What I Could See the Canes Doing If Guentzel Walks

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Created by: TheReelChuckFletcher

Team: 2024-25 Carolina Hurricanes

Initial Creation Date: Mar. 15, 2024

Published: Mar. 15, 2024

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Jarvis and Necas get identical 8 year extensions in this scenario. If Guentzel finds someone willing to pay over $9M a season for him in UFA, I could definitely see the Canes buying low on Bertuzzi and going for an ultra-deep defense again (Carrier and Fowler).

The big difference between the Guentzel team that I wrote yesterday and the non-Guentzel team is the stacked defense here (a more generic bottom-pair instead of Fowler anchoring it) and a re-upped Noesen. Link to that: https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/4987921

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST		YEARS	CAP HIT
Morrow, Scott		2	$850,000

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Jarvis, Seth	8	$6,500,000
Necas, Martin	8	$6,500,000
Drury, Jack	2	$1,400,000

UFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Carrier, Alexandre	4	$3,500,000
Martin, Spencer	1	$775,000
Stecher, Troy	1	$775,000
Martinook, Jordan	4	$1,500,000
Bertuzzi, Tyler	1	$4,000,000
Noesen, Stefan	3	$2,000,000

Trades

CAR

Fowler, Cam ($3,250,000 retained)

ANA

Nyström, Joel [Reserve List]
2025 1st round pick (CAR)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2024
2025
2026

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$87,700,000	$87,075,000	$0	$0	$625,000

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Svechnikov, Andrei $7,750,000$7,750,000 LW, RW UFA - 5	Aho, Sebastian $9,750,000$9,750,000 C NMC UFA - 8	Jarvis, Seth $6,500,000$6,500,000 RW RFA
Bertuzzi, Tyler $4,000,000$4,000,000 LW, RW UFA	Kuznetsov, Evgeny $3,900,000$3,900,000 C M-NTC UFA - 1	Necas, Martin $6,500,000$6,500,000 RW RFA
Martinook, Jordan $1,500,000$1,500,000 LW, RW UFA	Staal, Jordan $2,900,000$2,900,000 C, LW NMC UFA - 3	Fast, Jesper $2,400,000$2,400,000 RW M-NTC UFA - 1
Drury, Jack $1,400,000$1,400,000 C RFA	Kotkaniemi, Jesperi $4,820,000$4,820,000 C UFA - 6	Noesen, Stefan $2,000,000$2,000,000 LW, RW UFA

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Slavin, Jaccob $5,300,000$5,300,000 LD M-NTC UFA - 1	Burns, Brent $5,280,000$5,280,000 RD M-NTC UFA - 1	Andersen, Frederik $3,400,000$3,400,000 G M-NTC UFA - 1
Orlov, Dmitry $7,750,000$7,750,000 LD UFA - 1	Carrier, Alexandre $3,500,000$3,500,000 RD UFA	Kochetkov, Pyotr $2,000,000$2,000,000 G UFA - 3
Fowler, Cam $3,250,000$3,250,000 LD/RD M-NTC UFA - 2	Morrow, Scott $850,000$850,000 RD RFA - 2

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Lemieux, Brendan $775,000$775,000 LW, RW UFA - 1
Stecher, Troy $775,000$775,000 RD UFA
Martin, Spencer $775,000$775,000 G UFA - 1

Mar. 15 at 4:41 p.m.

drambui

Joined: Feb. 2022

Posts: 3,836

Likes: 2,512

fowler has made it pretty clear that he will stay in California no matter what. his 4 team no trade clause will prevent a trade like this.

Mar. 15 at 4:42 p.m.

rednwhite

Joined: May 2016

Posts: 801

Likes: 247

If a team offersheets necas or Jarvis at 8m per year, do the canes match or take the 1st, 2nd and 3rd?

Mar. 15 at 4:45 p.m.

TheReelChuckFletcher

Thread Starter

Former Hockyluv21

Joined: Sep. 2023

Posts: 253

Likes: 42

Quoting: drambui

fowler has made it pretty clear that he will stay in California no matter what. his 4 team no trade clause will prevent a trade like this.

I've heard that going around before. I think it'll be tough for any player in his situation to not waive it for Carolina if he wants to win the Cup, since he is kind of getting up there in years. Admittedly, though, some players are not as motivated to get the hardware as others can be.

Mar. 15 at 4:45 p.m.

TheReelChuckFletcher

Thread Starter

Former Hockyluv21

Joined: Sep. 2023

Posts: 253

Likes: 42

Quoting: rednwhite

If a team offersheets necas or Jarvis at 8m per year, do the canes match or take the 1st, 2nd and 3rd?

Jarvis, they would match. I think they would walk if it's Necas. My gut feeling, though, is that the Canes and their agents figure out a way to keep both between 6-7.5M a year. Neither should cost more than Svechnikov outside of the offer sheet possibility.

Mar. 15 at 4:59 p.m.

drambui

Joined: Feb. 2022

Posts: 3,836

Likes: 2,512

Quoting: TheReelChuckFletcher

i feel he could have decided to waive a long time ago if he cared, family seems more important. I would also assume if he cared, he would still go to a closer team like vegas or The kings if its about winning.

Mar. 15 at 5:01 p.m.

spockrock

Joined: Aug. 2020

Posts: 1,527

Likes: 536

I have a sneaking suspicion that it’s more likely than not they end up signing Guentzel. It’ll cost them, but I think they keep him in the end, maybe 65% odds they extend him.

In that scenario, I think they dump Kotkaniemi and his almost $5M or buy him out. Then you have a bit, albeit still pretty tight, of room to bridge Jarvis and lock up Necas long term. The D would certainly take a hit.

Mar. 15 at 5:02 p.m.

CHAR

Joined: Jun. 2022

Posts: 1,042

Likes: 738

Quoting: TheReelChuckFletcher

You have zero chance of getting that retention from Anaheim so none of the things like trade value or NMC's matter.

Mar. 15 at 5:48 p.m.

amullican

Joined: Sep. 2020

Posts: 175

Likes: 40

I'd rather trade that for Mario Ferraro instead

Mar. 15 at 6:15 p.m.

MitchJr

Joined: Jan. 2023

Posts: 3,616

Likes: 1,221

Bertuzzi stays in T.O. if that low ball offer is best he gets

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