tatar signings on Leafs' threads these days. Not sure what the obsession is with him when he can't crack the current Habs playoff roster.</div></div>

He's a potential bounce-back candidate. I'd love him on a low-cost, one-year deal to allow him to rebuild some value. He'd be a great add to the powerplay and to add some offence in the bottom-6. Not sure I want him at that price and term though.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 29 at 10:04

Thread: Could it be this simple

I don't think Kane fits in well with this core, and at that price, I would pass. Not to mention his plethora of legal issues right now I'm not sure it's worth the gamble. You've tied up almost 53 million in your top-6 forwards, seems a bit short-sighted.

You're going to have a hard time getting any offence out of that bottom 6. And that D core is looking scary if Muzzin misses any games (which he does every year). Goaltending scares me too.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 22 at 10:06

Thread: Leafs

I like the Armia signing for the third line. Other than that, you've traded away a bunch of guys in questionable deals, and not made the team any better. That's a risky goaltending tandem to run.

Your centre depth is awful, especially considering Coleman is not one. I'd rather play Nylander there.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 22 at 10:03

Thread: Read this on Tkachuk

There's a few players I think they would target in some 1-for-1 with maybe a bit of addition on either sides.

Buffalo- Reinhardt or Eichel.
Columbus- Jones or Laine. I know their RHD seems pretty set but if they lose Giordano maybe Jones makes sense.
Nashville- Ekholm plus
Arizona- Keller or OEL

Not sure how many of teams want/need Tkachuk though. Not going to be an easy deal to make.

Please note that Mitchell Marner does not appear on this list.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 22 at 9:46

Thread: Moving All Three and Piling Up Picks and Rentals

Anaheim and Columbus aren't trading huge packages, including their top 5 picks in this draft, for your players. Neither team is currently in a position to make an aggressive move like that.

Ristolameo has negative value, you're not getting a big package for him unless you take a gross contract back.

Toronto MIGHT do that deal, but their need for RHD is greatly diminished so I don't see a need for it.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 22 at 9:44

Thread: Big Moves

No chance the Flames do that deal. I don't really want Tkachuk on the Leafs, but that's not the trade.

Maybe if they lose Giordano in the expansion draft there's a potential deal with Rielly. But Tkachuk is going to want 10+ on his next contract and the Leafs are not in a position to give that to him. Not a fit.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 22 at 9:38

Thread: Highest Paid 4th line in history

Is is a hat trick when you propose three major trades that none of the teams would accept? I don't see any reason for Vancouver or Anaheim to want those deals, they're not even close.

The Devils giving up a 2nd for Ristolameo when they already have Subban and Severson is insane. Even if he was worth that, that's maybe one of five teams in the entire league who don't need an RHD.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 22 at 9:30

Thread: Lets try a more realistic Tkachuk deal

Minutes after this deal is announced, Kyle Dubas tears off his dress shirt to reveal a Calgary Flames logo underneath, laughing as he takes a job in their front office.

No chance the Leafs retain any salary in which they trade away the best player in the deal. I understand your rational why you did what you said, but it's a poor deal for the Leafs and there's no way around that. It makes the team worse, even if everyone is mad at Marner for his playoff performance.

Can I just add that Marner's contract is not a "problem" nor something the Leafs have to "get out of." He's an excellent player who is paid pretty much what's hes worth. Would I like it to be a bit cheaper, of course. Would I have preferred it if we didn't have a pandemic that caused lots of bad things, including the flat cap, of course. But that doesn't mean you trade him on 50 cents to the dollar, and Dubas won't either

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 22 at 9:00

Thread: Big changes

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Tkachuk hasnt been suspended since 2017... he is nothing like Kadri</div></div>

He was suspended twice that season wasn't he? Then there was the Zach Kassian thing last year, as well as let's not forget he injured Jack Campbell earlier this season (not sure how he got away with that). I think it's pretty clear he's crossed the line enough to be a problem.

Forum: Armchair-GMJun 22 at 8:55

Thread: Friedman said Tkachuk wants out of Calgary

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Oilers4Days</b></div><div>When did Friedman say it??

I thought it was this
According to Sportsnet analyst Shane O'Brien on today's Steve Kouleas Powerplay podcast Matthew Tkachuk might want out of Calgary.</div></div>

So that's OBVIOUSLY 100% confirmation of Tkachuk for Marner!!!!!

This board gets way too full of group think.

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