we miss leo k
Joined: Feb. 2018
Posts: 5,973
Likes: 5,107
The jump in GSVA value from #10(6.0) to #2(12.3) is 6.3 - if you think Gibson outperforms Blackwood by that much, I think you can justify the value. I just don't think he can do that anymore - Gibson's GSVA over the past 3 years have been -0.1, 1.0, and -0.3 - basically hovering around replacement level. Blackwood is similar with bigger swings - his last 3 seasons are 1.5, -0.5, and -1.7. So one year of being a good goalie, one league average, one bad.
I'd argue that you're more likely to see a reversal from the 25 year old goalie than the 29 year old one, so if I'm the Devils I pass on this unless the Ducks add more.