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A_K
Lets Go Blues
Member Since
Jun. 30, 2016
Favourite Team
St. Louis Blues
Forum Posts
6788
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 hours ago
Thread:
For the Blues Fans - Buchnevich
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>buffdaddy</b></div><div>So you are saying Buch, Binner, and Colt 25% retained for Marner is out of the question? Just making sure because that seems to be a popular offer from Leaf fans.</div></div>
Oh for sure, the Blues should be laser focused on adding a 12m winger and filling every hole in Toronto's roster.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 hours ago
Thread:
For the Blues Fans - Buchnevich
The first bullet for the Blues to dodge is the 8x8 contract framework that they're likely working on. Great player, wrong direction to take the roster. If they break up those talks and put him on the board this summer at 50% I think he fetches a pick in the 11-22 range and a pretty solid young prospect from teams on the cusp. At the deadline the pick is probably later in the round coming from a contender.
An interesting wrinkle is that the Blues have been using him at center. If other teams think of him as a center, history would suggest an even higher price tag.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Fri. at 6:05 p.m.
Thread:
If everyone waives
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMBL</b></div><div>I have my opinions on almost every organization on what they should or should not do. Doesn't matter that I'm a Leafs fan or a Blues fan, at the end of the day the GMs aren't reading our comments.
Buying out Krug opens up almost his entire cap hit for this season, and 4M for the next, which would allow them to add a 6M player now (via FA/trade) and not have to worry about it the following year assuming the cap goes up at least 2M (which it should).</div></div>
Moving out Krug is the prerequisite to essentially any offseason movement - for the roster spot and the cap money. He probably doesn’t waive to anywhere that would take him. And I don’t think he gets bought out yet, maybe next summer. That’s why I think this offseason will be a quiet one for the Blues. Not a bad thing, just wish they would’ve bottomed out a little harder for these years.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Fri. at 4:52 p.m.
Thread:
An Entire Summer of Marner Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AC14</b></div><div>Marner has somehow become one of the most underrated players in the NHL in a matter of a month.
I would love Marner on the Blues. However we aren’t in a position to shell out future assets or trade off the guys that fit what Toronto needs. If there’s something around Kyrou and Faulk for Marner at an extension number that isn’t much above 10m/year I’d be happy.
But with Kyrou on the roster, we can’t afford to add a Marner. And we can’t afford to trade Parayko.</div></div>
Not a bad player but not the right one for the Blues right now and not worth the presumed cost to acquire. The concept should be dead by now.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Fri. at 4:40 p.m.
Thread:
An Entire Summer of Marner Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>draft_em_sign_em_trade_em</b></div><div>Only dumb Leaf fans are creating Acgm trading Marner.
I'll let you know if we find a Leaf fan that isn't dumb.
After I have dinner with Bigfoot, Loch Ness Monster, E.T. and Jesus.</div></div>
It's usually a dead giveaway by how slanted the trade is one way or the other. I've seen people give him up for nothing and I've seen him traded for a team's 3 best assets. The fact is, I doubt it ever goes further than Treliving asking him to waive the NMC. And if it does, that means Mitch picks where he's going, and that won't be a fun trade for Leafs Land. If he's a nice guy (no evidence from past dealings) he'll give them a list that has more than one destination but we'll see.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Thu. at 3:54 p.m.
Thread:
Pick Values in Trade Downs
<a href="/users/nhlfan10506" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@nhlfan10506</a> always appreciate your analysis and envy your free time ^^
FWIW that package seems steep to me from the STL side but 16oa is starting to look like no-man's land in this draft whereas a much-needed impact RHD should be there at 10. I'm thinking the Blues should move up or down but we'll see how it unfolds.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 7 at 2:57 p.m.
Thread:
Springfield TBirds
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AC14</b></div><div>Pretty sure Theo and Stenberg are both going back to Sweden.
I think Dvorsky is eligible for AHL but I'm not 100% on that. I think him being a Euro transfer allows him to not have to be in Juniors if he's not with the NHL team next year. Again don't quote me on that</div></div>
Yeah I remember when Theo signed they said the plan is to stay in Sweden. I'm sure Otto will be the same. The interesting one is going to be Pekarcik... hasn't committed to NCAA, doubt they'll send him back to USHL again, and he's AHL eligible out of Europe. I've seen a few people say Dvorsky will be AHL eligible, I think that will be a good spot for him to develop.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 7 at 11:14 a.m.
Thread:
Whats the plan
Plan is the same as last year. Armstrong calls it a "Retool" but I call it a "Quiet Rebuild". Trying to make playoffs for some extra revenue, but stuck between not trying hard enough and not tearing down enough. I doubt much will change - just getting another year closer to the end of some contracts, and integrating some of the younger guys as they become ready.
Unless it's a top pair guy coming in (precursor being one of Leddy/Krug/Faulk moved out somehow) I don't think they'll change the defense. Hopefully they can find a gem or two in the draft and start to plot out the turnover that will happen in 2-3 years.
FWIW I don't think Kapanen is gonna be invited back, I think his spot is going to Marcus Sylvegard who they just signed out of SHL.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 6 at 12:29 p.m.
Thread:
Change in Leaf Land
I don't think you'll find a single Blues fan on this site that thinks trading for Marner is a good move for STL, nor would you find one who thinks trading away Parayko is going to happen.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 1 at 11:08 a.m.
Thread:
Get Good Again 2025
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MitchJr</b></div><div>Leafs can’t afford Binnington’s cap hit. Leafs don’t have the luxury of committing that much $ to goalie position. And it’s too much to spend on an inconsistent goalie anyway; good year in 2023 but coming off a few down years. Position is voodoo for 95% of nhl goalies</div></div>
I agree with you about the voodoo, and honestly the Blues might get poor goaltending results by keeping their same tandem. But I do think teams will poke around on Binnington after his performance this year, maybe not Leafs.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 1:52 p.m.
Thread:
Blues and Montreal fans thoughts
I think MTL will have better prospects available at 5 so they’d probably pass. Plus I’m still very excited about the prospect of Thomas feeding snuggerud for a decade. I think he’s setting up for a massive season for the gophers after acknowledging he wasn’t good enough last season
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 1:49 p.m.
Thread:
Exploring A Skinner Buyout
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>xercuses</b></div><div>gonna have to do a little better for buch</div></div>
Unprotected buffalo 1st would be cool but yeah if they loaded up like this roster I think there's no way of Sabre-ing away the season. So then that pick is late, and Samuelsson is a pretty big question mark considering the contract. I think Blues could do better.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 1:44 p.m.
Thread:
The Process
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Blues4Life</b></div><div>Fair enough. Debated on #16 or two 2nds. Not equal values obviously but doubt Doug wants to move the 1st. Maybe if a contract extension is basically in place.</div></div>
Yeah for sure, they'd have to sniff around and make sure he'd extend. Chychrun isn't a perfect target but if they could add 22 minutes from him every night, it could really improve the output of the rest of the guys that have been a little out of their depth. I still have some concerns about his durability but he finally played 82 this season so that's a nice surprise.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 1:29 p.m.
Thread:
The Process
I think pick 16 has to be involved for Ottawa to have the conversation on chychrun.
Also gotta imagine that Hayes at double retention is worth something even if it’s not amazing. I would say like a 3rd.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 1:25 p.m.
Thread:
More ReTool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AC14</b></div><div>I’m more concerned about the Kyrou and Thomas iteration of the core. I’d consider those two and Parayko the core currently.
I think the most beneficial thing we could do would be to add a solid defenseman in the 24-27 age range. However in order to do that, we’re going to have to cut bait with either Krug or Faulk which I don’t think is a huge deal.
Ultimately I think the plan will be to middle out like this while contracts expire and then once they do make a large splash with a UFA defenseman if we can’t find one before. The issue with that is it’s rare those higher end caliber defenseman hit UFA status, because as we can all see, when you let one go you create a massive problem trying to stop gap or piece together the hole that’s left behind.
It’s definitely not a perfect plan, but there really is no perfect plan. I’d imagine we try and find a way to address a 2nd line center and move out a defenseman in hopes of adding another that can profile to be more of a two-way guy than we currently have.
I’d be shocked if our first pick in this draft was a forward, but there’s certainly an avenue where that could happen.
Truthfully I know it’s very unlikely, but I would move our 1st if we could get a guy like Harley out of Dallas.</div></div>
Large UFA splash like shea Theodore next summer would be amazing altho Vegas has done the tough moves to keep guys around in the past so I won’t hold my breath.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 1:15 p.m.
Thread:
More ReTool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dgibb10</b></div><div>I would not pay a 1st for Binnington at 6 mill</div></div>
How would you go about fixing the goaltending? I don’t think Allen is the answer, he’s a good backup or 1B.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 12:33 p.m.
Thread:
More ReTool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>buffdaddy</b></div><div>Well said. Couldn't agree more.</div></div>
Counterpoint: Binner has 3 years left. How many of those years will this team be cup contenders? if trading guys from a non-playoff team that aren't necessarily a part of the next cup window is damaging to the culture and belief of the hockey team, that just means we don't have a strong enough future core. It's a business, if a guy has trade value and trading him can help down the road, the guys that are still here are going to have to cope.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 12:23 p.m.
Thread:
More ReTool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AC14</b></div><div>If our direction is to be worse next season than this I don't dislike any of the moves aside from the Leddy to Pittsburgh move.
However, as exciting as it is picking 10th vs 16th, I don't think it makes all too much of a difference once you look 5 years down the road. Don't get me wrong I would love for the Blues to trade up, but I don't think we're at the point where we can trade Binnington and not crumble. We may not make playoffs again next year, but after this year you have to expect the expectation would be to do so from the front office and from the players alone. Culture and belief in being able to win isn't something that's really too popular on here because you can't quantify it and compare. But I'd venture to guess if we made 2 or 3 moves to sell off pieces and finished towards the bottom of the league next year it would be crippling to the young core that we're building right now.</div></div>
To be honest there's so many different things going on with this team right now that I can't tell what direction is the right way to go. Hopefully Doug chooses one.
By my assessment though, rougher goaltending would've made this season the low-water mark. Now that might still happen this-coming year - with or without a Binner/Hofer combo (goaltending can be fickle). As exciting and promising as some of the younger guys are, they're not all here yet. And the veterans are just getting another year older, slower, etc. Wouldn't be the worst thing to be patient for another year and try to make some low-risk, high-reward moves to set up for the future.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 12:11 p.m.
Thread:
Big Deal with ST Louis
1C is the most impossible roster spot to fill, it's just not happening. He's got 5+ more years of prime production and 7 more years on his deal. Even in a full teardown that's not a piece you move.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 18 at 12:09 p.m.
Thread:
big moves
Gotta disagree with "writing on the wall" for Kyrou. Even if you believe that he is a coach killer, that coach was killed and he ended up putting together a pretty good season. I don't think his name would come up in a trade unless it's for a guy like Keller or B Tkachuk. I'm really not a fan of this trade valuation either.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 17 at 3:13 p.m.
Thread:
More realistic offseason
I know Canes fans will probably hate the concept but Buch @ 50% for Necas? if CAR extends Guentzel and decides that Necas isn't a core piece, this would give them another massive piece for a playoff run and then they can evaluate if Blake/Nadeau/whoever else is ready to hold down a top six spot (or try to keep Buchy on a friendly deal). Would that be a better solution than picks and prospects? I mean if someone is offering up a lottery pick maybe that's different but that doesn't happen often.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 17 at 2:27 p.m.
Thread:
Markstrom Hayes and trading down
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>Parekh
Catton
Buium
Yakemchuk
Silayev
Dickinson
Helenius
Demidov
One of those guys will be there at #10
(Assuming Celebrini and Levshunov are also gone)</div></div>
Any reason you think the Devils would trade down? Seems like a year where the top 10-12 are looking a lot more promising than the next tier of guys. I know I wish the Blues would've done a little more losing to secure that top10 spot.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 8 at 11:33 a.m.
Thread:
Lindholm
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>xercuses</b></div><div>I could see that! Was debating like 2 years 7 mil as well</div></div>
Yeah even like 8.5m x 2 - they could afford the cap and it solves the short term 2C issue. Now the player may not have any interest and that's fine too, I just don't think now is the time for another long deal.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 8 at 11:21 a.m.
Thread:
Lindholm
With the way Lindholm's game has fallen off recently, I wonder if even shorter term than 5 years could get it done. Teams that do their due diligence will see the risk with him, but there is definitely a fit for him with the Blues. They need more responsible two-way play from the forwards. I just don't want to see another long-term contract on a guy that may be falling off or not a true difference maker. Might be a good time for Doug to throw a big AAV, short term offer.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 5 at 11:19 a.m.
Thread:
Quietly the Worst Season Possible
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>Dude, odds have nothing to do with anything. Odds are based on what people are betting. And people are idiot bettors. Analytics ain't really better as a predictive model.
My simple question was If you knew they'd make no trades and be sniffing the playoffs with 7 games left, and that Dean and Bolduc would be up and the other prospects would be killing it, would you take it happily?
As for your last paragraph, you're being fatalistic (which I get because Blues fans have been conditioned to be fatalistic ahead of time). Good things happened this season, but you're just not including them. Colt finally became a genuine #1 D. The goalies have been heroes. Thomas has struggled for points lately, but he'll still be PPG and he will still do it playing thw hardest competition of any forward in the league (which I actually just learned this morning). Torp has progressed. Leddy showed solid worth and consistency. No development other than Jakey is just not true.
I'm telling ya, the way Blues fans have reacted to this season, which has been nowhere near as bad or empty as they like to make it out to be, makes me laugh my ass clean off when everyone shouts for a teardown. As if they would last one week in a teardown.
Perspective, man.</div></div>
Your perspective is through blue-colored glasses my guy.
FWIW the public can shift betting lines but they weren't just made up by idiots. I wish they were because I would've made some decent coin if the public had them as a playoff team at any point during the season.
Empty season by the Show-Me standard. But it's fine, I don't let it ruin my day. I also don't want to be gaslit into thinking this mediocre stuff is actually good, because it ain't.
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