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AV12

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Aug. 10, 2020
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Toronto Maple Leafs
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Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 10, 2023 at 12:53 p.m.
Thread: Leafs TDL
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AV12</b></div><div>Id honestly take that deal, as a ducks fan has Henrique been playing C or LW more this season, same with Kulikov can he actually play the right side?</div></div>

Kulikov has been playing Fowler's right side the past few games and has looked good there. Value for value, he really has been our best defender this season (not that that's saying much, of course) -- so good we may try to re-sign him instead of trading him at the deadline.

Henrique can play LW with Zegras or alternate back and forth at C with McTavish. One of the advantages to acquiring him is insurance against losing Bunting to free agency; with retention he'd be cheaper than re-upping Kerfoot and he'll probably be cheaper than Bunting even if Bunting stays.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 9, 2023 at 4:09 p.m.
Thread: The Thing About Tarasenko
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AV12</b></div><div>I gotchu, what u think a Buchnevich deal looks like tho, or u think thats a non-starter for STL management</div></div>

If I was the GM I'd be engaging on anyone not named Thomas or Kyrou. I'm not sure (in fact I sincerely doubt) the actual management feels the same way.

But if they are, I think for Buchnevich you're looking at a 1st and Knies, at a minimum. They don't HAVE to trade him, so there's no pressure like there would be with their rentals, so they can ask for the moon.

Really depends on how quickly the Blues think they can turn this ship around. If they think they just need another year to ship out some contracts, then they might keep and extend him. If they think it's going to take longer...as much as I love Buchnevich (and I truly do) you have to wonder if it makes sense to keep him around for all that.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 18, 2022 at 9:57 a.m.
Thread: Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AV12</b></div><div>You don’t see Reilly as a negative asset for Bruins at this point tho? That was the logic behind the deal since Reilly counts as 2mil against theyre cap in the minors retaining the mil wouldn’t hurt them at all. Also what do you think Horvat gets for a return? Lehkonen got a 2nd plus A prospect ontop of 50% retention.</div></div>

Reilly has played 10 games in BOS and at 3mil they'd love to move him, VERY similar to Engvall, really EQUAL to engvall, but you want them to retain and add Smith?

Lehkonen was a talented guy, but debateable that he had a bigger upside offensively, he was largely a 3rd liner with meh stats and an eatable cap hit. Horvat at a 2.75mil cap hit retention is twice as much and hes the more established player. Kerfoot has negative value to VAN as an expiring UFA, and really it comes down to what you think of Hirvonen. Hirvonen alone gets you the cap retention and entices VAN to take Kerfoot, (IMO the retention is worth a 2nd, so Hirvonen = a 2nd and the negative adding of Kerfoot), but the late in the round 1st probably isn;t enough for Horvat.

Leafs are the buyers and don't have the leverage, especially without cap space and tradeable, young-ish roster players to entice non-contenders. You can call these GMS and make those offers, but theyre easily beaten. Dubas doesn;t have magic dust to fool these other GMS into accepting below market offers.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct. 6, 2022 at 11:10 a.m.
Thread: Leafs When everyones healthy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AV12</b></div><div>Burns returned a 3rd, Bjorkstrand returned a 3rd+4th, dermott returned a 3rd last year in the exact same scenario. I’m not saying the team is Nashville, but considering Kerfoot is cheaper than all the players you listed, his market value is set at a 3rd that is the discount.</div></div>

Burns &amp; Bjorkstrand are both much more valuable players than Kerfoot - he's a 40 point player who had a spike to 50 playing on a line with Tavares &amp; Marner. He scored less points (as a forward) than Brent Burns did (as whatever hybrid F/D he is), and Oliver Bjorkstrand had more than double the amount of goals that he did. If those two dudes only brought back the equivalent of a 3rd/4th (Burns was a 3rd &amp; Steven Lorentz), why would Kerfoot come close to that deal when he's clearly less productive?

Also: don't know if you just glossed over it but Dmitry Kulikov costs less than Kerfoot ($2.25M AAV) and he was let go for FC. I'd argue that he's probably the best comp for Kerfoot - a middle-6/middle-pair type of guy on a mid-tier salary coming off a solid, if not spectacular season.

I just don't see a 3rd coming back for him, based on the values we've seen this summer. I'm not saying it's impossible, but there's very few suitors left that have the cap space for him and he's got a 10-team NTC that probably knocks out half those guys. And I just don't see Alexander Kerfoot as a guy that you do cap gymnastics to squeeze onto your roster.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 17, 2020 at 10:58 a.m.
Thread: 2nd Round Exit this year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AV12</b></div><div>True, LTIR is quite confusing so I probably do not understand it fully. Like I dont understand how last year we had like 8-10mil on LTIR with Clarkson and Horton.</div></div>

There are a number of fans that seems to think LTIR is some sort of cheat code. In reality, you don't want to be consistently living on LTIR. Mostly for the reason that cap space will accrue over the course of the season (why is a big reason why the Leafs couldn't add help at the deadline last year).

Unless you're stealing a useful player from another team, taking on an LTIR contract from another team is a very bad idea. Taking the Hossa contract for getting a deal on Kuempfer? Maybe. Taking Kessler in a deal for Manson? Sure. But other than that....