SalarySwishSalarySwish

Fantilli turns Pro and MTL buys out Armia

Created by: Billy316
Team: 2023-24 Montreal Canadiens
Initial Creation Date: Mar. 13, 2023
Published: Mar. 13, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Legend
Left Handed
Original Team
Waivers Exempt
Right Handed
Position
Trade Clause
Max Perf. Bonus
Expiry Status
Term Remaining
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
Waivers ExemptMcDavid, Connor
$12,500,000 (Performance Bonus$250,000)
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Description
This post is my Prediction on what will happen so i can see how close i was.
If it was moves i wanted purely i'd Flip the FLA pick to STL and probably target Debrincat or PLD
But i feel neither ultimately ends up in MTL although im sure they use MTL as a Stalking Horse like many French Players have.
(Briere, Matheson , Perron, even Demers among many others)

I think MTL pick 5th OA is upgraded via Lotto for 3rd OA pick behind CHI and SJS. I think they select Bedard and Michkov. Michkov who's tearing up the KHL since his loan to team that can play him(went from TBL to CAR basically). SJS can afford to wait as skill wise all contract issues aside there are 2 elite players in this draft then a bunch of Future All Star and league leaders. But the gap between Bedard/Michkov and everyone else is wide. For a team just starting a rebuild the needed timeline doesnt intimidate them (atleast i dont think it would unless im wrong about the rebuild and its just a retool?)

-3rd OA MTL take Adam Fantilli

-15th OA MTL takes Eduard Sale or Dalibor Dvorsky rather then trade down when VAN and ARZ pick outside predicted rankings taking Reinbacher and Sandin-Pellikka .Similar to the free fall of Chychrun when BUF took A.Nylander over project Mikhail Sergachev. It happened again with Caufield when DET took Seider outta no where as i think the 3rd ranked D that year at 5th OA(clearly smart) but it started a domino effected

-28th OA MTL takes Michael Harabal(G)- Future Starter IMO but like 4-5 years work needed.

-37th OA MTL takes Oliver Bonk(RD)- Josh Gorges type who covers offensive Defensman.


Draft picks after that are a much longer conversation and i tap out at 2 rounds .
Onto the next problem to tackle being Roster Space and that means Armia is gone.

Armia's Buyout might span 4 years but
-34K year 1
-1.03m year 2
-143m year 3 and 4

Well IMO is just worth it to clear 3.35m on the high end and just under 2m cap on the low end.
If we could bury his contract for that cap hit , i'd keep him but his contract forced this conclusion.

I figure a gamble on Peterson could pay off given Sean Burke helped turn Smith and Dubnyks career's around as well as Montembaults for that matter.
Whats the harm in gambling on Peterson in a possible 3 goalie tandem as we have our AHL team close for call ups anyways if needed if he overachieves.
We can also keep him down to Laval and still have Burke work closely with him until Allen gets injured again
No real downside to the deal unless you look at it as MTL adding a year term .
Which is true but i see it as worst case Primeau is in a tandem with one of the AHL's best Veteran Goalies.


As i know someone will ask "what about Ylonen?"
Consistency is an issue but he'll earn his starts until Gally gets injured in November as per tradition.
Once Gally's on IR he'll have all the minutes he can handle and more.

Same idea with Harris but he'll cycle in for Barron, Kovacevic and Xhekaj often enough until Matheson goes on IR again.
Well really until anyone goes on IR again i just feel it'll be Matheson again
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
2$900,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$800,000
1$800,000
8$7,875,000
2$950,000
2$950,000
2$950,000
1$950,000
1$950,000
1$950,000
CREATEDYEARSCAP HIT
Fantilli, Adam
3$950,000
Trades
1.
MTL
  1. 2023 1st round pick (COL)
Additional Details:
MTL trades Jake Evans with 2 years remaiing on 1.7m deal in exchange for their 2023 1st round pick currently ranked 19th OA but i expect to be 25th -32nd overall at the time this post happens as it starts at the Draft.

Im Calling it the 28th OA pick assuming Landeskog is healthy for the playoffs.
COL
  1. Evans, Jake
  2. 2024 2nd round pick (COL)
Additional Details:
MTL gives back the 2nd from the Lehkonen deal in the Evans trade
2.
MTL
    -If ARZ can flip Hoffman then MTL's Conditional 3rd reverts back and ARZ pays nothing for Hoffman or RS.

    -IF ARZ flips Hoffman for a deal involving a 1st round pick then the 2024 3rd round pick (ARZ) becomes a 2024 2nd round pick(MTL)ARZ gets someone to help them with meeting their cap floor who they can play for 3-4 months then flip for a profit .
    ARI
    1. Hoffman, Mike ($2,250,000 retained)
    Additional Details:
    This deal helps MTL Give RHP a 1 year window to solidify himself before he get pushed out by anyone player like Slafkovsky , Ferrell ,Roy or any number of the special teams guys who will eat up his minutes.The idea here is to maybe take a little less now but this additional year of building up RHP's value like CHI did with Hagel before cashing in big.If we can get RHP to that 20 goal mark we're sitting pretty.
    3.
    MTL
    1. Grans, Helge
    2. Petersen, Cal
    Additional Details:
    LAK can eliminate a year term with Eddy
    Add experience in a Cup Tandem even if its just to bury him and save 1m per year keeping him as insurance
    LAK
    1. Edmundson, Joel
    2. Norlinder, Mattias
    Additional Details:
    Eddy or Allen
    Buyouts
    Retained Salary Transactions
    Buried
    DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
    2023
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the FLA
    Logo of the COL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the VGK
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the CGY
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    2024
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the SJS
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the EDM
    2025
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the CGY
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    Logo of the MTL
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
    23$82,500,000$67,467,499$1,170,000$4,275,000$15,032,501
    Left WingCentreRight Wing
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $7,875,000$7,875,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 8
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $7,875,000$7,875,000
    C
    UFA - 7
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $3,362,500$3,362,500
    C, RW
    RFA - 3
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,500,000$4M)
    RW, LW
    RFA - 2
    Fantilli, Adam
    $950,000$950,000
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $5,500,000$5,500,000
    RW, LW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $950,000$950,000
    LW, RW
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $4,450,000$4,450,000
    C
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $6,500,000$6,500,000
    RW, LW
    M-NTC, NMC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $885,000$885,000 (Performance Bonus$80,000$80K)
    C
    RFA - 3
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $950,000$950,000
    RW, LW
    UFA
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $950,000$950,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $1,100,000$1,100,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $950,000$950,000
    RW, LW
    RFA - 1
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $4,875,000$4,875,000
    LD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $3,500,000$3,500,000
    RD
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $1,000,000$1,000,000
    G
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$420,000$420K)
    LD/RD
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$275,000$275K)
    RD
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $1,925,000$1,925,000
    G
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $828,333$828,333
    LD/RD
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $766,667$766,667
    RD
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $1,400,000$1,400,000
    LD/RD
    RFA - 2
    ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $10,500,000$10,500,000
    G
    NMC
    UFA - 3

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    Top Comments

    Mar. 13, 2023 at 12:15 p.m.
    #1
    Avatar of the user
    Joined: Feb. 2022
    Posts: 3,840
    Likes: 2,515
    expect to get a cap from other teams this year aswell! monahan or dadonov style.
    Mar. 13, 2023 at 12:23 p.m.
    #2
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    Joined: Jun. 2018
    Posts: 1,258
    Likes: 283
    I like alot of this.. I think many things here makes sense. Fantilli probably wouldnt be ready and they wont rush him though.. so they wont trade evans they will need him unless they resign monahan to a chaeap one year deal.
    Mar. 13, 2023 at 12:28 p.m.
    #3
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    Joined: Jun. 2018
    Posts: 1,258
    Likes: 283
    why not fli[p the florida pick with something else and get PLD from winnipeg.. that might make sense if their isnt a player you really want at 15. I like dubois and suzuki down the middle and dach on the wing and backup center in case of injuries..you could give winnipeg one of the young LD on the team but not Guhle plus the pick. I would not pay more than that as we can get him for free the following year
    Mar. 13, 2023 at 12:30 p.m.
    #4
    Avatar of the user
    Joined: Mar. 2018
    Posts: 219
    Likes: 46
    Couple of things...

    Your idea about Petersen is interesting and could maybe work except for one major flaw - Sean Burke no longer works for the Canadiens organization. He's now the Director of Goaltending for the Vegas Golden Knights.

    Also, in your proposed line up, Beck and Teasdale will definitely NOT be in the NHL next year. If we are lucky to get Fantilli, I don't see the rush in playing him in Montreal. That is unless he dominates in camp. With Beck and Teasdale not in the lineup, absolutely no reason to buyout Armia. We'll have plenty of cap space so there's no need to do that yet. What he needs in the opportunity to play more meaningful minutes in the hopes he can build his consistency. Every year is the same for him in camp. He's always tagged for the fourth line. Tough for anyone to progress if you know you have no shot at moving up in the lineup.
    Billy316 liked this.
    Mar. 13, 2023 at 12:34 p.m.
    #5
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    Joined: Apr. 2020
    Posts: 3,584
    Likes: 3,444
    If Colorado moves their first, it's not going to be for Evans. I like him as a player, and understood that a 2nd is going back to the Avs, but a 1st just simply isn't part of the conversation imo.
    Billy316, NMAvsFan and TraderJoes liked this.
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