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Survivorking77

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Forum: Armchair-GMMay 25, 2019 at 8:03 a.m.
Thread: Yanni Gourde has to go b4 July 1
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BurgerBoss</b></div><div>In my opinion it's a pretty regular contract. Maybe a tad overpaid. But then again isn't pretty much everyone a tad overpaid?</div></div>

I agree with you on the cost, but I see <a href="/users/BOLTLOVER1" target="_blank">@BOLTLOVER1</a> issue with his NTC. In my opinion, for that cap hit, Bolts front office should have been able to sign him with no NTC.
Now, looking at 2020 offseason, Gourde's contract could be the one that pushes Tampa into cap hell. And the problem is that I don't see the Bolts FO trade him away just before his NTC kicks in, it would be kind of a shady move (but in this case it could be justified - Tampa's cap integrity may be at risk)
The difference the NTC makes in our situation is this one:

Case 1) - Gourde not traded by July 1, his NTC kicks in.
- Tampa has to get rid of Callahan + JT Miller for sure this offseason, in order to have enough cap space to re-sign Point. Tampa may also have to ask one of Killorn/Johnson/Palat to waive their clause if they want to have the cap to go after a big UFA fish/have some more cap to make some more improvements. 2020 offseason: Vas, Cirelli, Serg, Cernak need new deals. Killorn becomes M-NTC and can be traded (4.45M cap relief) and Carle 1.83M comes off the books. But it's probably (the use of "probably" is sarcastic here, there's no way that's enough lol) not enough to re-sign them all. At this point Tampa has no more contracts that can be moved in order to re-sign who's left, unless Palat/Johnosn waive their NTC. As you can see, there is too much risk on getting turned down by players to waive their NTC and what Tampa is likely missing in cap space is something like 3-4M.

Case 2) - Gourde traded by July 1.
- Getting rid of Callahan + Gourde frees 11M. At this point the FO could still try to have one of Johnson/Palat/Killorn waive their clause (there's some rumors surrounding both Johnson and Palat) but it is not a situation where "let's hope they waive or we are ****ed/we cannot go after EK/Panarin/whatever", as if they all say no you trade away JT Miller. But before trading him away you ask one the 3 players I just mentioned if they'd be willing to waive, so that you keep JT Miller (definitely the best player out of these 4) and he givers you a safety net in case you need to free another 5.25M cap space next offseason.

Basically, in order not to end up in cap hell territory*, Tampa has to get rid of at least one of Gourde/Johnson/Palat either this offseason or the next one. If not, we'll have to let someone of those RFAs go

*all assuming that Tampa will go after another fairly big contract player this offseason. If not, there won't be troubles but we probably won't improve as much

I know this is kind of confused, I tried my best to get the message across haha
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 25, 2019 at 7:15 a.m.
Thread: Yanni Gourde has to go b4 July 1
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BOLTLOVER1</b></div><div>A 30M NTC cntract for a 27 year rookie one dimensional forward with ONE full year experience and 70 career polnts?. .. that normal? .. beg to differ .. particularly on a team where 4 other people have same stats and 3 have much beter ones .. all in same age group!!!! .. with that said he will be a top 6 forward for years in Arizona hence the 2nd round also

New Tampa GM deserves an F this year .. Gourde contract .. no deals at trade deadline cause team was soooooo good .. and worst to me .. extending Cooper BEFORE THE FREAKIN playoffs .. what a regular season loser this guy is ..</div></div>

There's some direct comparisons for Gourde's contract in the league - Teräväinen for instance. Got a big contract after a 64 point season during two year bridge deal, exact same that Gourde did. There's nothing wrong in that contract.

You're probably the saltiest person in the entire planet... Chill the f*ck out, man.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 22, 2019 at 6:14 p.m.
Thread: So far these havent gotten any complaints 13 trades TOR MIN NJ PHI VGK LAK ANA
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Survivorking77</b></div><div>I think Toffoli is the better player and I don't see it happening personally, you see it differently and that's fair. If I'm LA, I'd rather just trade Toffoli for the package of picks/prospects rather than downgrade to Namestnikov and then try and flip him.

Those stats look fine and dandy but it doesn't change the fact that 2.85 Mil for a 3rd pairing guy is a lot, especially for a team with plans at taking runs at two of the top free agents this summer. Something that should be considered when evaluating that chart is, are his numbers improved because he played fewer games and limited minutes? Cause if you play him more to make him a top four guy and worth the money, maybe those numbers go down. If they stay roughly the same, you got a good cost effective player, if not, then it's trouble.

Gotta link for that chart? Would love to take a deeper look into it!</div></div>

Several charts for ya: <a href="https://public.tableau.com/profile/sean.tierney#!/vizhome/VizzesforShutdownlinestrackeddata/PrimaryShotContributions" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://public.tableau.com/profile/sean.tierney#!/vizhome/VizzesforShutdownlinestrackeddata/PrimaryShotContributions</a>