Quoting: capfriendlyaccount
I think the big thing here for the Yotes is that Ritchie's 2.5 means nothing to them since they'll be loaded with space this offseason. Considering Dzingle's on waivers it essentially turns into a potential 2nd for Lyubushkin, which is probably better value than they would have gotten around the league.
I don't buy the idea that 2025 is "too far" because in 2 years time that pick is going to be valued like a normal 2nd. Considering the scorched earth approach the Coyotes have taken, I think Armstrong fully expects to still be there in 5 years, meaning the 2nd rounder is still within his timeline. I think the misunderstanding people have is that they think the Coyotes have to actually develop a player with that pick, when in reality, they should be pushing for the playoffs by then and could dangle that 2nd to add someone at the deadline/in the summer.
Also as KSIxSKULLS mentioned, the ROI is higher for farther out picks
I think if you put a monetary value on the draft pick thing, IMHO they're losing more than they're gaining. Ritchie also makes more money than his cap next year while Lyubushkin and Dzingel are UFA's. I mean for a team that is hell bent on attaining cap but not actual dollars, Ritchie's contract is not what they're looking for so why were they so eager to do it?
I think they paid 3.3M in salary/ 2.5M in cap (Ritchie's salary cap next year) to move from a 4th rounder (Lyubushkin TDL value) in 2022, to potentially a 2nd rounder in 2025 or 3rd rounder in 2023. If you put a monetary value on what moving from a 4th/3rd to a 2nd SHOULD cost, I think they sold themselves short here.
As for the 2025 2nd thing, I think its not whether the pick still has value or not, its whether Arizona should have had to even take the pick that far to begin with. I don't think the benefit is so great that they're just happy and will shut up to anything. Army seriously couldn't tell Dubas its a 2023/2024 2nd or no deal? Really? Dubas said its 2025, take it or leave it and they caved... for that type of trade. I mean Arizona is already the team with the most draft picks in NHL history, do they seriously need to move up that bad? Aren't they broke?
To me, this has a little " Can you scratch my back now and I'll scratch your back later" type feel to it. Which GM's do all the time in order to broker good relations with other GM's they might not have previous relations with or whatever for example. Has little actual hockey impact but puts the relationship between the two in good standings. I think Dubas asked Armstrong to do him a solid. He'll repay him back in the future, type thing.