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Question for Canucks fans

Created by: Android_H_Jones
Team: 2022-23 Vancouver Canucks
Initial Creation Date: Dec. 13, 2022
Published: Dec. 13, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
The rumored asking price for Bo Horvat is a 1st, a young 3C with upside, and a RD.

In this scenario, no team makes an offer close to that. What is the threshold between just keeping him as an own rental for a hopeful run at the playoffs vs trading him for the "best" package possible?
Trades
VAN
  1. Engvall, Pierre
  2. Hirvonen, Roni
  3. 2023 3rd round pick (OTT)
  4. 2023 3rd round pick (TOR)
Additional Details:
Example underwhelming offer. Do you take this? Or do you keep Bo?
Buyouts
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the NYR
Logo of the VAN
2024
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
2025
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$82,500,000$77,404,584$1,250,000$1,232,500$5,095,416
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$5,250,000$5,250,000
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$7,350,000$7,350,000
C, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$6,650,000$6,650,000
RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$4,750,000$4,750,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$4,950,000$4,950,000
RW, LW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RW, C
UFA - 3
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$762,500$762,500
RW, C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$891,667$891,667 (Performance Bonus$300,000$300K)
LW, RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$883,750$883,750 (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$825,000$825,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$856,667$856,667
LW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$762,500$762,500
C
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$7,850,000$7,850,000
LD
UFA - 5
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$762,500$762,500
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$7,260,000$7,260,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$1,800,000$1,800,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$750,000$750,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$1,350,000$1,350,000
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$850,000$850,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$750,000$750,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
UFA - 4
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$3,500,000$3,500,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$3,250,000$3,250,000
LW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$2,500,000$2,500,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$1,500,000$1,500,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1

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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:09 p.m.
#1
JT Miller for Hart
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Definitely not. There'll be teams that offer more.
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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:10 p.m.
#2
Judd Bracket ripoff
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It’s a pointless question because the scenario you’re laying out simply will not happen.

Teams will pay a 1st plus for Bo. It’s not a question of “if”
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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:18 p.m.
#3
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Quoting: The_Rocket
It’s a pointless question because the scenario you’re laying out simply will not happen.

Teams will pay a 1st plus for Bo. It’s not a question of “if”


Just like teams were willing to pay a 1st plus last year for JT Miller?
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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:18 p.m.
#4
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If you think that’s the best offer they will get, you don’t know a damn thing
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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:20 p.m.
#5
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Certainly missing a 2023 1st and Neimela
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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:24 p.m.
#6
Future Norris guy
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There's teams out there that would easily outbid the Leafs, And that's not even close to getting Horvat.
Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:25 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: glarson17
If you think that’s the best offer they will get, you don’t know a damn thing


I assume reading comprehension is not your strong suit.

I asked, "What is the threshold between just keeping him as an own rental for a hopeful run at the playoffs vs trading him for the "best" package possible?"

The trade I threw in there was a conversation starter.
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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:32 p.m.
#8
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I'm not a Canucks fan, but to answer your question, if I'm not getting at least a 1st and a prospect, I'm keeping him.
Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:42 p.m.
#9
Judd Bracket ripoff
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Quoting: Android_H_Jones
Just like teams were willing to pay a 1st plus last year for JT Miller?


It’s been confirmed that NYR offered Chytil, lundkvist and a first for miller last season and the Canucks turned it down
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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:42 p.m.
#10
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Quoting: Android_H_Jones
I assume reading comprehension is not your strong suit.

I asked, "What is the threshold between just keeping him as an own rental for a hopeful run at the playoffs vs trading him for the "best" package possible?"

The trade I threw in there was a conversation starter.


So your idea of “best package possible” is depth forward, a B props and two thirds? There’s zero reason for them to do that they would keep him if unless get a great return
Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:56 p.m.
#11
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People really have trouble reading on this site.
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Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:57 p.m.
#12
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Quoting: Android_H_Jones
Just like teams were willing to pay a 1st plus last year for JT Miller?


well they made a blunder by re-signing him but that doesn't change the interest that was there
Dec. 13, 2022 at 9:58 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: The_Rocket
It’s been confirmed that NYR offered Chytil, lundkvist and a first for miller last season and the Canucks turned it down


unfortunate decline lol. agree with you here but man they really should've sold high on JT
Dec. 13, 2022 at 10:25 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: glarson17
So your idea of “best package possible” is depth forward, a B props and two thirds? There’s zero reason for them to do that they would keep him if unless get a great return


You're getting closer, but still not quite there. This isn't my idea of anything other than a thought experiment on "what is the floor on what Canucks fans will accept?"

Or in other words, this is a scenario, one of many possibilities, not a prediction or legitimate proposal.

Just to make this easier, lets say Colorado went after Toews, Boston traded for O'Reilly, Dallas adds Monahan, Buffalo, Detroit, and Washington are too far out of the playoffs to make an add at the deadline. So this is a worst case scenario for the Canucks because the market has basically dried up. It's down to one team (and honestly, it doesn't have to be the Leafs, substitute any team here).

In that scenario, what is the least you would accept for Horvat?
Dec. 13, 2022 at 10:33 p.m.
#15
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Jesus H! Can people not read or comprehend? The OP is basically asking 'If the market is dry, do you hold onto Horvat and risk a) trying to sign him later and potentially risk losing him for nothing in free agency or do you b) take the best offer still available, and if option b then what is the weakest offer you'd be willing to accept. Sure, it's hypothetical and someone probably pays up for him but it's kind of the idea of the site, being hypothetical and all!
Dec. 13, 2022 at 10:37 p.m.
#16
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The least I'd be happy with for Horvat is a 2023 1st and a solid RHD prospect. I don't think the Canucks will have any troubles getting that and would probably get more, but that's the base minimum I'd have. By the sounds of things Horvat may be the top trade chip available at the deadline, meaning there could quite possibly end up being a bidding war for his services, so I don't think getting value for him will be a problem.
Dec. 13, 2022 at 10:39 p.m.
#17
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In the above scenario I simply don't know what I would do in the GM's shoes. I'd be looking for a first plus solid prospect to make the move to begin with so I guess if it's a mix of prospects/picks with at least one really solid one then that's the bottom end but then I'm also not a Vancouver fan. There has to come a point where the value simply isn't enough and even though you risk losing him for nothing you don't accept in case an eleventh hour better offer comes in.
Dec. 13, 2022 at 10:51 p.m.
#18
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Quoting: The_Rocket
It’s a pointless question because the scenario you’re laying out simply will not happen.

Teams will pay a 1st plus for Bo. It’s not a question of “if”


Playing devil's advocate: why should a team pay that much for the 35th-50th best center in the league? He's what, the 9th best center in the Pacific? (McDavid, Draisaitl, Eichel, Hertl, Lindholm, Kadri, Kopitar, Pettersson). Maybe the 10th or 11th depending on how people feel about Beniers, Zegras, or Stephenson. Is that really worth a 1st ++? Most of the teams he's rumored to go to, he'd be the 4th or 5th best forward on their team. If I'm Colorado for example, why am I spending a 2023 1st plus Newhook, plus another piece for 40ish games of the 5th best forward on my team? I could get that much cheaper somewhere else.
Dec. 13, 2022 at 10:55 p.m.
#19
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Quoting: Epic_Ninja_Dude
The least I'd be happy with for Horvat is a 2023 1st and a solid RHD prospect. I don't think the Canucks will have any troubles getting that and would probably get more, but that's the base minimum I'd have. By the sounds of things Horvat may be the top trade chip available at the deadline, meaning there could quite possibly end up being a bidding war for his services, so I don't think getting value for him will be a problem.


I think that's probably where I'd end up too. The 3C with upside would be nice, but I would imagine the main priority would be shoring up the blueline at this point.
Dec. 13, 2022 at 11:08 p.m.
#20
Judd Bracket ripoff
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Quoting: Android_H_Jones
Playing devil's advocate: why should a team pay that much for the 35th-50th best center in the league? He's what, the 9th best center in the Pacific? (McDavid, Draisaitl, Eichel, Hertl, Lindholm, Kadri, Kopitar, Pettersson). Maybe the 10th or 11th depending on how people feel about Beniers, Zegras, or Stephenson. Is that really worth a 1st ++? Most of the teams he's rumored to go to, he'd be the 4th or 5th best forward on their team. If I'm Colorado for example, why am I spending a 2023 1st plus Newhook, plus another piece for 40ish games of the 5th best forward on my team? I could get that much cheaper somewhere else.


Copp, hall 2020, foligno, Palmeri, hayes, Statsny 2018, pageau, Zucker, Tatar 2018

Teams trade first round picks plus for top 6 forwards every deadline and often for players worse than Bo Horvat
Dec. 14, 2022 at 8:44 a.m.
#21
JT Miller for Hart
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Quoting: The_Rocket
It’s been confirmed that NYR offered Chytil, lundkvist and a first for miller last season and the Canucks turned it down


Really starting to regret that now.
Dec. 14, 2022 at 3:49 p.m.
#22
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There is no threshold. If he's not signed by the TDL, he'll be traded. There is no way they keep him for a shot at the playoffs.

Even if the Leafs viewed Horvat as a piece worth pursuing, which they probably shouldn't, unless they are willing to part with Nylander, they don't have a premier young player to offer. They can only go the quantity over quality route, so if they really do want to come to the table on this, they better be prepared to part with two first round picks, to start with. One for Horvat, and one for making the money work: either through retention, through taking back a middling player in the deal or both.
Dec. 14, 2022 at 3:51 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: AK50
Really starting to regret that now.


Don't regret the rumoured NYR deal a bit. I wouldn't have done it then, and I wouldn't do it now. Miller is top 15 in league scoring since becoming a Canuck. You want a premier player, offer a premier asset in return.
 
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