Quoting: kedogs00
Unless they wanna provide a home town discount they are both going to get more. They both should be offer sheeted if thats the case. Cirelli is young and getting better each year, As a BUF fan, I'd offer a 1st and 4th or offer sheet him 5 years at 5.5 a year.
Sergachev I feel will get similar if not more.
Pretty much zero chance Cirelli would sign an OS to Buffalo, and at 5 years, 5.5, Tampa quickly matches. Tampa rfas have a history of taking less than some others to keep the team together, not to mention the location, great organization and yes, the tax advantages that are available in Tampa. Serg will come in around 4.5(He’s definitely not getting more than McAvoy or Werenski, and with the flat cap and Tampa guys taking less...) and Cirelli around 4 or just above. Tampa doesn’t massively overpayguys right off an elc, it’s not how their organization works. If either Serg or Cirelli only care about max dollars right now and want to take a very inflated OS to go play for a non contender, that’s their choice, but it seems far more likely that they will stay with a top 3-5 contender while still getting a sizable raise. They’ll bet on themselves only getting better in that time and then getting a very good 8 year deal after the bridge, which based on their play now, seems likely. Both guys and their agents know how Tampa handles their contracts, and nothing from either seems to indicate they will be the first to rock the boat.
That being said, Tampa isn’t trading him for the 8th pick, who may help Tampa 3 years from now(2 being generous). Tampa is in a balancing act where they are definitely looking to “win now” while not shredding the future core in the process. Players like Cirelli and Serg are part of that core so moving them is going to require an offer that really wows Brisebois. The 8th pick isn’t it. If Buffalo really wants Cirelli, the offer needs to start with either Jokiharju or Cozens to keep Brisebois interested.