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treemos27

Voice of unreason
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Forum: Armchair-GMMay 10, 2021 at 9:23 a.m.
Thread: Tkachuk for Laf
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NYRFan92360244</b></div><div>I know what I am giving up, but also know what I am getting back. And I am trying to find deals that fit Dolan's mandate for Drury, which is (a) more toughness, grit and fewer skilled guys and (b) more urgncy to win now as opposed to building slowly over time.



It is more like this:
Option 1: You have $2 today. It has 1-in-4 chance that it turns into $15 in the future. 1-in-4 chance it becomes $9, 1-in-4 chance of $6. And 1-in-4 chance of staying at $2.
Option 2: You could have $8 today, which has 1-in-3 chance to be $10 in the future, 1-in-3 chance in stays at $8 and 1-in-3 chance it slips to $6.

Both have present value of $8.</div></div>

Fair enough, I personally think that would be
A) An overreaction to the last few games, trading a potential superstar for a chance to get "tougher"
B) A short-sighted perspective to make that move
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 10, 2021 at 9:20 a.m.
Thread: Tkachuk for Laf
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Capitalfail67</b></div><div>So was Yak he was a 1st overall and call Laf $10 in the future and MT $5 now would lead you to believe he’s 2x the player when maybe he’s $6-$7in the future.(if everything goes right) Unless you think Laf is a 90-100 point guy</div></div>

I had a feeling you were gonna bring up Yakapov. lol
The difference an elite player can make above an average 1st line player is enormous which is why I used the 5 to 10 analogy.
You can debate the exact value.

Listen, I hear your point, but taking the "proven" player in a situation like this is a formula for missing out on a top player.

Here is an example I'll never forget that is of course unique but offers some similarities...

I once debated with someone who thought the Leafs should trade Matthews to avoid having to pay him huge $ after his ELC.
The mock trade suggested was: OEL, Domi, Strome, 1st rounder for Matthews.
At the time, OEL was pretty dominant, Domi was young and had a similar (just similar, relax) offerings as Tkachuk with a blend of skill and snarl, Strome was a future top line centre.

Looking at the trade now it looks ridiculous, but at the time there was huge debate saying the Leafs would have to consider...

I apologize for the long story, but its an example of people being short sighted with young players. Matthews was good, but he wasn't point per game, people questioned his health, etc...
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 30, 2021 at 12:58 p.m.
Thread: Targets for next years back up
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Leafsfan416</b></div><div>For starters Kerfoot is not a cap dump IMO. He will most likely be selected by Seattle so that gives you the cap space you want. As for goalie options I would be surprised to see Dubas give a 3rd rounder away to not resign Rittich. Sign him to a 1 year deal. But Remier could be a nice option too, Driedger, and Forsberg.</div></div>

Yeah, maybe. Was Johnsson a cap dump? Its a similar situation.
Personally I'd be surprised if Seattle took Kerfoot. I would take Dermott or Holl if I was them.

I guess I'd be ok with Rittich if he signed a 1 year deal on the cheap.
I'd just be concerned about wasting the team we have if ou goaltending isn't good enough. If we have full faith in Campbell then I guess its fine, but I would personally like to see a highger quality back up option if Campbell isn't up to the task.

Its not just about being good enough.. Its about being amongst the best in the league so we can win a cup. Campbell has been amazing this year and if he can keep this going for the long term we are in great shape
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 28, 2021 at 2:07 p.m.
Thread: Re-signings and Ullmark
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GodlyXJohn</b></div><div>I Think kerfoots moved for more then a 5th rounder, They will get assets back for him and a 4th/5th or at least a 3rd Kerfoots contracts got term and hes played well corsi wise with tavaras on Wing so he has Options and two types of capable play styles teams can look at, dubas understands this and will use it. Also very doubtful Ulmark would be less then 5 sooo I just dissagree on that not to mention with andersons rough season and him coming back healthy here with campbell playing very well in his absense I believe Freddy will get 3.5 or 4, From the leafs for at least 2 or years also I believe Hyman already has a deal made with dubas for 2-3m MAX, and 3-5 year term, Hymans dubas's guy and they will use all tools available to beat the seatle draft if they do have a deal made and wait till then they will get him cheaper and hes protected with out having to be from seatle look at Downtown sports on youtube guy explains in some very good detail. So yeaaa..... lmfao</div></div>

If Dubas can get more for Kerfoot I'd be thrilled. Kerfoot is a good player, but his cap hit is what is harder to move.
There is no way Hyman signs for 3million though. Thats insane. He is a 5 million dollar player.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 26, 2021 at 5:30 p.m.