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rktkt66
rktkt66
Member Since
Jun. 11, 2018
Favourite Team
Buffalo Sabres
2nd Favourite Team
Edmonton Oilers
Forum Posts
940
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0.4
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 1, 2023 at 8:18 p.m.
Thread:
Ducks pre camp and at deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>I don’t think the Sabres are gonna trade for a goalie at this point
But if they were gonna, this deal seems “in the ballpark” of reality</div></div>
I think the Sabres would ask for more retention on Gibson - they're not going to pay $4.4M for the next 4 years, especially when it's highly likely that Gibson would quickly go from a 1B insurance plan behind Levi in the upcoming season into a full-time backup the final 3 seasons thereafter (2 of which will overlap a likely extension in the $3M-5M range for Levi after his ELC expires).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 1, 2023 at 8:13 p.m.
Thread:
Center help
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>That’s an easy “No” from the Sabres
Holding salary on Lyubushkin would essentially bring Grzelcyk’s Cap hit around $5mil
And there’s just no chance at all we’d be interested in that, even if we did want him- which i don’t think we necessarily do</div></div>
Agree - and it also seems that the Sabres like to have Lyubushkin, Stillman and Jokiharju all on contracts that expire at the end of the coming season because it keeps a spot open for Ryan Johnson if he ends up being NHL-ready for 2024-25 as most think he will.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 1, 2023 at 8:10 p.m.
Thread:
small upgrades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gretzkyghosts</b></div><div>Based on Kevyn's actions before Karmanos became Associate GM.
When Kevyn became GM he made absolutely terrible free agency decisions.
I may not have posted my thoughts on this site at the time of his signings but I let them known to other people. For example:
TBH, I cannot recall all of his terrible signings but the most egregious was letting Larsson walk and signing Eakin.
Larsson would have signed for less and actually wanted to stay in Buffalo.
He traded Montour for a third.
He traded Hall for a second and over paid him by double when he did sign him.
He let Ullmark walk.
When Karmanos joined the team, suddenly we get Levi and a first for Reinhart, a first and second for Ristolainen, a boat load for Eichel and start making smart UFA signings.
Well that is my belief and my evidence.</div></div>
Yet Adams allowed Pittsburgh to interview both Karmanos and Ventura.........
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29, 2023 at 10:38 a.m.
Thread:
My offseason Montreal thoughts
Is this just a post of wishful thinking of what could have happened but didn't? I don't get the point of the post....
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29, 2023 at 10:35 a.m.
Thread:
small upgrades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gretzkyghosts</b></div><div>No of course not.
Adams is the public face.
Karmanos, Fortan, Ventura and Crowe are the puppeteers and Adams is the puppet.
To Kevyn's credit he understands his short comings and lets the talented crew work behind the scenes.</div></div>
Interesting theory but based on what?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29, 2023 at 10:34 a.m.
Thread:
Getting a goalie for the future
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Genozs</b></div><div>Buffalo passes. I'd be interested, but not involving Ostlund</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>It's interesting that you picked leinonen. We took him as the first goalie off the board, and I think a lot of people thought it was a bad pick. There's questions about his weight, I think only one nhl goalie played heavier than him in his draft year (i wanna say freddie anderson) and his numbers have been horrific since he was drafted. I know goalies dont exactly have a short predictable learning curve, but leinonen seems like a curious target.</div></div>
If the Canadiens were to pitch such a trade to Buffalo, it seems like asking for Leinonen would be more of a smokescreen in order to really land the more coveted prospect in Ostlund in a package.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29, 2023 at 10:30 a.m.
Thread:
huge window to contend
I applaud the effort but it's hard enough to forecast what could happen with the roster during the coming season and the season thereafter - to guess on what could happen without knowing which players are on which teams or even in the NHL in 2 seasons seems impossible.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29, 2023 at 10:25 a.m.
Thread:
small upgrades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Skyraider112</b></div><div>No chance Buffalo makes that Vancouver trade. Boeser isn't an upgrade over Olofsson at all, he's just a more expensive version with a much less lethal one-timer. It would take more to get Vejmelka.</div></div>
Maybe, maybe not - with Coyotes flip-flopping between a scorched earth-type rebuild and simultaneously dropping hints that they want to remain "competitive", who really knows which players they keep versus dump. There's also the other side of the equation to consider as to whether players will tire of the losing and ask to be traded. Keller's camp was obviously concerned about the instability of where the franchise will play. Also, the Coyotes re-signed Ingram to a 3 year extension so a Vejmelka/Ingram veteran duo doesn't really fit the rebuild mode as much as the "competitive" mode. Vejmelka's career stats aren't that much better than UPL's albeit he has more NHL experience as a starter and is accustomed to playing behind bad defenses.
When there was the prospect that the Sabres might add a veteran to back up Levi, I was 100% promoting the idea of Vejmelka because his age, cap hit and experience seemed to be a better fit than the Hellebuyck/Gibson/Hart theories floating around fan sites but I've resigned myself to accept Adams is sticking with his goalies for now and see how the season goes with a Levi-UPL tandem. A trade for Vejmelka - or any other goalie - could still happen in the future if the circumstances and events of the season start reinforcing the urgency and need to do so.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 29, 2023 at 10:18 a.m.
Thread:
small upgrades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gretzkyghosts</b></div><div>I sure hope <strong>Karmanos</strong> does not give Victor away for a third as many of the Sabre ACGM's often suggest.</div></div>
Hmmm. Are you suggesting Adams won't be the GM at the time of the trade?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 27, 2023 at 9:05 p.m.
Thread:
finish the off season strong
So the Sabres give up 7 players plus a 2nd rounder just to land Swayman and Dillon in the 3-way with Winnipeg and Boston? I don't see it happening nor do I think it's worth the pieces they're giving up just for Swayman. Dillon is a marginal defenseman and not much of an upgrade, if at all, over Jokiharju.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 27, 2023 at 8:57 p.m.
Thread:
Simple
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUF10</b></div><div>Greenway is going to be in the top 6.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUF10</b></div><div>They didn’t trade a 2nd for him to be a bottom 6 player or healthy scratch.</div></div>
We'll see. Greenway may see time on any of the 4 lines during the season - it's pretty clear in everything Granato has said that he intends to give ample opportunities in different situations / combinations to try and "unlock" that potential he thinks Greenway has. Considering the up and down performances Greenway gave, it seems likely that he may be inconsistent and force Granato to shift him up and down the lines and ice time allotments.
In the same vein, they didn't push hard to insist on Krebs as the key piece of the Eichel trade just to keep him perpetually on the 4th line. Last season's time there was clearly with the intent of developing Krebs' defensive awareness and consistency of effort - but his potential as an offensive catalyst is only going to be reached with at least consistent time in the top 9, likely centering the 3rd line rather than Jost.
We'll see whether or not Olofsson sticks around beyond training camp - he may likely be the insurance policy / fallback option and stay only if all of the prospects (Kulich, Savoie, Rousek or another Amerk) show they're not ready for full-time duty in Quinn's spot. Odds are that at least one of them have a strong camp and make a case for deserving an NHL spot, which would then make Olofsson expendable.
Although the pairings could vary in any combination (including 2 LHD or 2 RHD as partners), I think the top 6 defensemen you have listed in the top 3 pairings are the ones they'll go with. I expect they'll keep 8 defensemen with Stillman and Lyubushkin as the extras.
Bryson is clearly a spare part - whether he has any trade value whatsoever or would be claimed on waivers if demoted is anyone's guess. I don't think it's an automatic that, if he clears waivers, the Sabres would want him to take a roster spot in Rochester at the expense of either Johnson or Novikov not getting top 4 ice time. His cap hit is small enough that a buyout isn't much worse other than its multi-year impact than the buried amount they'd pay.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 19, 2023 at 8:14 p.m.
Thread:
Another Karlsson Proposal
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>Buffalo would do that trade if pesce would have waived</div></div>
And which forward comes out of the lineup when Quinn returns and Teuravainen is on board?
If the Sabres add any forward from the outside, it seems more plausible that it would be a depth forward to serve as insurance and the 13th forward (like they did with Hinostroza when they weren't sure if either Peterka or Quinn would become regulars last fall).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 19, 2023 at 8:09 p.m.
Thread:
Playoff Team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>homiedaclown</b></div><div>Doesn’t make sense for the Sabres unless we do something in goal too
Ostlund & a pick to the Jets maybe?</div></div>
I don't follow the logic - the Sabres are claiming the additions of Clifton and Johnson, through their experience and the depth they'll add, will automatically help their goaltending. If they were to also add Pesce to further strengthen their defense, why would it then make sense to rent Hellebuyck (or worse, extend him)?
It's all moot - neither Pesce nor Hellebuyck seem likely to be moved in the offseason. If their teams can't find acceptable trades or extend either player on their own, both seem destined to play the season out and be trade deadline candidates.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 19, 2023 at 8:05 p.m.
Thread:
Couple Trades
Sabres pass
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 19, 2023 at 8:05 p.m.
Thread:
Quinn out
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Stadel</b></div><div>This totally ignores the point though. Its a bad bet to hinge your entire rebuild on a goalie with seven games to his name. He's got prospects, picks and cap space, he instead elects to pay his 4th line 7 mil and run it back with a young rookie and slightly older goalie who couldnt stop a beach ball .This is not good GM work any way you slice it.</div></div>
You and many fans think it's a bad bet but Adams and management think it's a safe and good bet. In the end, who has the final say?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2023 at 6:58 p.m.
Thread:
Quinn out
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Stadel</b></div><div>Not opposed to the idea assuming hed want to come back.</div></div>
Ullmark isn't going to waive his M-NTC to from being the starter to becoming the backup behind Levi.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Stadel</b></div><div>They have a chance to be something truly special, <strong>why let a guy who isnt up to the task</strong> waste it?</div></div>
Assuming that you're referring to Levi, how does anyone know that? For all the skeptics thinking he'll struggle in his rookie season, there were enough signs last season on top of his collegiate and WJC performances for the optimists to think he is up to the task. On paper, it may seem like a gamble by Adams but no one knows for sure until the games begin and we see what happens. I'm in the camp that believes Levi is the real deal and will live up to expectations.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2023 at 6:51 p.m.
Thread:
Lines and Moves
Ullmark isn't likely to waive his NTC to return to his former team and become a backup again - which is what Buffalo would want him to be behind Levi.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2023 at 6:49 p.m.
Thread:
Few Moves
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>matthias893</b></div><div>If someone wants him then great, but if not I think we're happy to keep him this year and see what's available at the deadline. After an EK65 trade we'll only have one retention slot left. If were going to use it on Labanc it'll be because he's having a resurgent year and someone wants to overpay for him at 50% retained. Teams get desperate at the TDL.
<strong>We have no pressing need to dump him though</strong>. San Jose would certainly jump at Labanc for Jokiharju straight up, but in the deal OP proposed its really the conditional first that's the sticking point. I'd rather Labanc walks next year and we keep that pick.</div></div>
The Sabres have no pressing need to add him either - their coach has already flat-out said they can compensate for Quinn's injury from within.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2023 at 6:45 p.m.
Thread:
Something different
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>homiedaclown</b></div><div>Still think that’s a “no” from the Sabres
1- i think 5yrs is more than we’d be willing to do
2- don’t think we move Krebs- or any other important roster player
3- why would we want Stanley? Already have a bunch of 3rd pair quality guys
***IF***
Hellebuyck were willing to sign a 3year extension, i think we’d already have traded for him
I also think that he just isn’t willing to sign an extension that short</div></div>
None of it matters - of all the young players that Adams says he doesn't want to block, Levi has to be at the top of his list. Hellebuyck as anything other than a 1-year rental will appear as a roadblock to Levi, which Adams clearly won't create - and the rental use vs. acquisition cost isn't worth it.
The sooner fans accept what Adams has said he'll do by sticking with Levi and UPL, the better. These fantasies about Hellebuyck, Hart or Gibson are never going to happen.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2023 at 6:42 p.m.
Thread:
Something different
The thread title says "something different" yet contains another Hellebuyck to Buffalo proposal that's just as unrealistic as the 100+ others people have proposed since LeBrun's singular mention of Buffalo being "interested".
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2023 at 11:26 a.m.
Thread:
Hurricanes
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>Pesce isn't happening in buffalo
Time to move on</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MoSeider53</b></div><div>Plus the Pesce ship to Buffalo has sailed.</div></div>
100% agree
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Subbanator7667</b></div><div>I do think a big Buffalo trade is coming eventually though, </div></div>
Don't hold your breath on that.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 18, 2023 at 11:22 a.m.
Thread:
Few Moves
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>matthias893</b></div><div>San Jose trade is a no go for sure. Jokiharju is nice, but not worth a conditional first and then Labanc on top of it.</div></div>
........and with San Jose not retaining any portion of Labanc's cap hit.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 17, 2023 at 4:11 p.m.
Thread:
Avalanche Outlook
What's the point of the 2nd trade? Neither UPL nor Francouz are proven or established NHL goalies - which is what Buffalo would want if Buffalo were to trade UPL. The draft picks aren't enough of an incentive to move one question mark for another.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 17, 2023 at 4:08 p.m.
Thread:
Moving
The moratorium on unrealistic Hellebuyck proposals to Buffalo - for any package - has expired.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 17, 2023 at 9:17 a.m.
Thread:
Say No to Erik
The entire Karlsson scenario just reeks of desperation by Dubas - potentially even fueled by FSG - to add another marquee all-star in hopes they can squeeze another playoff run out of their aging core. They already committed long-term to Letang so the infatuation with Karlsson doesn't really make sense in terms of positional needs.
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