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An alternative look at Addison to DET

Created by: MNCountryClub
Team: 2023-24 Minnesota Wild
Initial Creation Date: May 19, 2023
Published: May 19, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Lots of ACGMs have DET sending a 2nd to MN for Addison, so I wanted to explore an alternative angle.

Based on previous 1st-for-1st trades, there doesn't appear to be anything overly egregious with the value here. DETs move for Cossa in 2021 and Rags move for Schneider in 2020 are pretty dang close comps. Since both of those come in less expensive than what MN gives up here, I've added a 4th to balance.

Proposed:
MN moves from 21 to 17 for pick 53 (Addison)

2022:
AZ moves from 27 to 11 for picks 34 and 45

2021:
MN moves from 22 to 20 for pick 90.
DET moves from 23 to 15 for 48 and 138

2020:
WASH moves from 24 to 22 for pick 80
NYR moves from 22 to 19 for pick 72
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$3,500,000
2$1,250,000
Trades
MIN
  1. 2023 1st round pick (NYI)
  2. 2023 4th round pick (MIN)
Additional Details:
Maybe a long shot, but this is done under the assumption that one of [Yager, Danielson, Moore or Dvorsky] are still on board at 17.

MN gets back the 4th from the Sunny trade as balancing.
DET
  1. Addison, Calen [RFA Rights]
  2. 2023 1st round pick (MIN)
Additional Details:
21st + Addison to move back 4 spots
Buyouts
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
Logo of the NYI
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the VGK
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
2024
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the BUF
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
2025
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MIN
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$83,500,000$83,534,421$0$990,000-$34,421
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$9,000,000$9,000,000
LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$1,700,000$1,700,000
C, RW
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RW, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$2,000,000$2,000,000
LW, RW
NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$5,250,000$5,250,000
C
UFA - 6
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$7,000,000$7,000,000
RW, LW
UFA - 7
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$3,100,000$3,100,000
RW, LW
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$2,100,000$2,100,000
C, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$1,250,000$1,250,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$800,000$800,000
LW, C
RFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$855,000$855,000 (Performance Bonus$57,500$58K)
RW, LW
RFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$2,450,000$2,450,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$7,575,000$7,575,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$3,500,000$3,500,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$925,000$925,000
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$3,500,000$3,500,000
G
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$1,200,000$1,200,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$2,000,000$2,000,000
LD/RD
NMC
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$894,167$894,167
LW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Minnesota Wild
$828,333$828,333 (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
LD
RFA - 2

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May 19, 2023 at 3:00 p.m.
#1
Future Norris guy
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Detroit passes, We're not trading back 4 spots with the 17th pick, If anything Yzerman would use that one to move up to 12th or 13th overall perhaps even 11th depending on what Vancouver wants to do.
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May 19, 2023 at 3:04 p.m.
#2
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Detroit would take Moore with 17 before trading it back. I assume he is gone by then though.
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May 19, 2023 at 3:05 p.m.
#3
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Quoting: HockeyIsMyPassion61
Detroit passes, We're not trading back 4 spots with the 17th pick, If anything Yzerman would use that one to move up to 12th or 13th overall perhaps even 11th depending on what Vancouver wants to do.


Maybe, maybe not. As illustrated by the historical comps, this is well within the ballpark of what we've seen teams do previously, so it's not really the type of trade fans can accurately accept or reject.

Just a hypothetical that fits precedent and adds another angle to the Addison-DET proposals that have been popping up.
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May 19, 2023 at 3:06 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: CoachCoach
Detroit would take Moore with 17 before trading it back. I assume he is gone by then though.


Perhaps. This aligns well with comps, so it's more of a thought experiment than a definitive yes/no proposal.
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May 19, 2023 at 3:07 p.m.
#5
Joe
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Wouldn't do it. Rather just lose a 2nd.
May 19, 2023 at 3:17 p.m.
#6
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Quoting: JoeROFLCOPTER
Wouldn't do it. Rather just lose a 2nd.


That's fair. As we've seen in every draft prior, moves up or down are are usually contingent on who's still on board relative to the individual rankings/lists each team has. Which, IMO makes it kinda tough to say one way or the other until we see how the actual draft plays out. But to each their own.
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May 19, 2023 at 3:19 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: drmantalban
Perhaps. This aligns well with comps, so it's more of a thought experiment than a definitive yes/no proposal.


That’s fair, and honestly if I didn’t have several players I hope they draft at 17 hoping they fall I’d be okay with it, since I like to think I started the wave of Addison to Detroit for the early second (and recently added the 4th back if needed).

There are a lot of mocks having Moore to Detroit at 9, that’s why I mentioned he would be grabbed at 17. If Detroit can snag two of Leonard / Moore / Barlow / Wood I would be thrilled.
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May 19, 2023 at 3:19 p.m.
#8
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Even a 2nd is generous for a guy with significant defensive concerns. He is still young and has upside, so I'd be willing to take a flier on a 2nd, but no higher.
May 19, 2023 at 3:19 p.m.
#9
Joe
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Quoting: drmantalban
That's fair. As we've seen in every draft prior, moves up or down are are usually contingent on who's still on board relative to the individual rankings/lists each team has. Which, IMO makes it kinda tough to say one way or the other until we see how the actual draft plays out. But to each their own.


Yeah. I mean I think the biggest factor is that I want to move up since there are definitive tiers in this draft that are larger than previous drafts.

Given a few surprise picks, I think there'll be a player or two that'll be no brainers at 17OA and will be better than at 21OA.
May 19, 2023 at 3:27 p.m.
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Quoting: CoachCoach
That’s fair, and honestly if I didn’t have several players I hope they draft at 17 hoping they fall I’d be okay with it, since I like to think I started the wave of Addison to Detroit for the early second (and recently added the 4th back if needed).

There are a lot of mocks having Moore to Detroit at 9, that’s why I mentioned he would be grabbed at 17. If Detroit can snag two of Leonard / Moore / Barlow / Wood I would be thrilled.


Lol well my apologies for not giving you credit for starting the Addison train. I wasn't sure where that idea originated, but I'm not one to copyright so well done there.

Agree on Moore - I noted that in the trade desc. I included him to try and communicate to Wild fans why you'd even entertain this idea to begin with. I mean, it's really not all that compelling from MNs side, so that was the sort of explainer on why you'd even go there. If you're not getting a C you believe in, then the diff between 21 and 17 in this deep draft is hardly worth Addison.

But I hear ya on trying to scope out value picks at 17. I'd be doing the same - that's presumably why MN traded up from 22 to 20 to get Wallstedt. It's just hard to really predict what will happen as fans, so no harm in tossing out ideas on moving up or down.
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May 19, 2023 at 3:32 p.m.
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Quoting: JoeROFLCOPTER
Yeah. I mean I think the biggest factor is that I want to move up since there are definitive tiers in this draft that are larger than previous drafts.

Given a few surprise picks, I think there'll be a player or two that'll be no brainers at 17OA and will be better than at 21OA.


For sure, but you can very easily argue the inverse of that. Given the depth of the draft, there's potentially a player (or even several) still on board at 21 that your team considers in the same tier as what's available at 17. Without knowing their list and how the draft plays out, it's just too hard to say.

You could have someone that's in your top 7-10 show up at 17, which yeah no brainer. But just as well, you could be looking at a mushy middle of 15-25 that are all ranked similar. In which case, this trade is a no-brainer.

That's why these trades show up every year.
May 19, 2023 at 3:36 p.m.
#12
Pop Pop
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Theres no need to move out 1st to get Addison so I wouldn't
May 19, 2023 at 3:37 p.m.
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Quoting: drmantalban
Lol well my apologies for not giving you credit for starting the Addison train. I wasn't sure where that idea originated, but I'm not one to copyright so well done there.

Agree on Moore - I noted that in the trade desc. I included him to try and communicate to Wild fans why you'd even entertain this idea to begin with. I mean, it's really not all that compelling from MNs side, so that was the sort of explainer on why you'd even go there. If you're not getting a C you believe in, then the diff between 21 and 17 in this deep draft is hardly worth Addison.

But I hear ya on trying to scope out value picks at 17. I'd be doing the same - that's presumably why MN traded up from 22 to 20 to get Wallstedt. It's just hard to really predict what will happen as fans, so no harm in tossing out ideas on moving up or down.


I just enjoy Addy and am fortunate with work to get free wild tickets occasionally. Personally I’d like to see MIN find a Maata to pair him with to teach him the defensive game (Hronek comparable). Faber should able to take that job and run with it.

Not going to lie I was rattled when Detroit traded up and took Cossa instead of Wallstedt. My former player just texted me a bunch of lol and skull faces (he’s from Upsala) and said it was a mistake. He also told me Willander should go top 15 so at least I can have some ammo if he’s wrong.

Personally I hope Danielson (also in trade description) falls to Minnesota or they take a stab at Stenberg.
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May 19, 2023 at 3:41 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: CoachCoach
I just enjoy Addy and am fortunate with work to get free wild tickets occasionally. Personally I’d like to see MIN find a Maata to pair him with to teach him the defensive game (Hronek comparable). Faber should able to take that job and run with it.

Not going to lie I was rattled when Detroit traded up and took Cossa instead of Wallstedt. My former player just texted me a bunch of lol and skull faces (he’s from Upsala) and said it was a mistake. He also told me Willander should go top 15 so at least I can have some ammo if he’s wrong.

Personally I hope Danielson (also in trade description) falls to Minnesota or they take a stab at Stenberg.


Danielson at 21 would be great - def think that would be a nice fit for MN.

So Stenberg is interesting, as is the other Frolunda guy Edstrom. I admittedly don't know much about either but Pronman had Eriksson-Ek listed as an Edstrom comp. Who do you have higher between those 2?
May 19, 2023 at 3:52 p.m.
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Edit: @drmantalban

Personally Stenberg. Captain for u18 team, respected as one of the better leaders and his game seems translatable to the NHL. If I’m honest, I haven’t seen as much of Edstrom, but based on what I know of Swedish leagues, he is capable of scoring goals.

Stenberg higher floor, lower ceiling

Edstrom lower floor, higher ceiling, more likely to be a gamble.
May 19, 2023 at 3:53 p.m.
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Quoting: Jfstompers
Theres no need to move out 1st to get Addison so I wouldn't


Fair enough. Feel like you're missing some of the nuance here, but not gonna criticize opinions.

Out of curiosity, who are your top 5 preferred choices at 17 (excluding inconceivable choices like Bedard or Fantilli)?
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May 19, 2023 at 3:59 p.m.
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Quoting: CoachCoach
Edit: drmantalban

Personally Stenberg. Captain for u18 team, respected as one of the better leaders and his game seems translatable to the NHL. If I’m honest, I haven’t seen as much of Edstrom, but based on what I know of Swedish leagues, he is capable of scoring goals.

Stenberg higher floor, lower ceiling

Edstrom lower floor, higher ceiling, more likely to be a gamble.


Nice that's super helpful, I appreciate the insight. I've only seen a few twitter clips of each and didn't realize Stenberg was the U18 captain. Good breakdown on each, I'll be interested to see where they each go later next month.
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May 19, 2023 at 4:03 p.m.
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Quoting: drmantalban
Nice that's super helpful, I appreciate the insight. I've only seen a few twitter clips of each and didn't realize Stenberg was the U18 captain. Good breakdown on each, I'll be interested to see where they each go later next month.


Of course! Due to location and family Minny is the “second team” in our house so its nice to have a team that competes in May tears of joy

Now if you want JEE for 17….. I’d do that lol
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May 19, 2023 at 4:04 p.m.
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I think we’re overestimating the difference in player that will be around at 21. I would be quite surprised off hand if one of Ritchie/Yager/Edstrom isn’t available then. Moving up to 17 isn’t going to get you a much better prospect than 21 and it’s really a waste of Addison’s asset value.
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May 19, 2023 at 4:23 p.m.
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Quoting: CoachCoach
Of course! Due to location and family Minny is the “second team” in our house so its nice to have a team that competes in May tears of joy

Now if you want JEE for 17….. I’d do that lol


Lol regarding Ek, hit me up at the 2029 TDL and we can work something out tears of joy
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May 19, 2023 at 4:24 p.m.
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Quoting: jnowariak
I think we’re overestimating the difference in player that will be around at 21. I would be quite surprised off hand if one of Ritchie/Yager/Edstrom isn’t available then. Moving up to 17 isn’t going to get you a much better prospect than 21 and it’s really a waste of Addison’s asset value.


I completely agree - that's what I was trying to communicate above to some of the others that rejected the proposal.

I wouldnt' necessarily initiate this type of trade myself, but they do happen and I wanted to look at an alternative approach to the Addison-DET trades for the sake of discussion
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May 19, 2023 at 4:26 p.m.
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Quoting: CoachCoach
Edit: drmantalban

Personally Stenberg. Captain for u18 team, respected as one of the better leaders and his game seems translatable to the NHL. If I’m honest, I haven’t seen as much of Edstrom, but based on what I know of Swedish leagues, he is capable of scoring goals.

Stenberg higher floor, lower ceiling

Edstrom lower floor, higher ceiling, more likely to be a gamble.


Edstrom is a super interesting name right now, I don’t think he was on either Button or McKenzie’s list until recently and that’s a hype train that probs doesn’t get past 21 if MN is there.

Question I have with Stenberg is whether he’s done enough to be closer to 20 rather than 30.
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May 19, 2023 at 4:28 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: drmantalban
I completely agree - that's what I was trying to communicate above to some of the others that rejected the proposal.

I wouldnt' necessarily initiate this type of trade myself, but they do happen and I wanted to look at an alternative approach to the Addison-DET trades for the sake of discussion


Yeah, the only way you’re interested in this from the Wild POV is if the board starts to look like a run on Cs in the late teens.

If the wings are where he goes, this is a deal that waits until DET is on the clock at 17 or before day 2 kicks off.
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May 19, 2023 at 4:28 p.m.
#24
Joe
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Quoting: CoachCoach
I just enjoy Addy and am fortunate with work to get free wild tickets occasionally. Personally I’d like to see MIN find a Maata to pair him with to teach him the defensive game (Hronek comparable). Faber should able to take that job and run with it.

Not going to lie I was rattled when Detroit traded up and took Cossa instead of Wallstedt. My former player just texted me a bunch of lol and skull faces (he’s from Upsala) and said it was a mistake. He also told me Willander should go top 15 so at least I can have some ammo if he’s wrong.

Personally I hope Danielson (also in trade description) falls to Minnesota or they take a stab at Stenberg.


Well Wallinder is looking like he should go top 15. Cossa stings, but it's not as bad as you may be making it out to be.
May 19, 2023 at 4:28 p.m.
#25
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Quoting: jnowariak
Edstrom is a super interesting name right now, I don’t think he was on either Button or McKenzie’s list until recently and that’s a hype train that probs doesn’t get past 21 if MN is there.

Question I have with Stenberg is whether he’s done enough to be closer to 20 rather than 30.


Yeah Edstrom is interesting with his frame and production over the last year. Pronman has him at 18 in his latest list, as I'm sure you've seen. He's all over the place with different mocks, though.

I've not seen much of him or Stenberg, so I don't really have an opinion one way or the other.
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