Quoting: JeffGorton
A buyout for Anderson means hes on the books for 6 years instead of just 3. If all goes right, that money will be needed in those 5 years as thats their first competitive window. That late 1st rounder may or may not be a good player in that time frame.
Do you not have
math north of the border?
Paying out $16.5 million (keeping him on the books for three seasons) is not as good as paying out $11,333,333 (keeping him on the books for six seasons).
Moreover, the savings occurs in years 1, 2 and 3, when the cap ceiling will be lower than in later years, whereas the extra cost (a whopping $1,722,222 x 3) occurs in years 4, 5 and 6, when the cap ceiling will be higher. Specifically, you save $2,777,778 against the cap in year 2 and $1,277,778 in year 3. (I'm discounting the massive $4,777,778 savings next season because you and I both agree that Montreal won't be competitive in 2024-2025.) And it's quite likely that the cap rise in years 4, 5 and 6 will substantially if not completely offset the buyout cost in those years.
Whether or not you get an NHL player out of that first-round draft pick, one thing is certain: you won't get any player out of NOT having that draft pick, and having any sort of player is better than not having one.
Saying that all things considered, you'd rather have Josh Anderson for the next three seasons instead of a prospect selected with a first-round draft pick this summer or next is simply astounding to me.