Quoting: Jco5ta5
From Chicago standpoint, I’m listening to this offer. $6M for Skinner who can easily put up 20 goals and has put up 30 before. Put him on a line with Kane or Dach or (God willing) Toews. Give him PP1 minutes he could do well in Chicago.
You mention it takes a 1st then some. Ryan Johnson was a 1st rounder in 2019. He’s a LD which Hawks could use more of since De Haan and Zadorov may not be in the future plans. Plus the two draft picks will be in the 30s and 60s. This is a quality return IMO. Hawks could also always try to flip Skinner at a deadline in the future and retain 50% and you know teams will jump at Skinner for $3M. If that happens hawks are left with nothing but tons of assets (3 from this trade and a 1-2 from the subsequent Skinner trade if it happens).
They probably want a 1st that is above 15, not a former late round pick which has closer value to a 3rd than a top 15 historically.
Also Johnson is a decent prospect but 1) he's years away which means he's not taking over De Haan / Zadorov when they'd actually need him to and 2) the Hawks have plenty of guys like him in the system, even LDs. Like he's a slightly bigger version of Beaudin or slightly smaller Kalynuk or Carlsson, who are already NHL ready. Or they also do have plenty of LD prospects like Demin, Kaiser, Krutil, Phillips, etc that weren't taken as high up but it's not an area of weakness. The Hawks need forward prospects, not defenders.
The picks are fine if you were talking about a few years of $6m in salary or retaining $3m, but there are
6 years left of that. Chicago wouldn't even give Debrincat or Kubalik $6m for 6 years when they were signing them, no way they're taking on that long a contract right now. And def not going to want to carry dead $3m in space of that long either so that whole "they could flip him and retain" doesn't make sense in a flat cap world.