Quoting: Billy739
"To Be Fair i was only raised in a Capitalist Society, Expecting me to Grasp the concept of Supply vs Demand is expecting to much"
Literally every Analyst has said he's going to get a 1st plus
Its not about Value its about the Market and there's a big need with few options
You got Ristolinen on a bad year for the 2nd or 3rd straight year on his 2nd team who got a 1st ,2nd and Hagg for the same reason as he's a RD of which few are available traditionally
Another way to put it is Hanzal wasnt worth a 1st, 2nd and 3rd nor was Plekanec in a career low at that point worth a 2nd and 2 Prospects but they got it as they were the best available options with high demand from teams around the league looking to win a cup. There's tons of examples of this yearly with the only way you could miss it being if you ignored it intentionally
You're right in that it only takes one GM dumb enough to make a trade. The Risto trade was universally panned from everyone NOT from Philadelphia. And even then, Philly fans have come around to how bad Risto is. One example like that doesn't define a market, it defines a cautionary tale for GMs NOT to overpay for overhyped players.
"Literally every Analyst"... Like Dom Luszczyszyn who (while I don't agree with everything he writes) is the premier analyst and number cruncher at the premier sports information outlet (The Athletic)?
Here are some of my favorites from his article here:
https://theathletic.com/3147253/2022/02/24/the-numbers-behind-the-names-analyzing-the-trade-deadline-big-board/
"I’ve never seen the market price so out of step with the numbers. Every year there are a few players that are overhyped or overpriced, sure, but never like this with Chiarot."
and
"You can draw a straight line between “Montreal is one of the league’s worst teams” and “Chiarot is playing 23 minutes per night.” Just because he’s doing it, doesn’t mean he’s doing a good job with it."
and
"He’s grossly miscast on a top pair and while there’s an argument to be made for his value increasing if placed in the right context, the context would have to be extra welcoming to make up for his current projected minus-0.9 wins of value."
and
"Chiarot, by any way that can be measured right now, is a net negative value player. He’s a detriment that is more likely to hurt whatever team he joins by virtue of a limited skill set that will have his team chasing the puck more often than not, and killing any semblance of offence."
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