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Betting Discussion Thread #1 - A New Hope

Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:47 a.m.
#26
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Quoting: Alfie11
MCCANN GOT THE THIRD SHOT AND THE AVS HELD ON TO WIN BY 3 LET’S GO


now for the oiler to hold this...
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:48 a.m.
#27
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Quoting: Db1899
If Edmonton makes it 3-2 I’m going to to bet them to win if the line is at around +200


LFG
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:51 a.m.
#28
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Now I really wish that McDavid goal + Oilers win parlay I had up just before he scored woulda gone through lol, woulda been the cherry on top
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 10:24 a.m.
#29
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CELEBRINI IS A SHARK
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Other than Bet365 being weird (like Shots, Assists are missing and other lines currently) - I have no idea what I want to go in on.

The only free bet tonight I see is Pens over Yotes but skeptical on the over 6.5 goals. Every other game seems like a coin flip except for TOR vs WSH, where I wanna believe the Leafs will come out on top after a brutal game (and both teams lost their first of the back to back). But it’s the Leafs so. I guess it’ll be Vegas over Hawks but I got a weird feeling it’s Hawks.

I’m kinda feeling;

Cat goal, Sabres win, Sabres in regulation.
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 10:36 a.m.
#30
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Quoting: yikes
Other than Bet365 being weird (like Shots, Assists are missing and other lines currently) - I have no idea what I want to go in on.

The only free bet tonight I see is Pens over Yotes but skeptical on the over 6.5 goals. Every other game seems like a coin flip except for TOR vs WSH, where I wanna believe the Leafs will come out on top after a brutal game (and both teams lost their first of the back to back). But it’s the Leafs so. I guess it’ll be Vegas over Hawks but I got a weird feeling it’s Hawks.

I’m kinda feeling;

Cat goal, Sabres win, Sabres in regulation.


I’m thinking about pens to win + guentzel to score at +120
Oct. 13, 2022 at 10:37 a.m.
#31
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Quoting: yikes
Other than Bet365 being weird (like Shots, Assists are missing and other lines currently) - I have no idea what I want to go in on.

The only free bet tonight I see is Pens over Yotes but skeptical on the over 6.5 goals. Every other game seems like a coin flip except for TOR vs WSH, where I wanna believe the Leafs will come out on top after a brutal game (and both teams lost their first of the back to back). But it’s the Leafs so. I guess it’ll be Vegas over Hawks but I got a weird feeling it’s Hawks.

I’m kinda feeling;

Cat goal, Sabres win, Sabres in regulation.

I like Cat goal, but I’m on Sens ML all the way baby, idc if that makes me a homer 😎

I’ll probably check back in when prop lines come out, I’m a big shots guy

Kadri goal (+225) is the lock of the night though
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 11:03 a.m.
#32
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Shane Pinto goal (+500) is kinda crazy, I think I'm taking that, he was on a heater in the preseason. Also a fan of Sens O3.5 (+130), and I'll take Giroux assist when that shows up. It's a shame Mark Kastelic isn't an option, because I've got a gut feeling he's scoring today (Parker Kelly at +425 is surprising, not sure why he's an option and Kastelic isn't, and they think he's more likely to score than Pinto lol)
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 11:11 a.m.
#33
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I made a web scraper that goes to sports betting websites to get the odds for each game and checks if theres an arbitrage opportunity (checks if the sum of implied probabilities < 1, which means you can bet strategically by hedging your bet on 2 different sites on the same game to make guaranteed profit). Arbitrage bets are pretty rare (satisfying when it does happen though) but its also useful for finding the best available odds for each game. So far I have it working on bet365, bodog (which I believe is called bovada if youre in the US), sports interaction (SIA), and pointsbet. Currently it only checks moneyline odds but I might add puck line and over/under in the future. Ill probably add betMGM to the list of sites to scrape at some point as well. Here's the best moneyline odds for each game today and which site you can find them on:

QvhwnwM.png
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:01 p.m.
#34
Au-revoir Dorion
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Quoting: UpsideDownQue
I made a web scraper that goes to sports betting websites to get the odds for each game and checks if theres an arbitrage opportunity (checks if the sum of implied probabilities < 1, which means you can bet strategically by hedging your bet on 2 different sites on the same game to make guaranteed profit). Arbitrage bets are pretty rare (satisfying when it does happen though) but its also useful for finding the best available odds for each game. So far I have it working on bet365, bodog (which I believe is called bovada if youre in the US), sports interaction (SIA), and pointsbet. Currently it only checks moneyline odds but I might add puck line and over/under in the future. Ill probably add betMGM to the list of sites to scrape at some point as well. Here's the best moneyline odds for each game today and which site you can find them on:

QvhwnwM.png


thats actually super cool
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:02 p.m.
#35
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how are we feeling about a cat goal tonight folks
Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:03 p.m.
#36
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Quoting: Alfie11
Shane Pinto goal (+500) is kinda crazy, I think I'm taking that, he was on a heater in the preseason. Also a fan of Sens O3.5 (+130), and I'll take Giroux assist when that shows up. It's a shame Mark Kastelic isn't an option, because I've got a gut feeling he's scoring today (Parker Kelly at +425 is surprising, not sure why he's an option and Kastelic isn't, and they think he's more likely to score than Pinto lol)


Power point, or Peterka goal. Some randoms ones I could see happening.

Just a disclaimer to everyone, I don't bet right now. I like talking about it and considering bets because i think its fun but I figured i should let you all know that I have nothing on the line for any of the comments I am making. Not sure it matters but figured id say something.
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:04 p.m.
#37
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Quoting: Borocop
how are we feeling about a cat goal tonight folks

Cat goal is my lock #2 after Kadri goal. Might parlay Cat+JHughes+Kadri+Matthews all to score (+3229)
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:06 p.m.
#38
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Quoting: Alfie11
Cat goal is my lock #2 after Kadri goal. Might parlay Cat+JHughes+Kadri+Matthews all to score (+3229)


if lindgren is in for the caps like the score app is projecting i might bet mattews for 2 tbh
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:14 p.m.
#39
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Quoting: Borocop
if lindgren is in for the caps like the score app is projecting i might bet mattews for 2 tbh

Yeah Lindgren should be in, which does make 2 for Matthews appealing. There was a bet boost on Bet365 taking the odds from +320 to +400, but they took that down unfortunately lol. Some of the ones I'm thinking before SOG/point props open:
TOR/WSH O6.5
OTT ML
NJD ML
NYR ML
COL ML (Flames have lost 12 straight season openers)
VGK -1.5 or -2.5
PIT -1.5
OTT O3.5
Kadri goal
Pinto goal (+500 seems too good)
DeBrincat goal
J. Hughes goal
Matthews 2+ goals

I've already put money on Pinto goal, Kadri goal, and OTT O3.5. I'm thinking of a TOR/WSH O6.5 + OTT ML + VGK -1.5 + COL ML parlay (+1066)
Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:41 p.m.
#40
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CELEBRINI IS A SHARK
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Edited Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:47 p.m.
Quoting: Alfie11
Cat goal is my lock #2 after Kadri goal. Might parlay Cat+JHughes+Kadri+Matthews all to score (+3229)


Locking that in with you (the quad parlay)
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:43 p.m.
#41
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Quoting: yikes
Locking that in with you


If you hit on a 1 you make 33.29? That's pretty decent lol
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:45 p.m.
#42
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Pinto goal plus Cat goal +1600 is a sure bet for me I think
And adding Vegas/ Pens parlay is free for coverage.
Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:48 p.m.
#43
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CELEBRINI IS A SHARK
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Quoting: BuFfaLOFaN
If you hit on a 1 you make 33.29? That's pretty decent lol


Even better, 30 cents gets you over 11 bucks. After losing on the leafs last night going a bit smaller today.
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:51 p.m.
#44
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Quoting: yikes
Even better, 30 cents gets you over 11 bucks. After losing on the leafs last night going a bit smaller today.


What's the odds on a Peterka goal? NHL first?
Oct. 13, 2022 at 12:59 p.m.
#45
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CELEBRINI IS A SHARK
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Quoting: BuFfaLOFaN
What's the odds on a Peterka goal? NHL first?


Don’t believe I saw him in the odds on bet 365.
Happens a lot, like Holloway in the playoffs when he scored (I just was looking for his bet all day and it never appeared).

You could bet “any other goal scorer” but it’s not as good as the odds would be if you picked a specific player.
Oct. 13, 2022 at 1:06 p.m.
#46
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CELEBRINI IS A SHARK
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My bets for the day, ranked in confidence.

1st:
Sens @ Sabres Parlay +2000
- Match Total over 5 goals (great bet to parlay w/ who you think wins)
- Sabres total over 2 goals
- Sens total over 3 goals
- Debrincat goal anytime (great individual bet)
- Jack Quinn goal anytime (great individual bet)

2nd:
2 Team Win Parlay
- Pens money line W
- Vegas money line W

3rd:
Sens @ Sabres Parlay +1600
- Cat and Pinto anytime goals

4th:
Alfie11’s Parlay
- JHughes, Cat, Kadri, Matthews goals anytime

I’ll probably throw some shot props out when they up too but I’m really feeling my first parlay with the Sabres/ Sens and Quinn/ Cat. I felt too bold to add Pinto to it but if you do that line would become a crazy payout.
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 1:11 p.m.
#47
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Quoting: yikes
Don’t believe I saw him in the odds on bet 365.
Happens a lot, like Holloway in the playoffs when he scored (I just was looking for his bet all day and it never appeared).

You could bet “any other goal scorer” but it’s not as good as the odds would be if you picked a specific player.


Quoting: yikes
Don’t believe I saw him in the odds on bet 365.
Happens a lot, like Holloway in the playoffs when he scored (I just was looking for his bet all day and it never appeared).

You could bet “any other goal scorer” but it’s not as good as the odds would be if you picked a specific player.


It's on betmgm for +375.
Oct. 13, 2022 at 1:18 p.m.
#48
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A wild prop bet that would be hilarious if it his is Samuelsson first goal or any time goal. Mr. 30 million dollar contract no goals scoring in the first game lol.
odds are +6000 for first goal or +1200 any time goal lol.
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 2:14 p.m.
#49
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Giroux assist at +140 is a LOCK

Some SOG props that look good, I’ll probably end up picking 3-5 of them:
Batherson O1.5
B. Tkachuk O3.5
Norris O2.5
DeBrincat O2.5
Tuch O2.5
Matthews O4.5
Kreider O2.5 (took this one)
Kadri O2.5
Eichel O3.5
R. Smith O2.5 (took this one too, even though it dropped from +125 to +110 right as I selected it smh)
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Oct. 13, 2022 at 2:34 p.m.
#50
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Huberdeau gonna be fired up???
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