Quoting: SammyT_51
WPG has very small amount of cap space so this also fits TOR. Because most of the leagues fans hate Leafs, doesnt mean teams want to do offersheet them. Offersheet was lastly signed few years ago.. for a reason.. offersheets suck.
Yes, but in both scenarios both teams only have ONE RFA they need to sign to a big deal, Laine for WPG and Rantanen for COL. Signing one player to fit into a nasty CAP situation is a lot easier than signing TWO like TOR has to do. Also, in recent years, there hasn't been a player that's been worth an Offer Sheet. EDM locked up Draisaitl and McDavid before getting to that point, as did most other teams. The Nylander situation may be a case for your argument, but I also don't believe teams were willing to give up 3 or 4 1st rounders for Nylander, but Matthews and even Marner are different stories.
Looking at team salaries on CapFriendly; WPG has about 25m; COL about 30m and TOR about 22m in free cap space going into next season (assuming CAP is about 82m). WPG and COL can easily sign Laine and Rantanen for about 10m a piece and still have money to fill other holes in their lineup. TOR will be paying Matthews and Marner 20-22m combined next year (anyone who thinks both won't get 10m or more after the years they are having is insane). How are they filling the rest of their lineup out?
I understand Leafs fans don't want to lose either of them, and that's completely understandable, but to be blind to the fact that one of them may have to go is just ridiculous. As I've said before, this situation has never happened in the Offer Sheet era (one team having 2 high profile RFAs at the same time and a dire CAP situation as well), so all I'm saying is, don't be surprised if a team makes a play for one of TOR stars next offseason.
And, one last point, a team like the Islanders, who with JT are a playoff team and therefore a top 15 team in the league might view Matthews or Marner as a way to push themselves into top 10 status and feel that 4 late 1st round picks are worth giving up... especially if they can recoup some of those by trading away guys like Eberle, Nelson and Leddy.