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bcooke

Member Since
May 3, 2023
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Colorado Avalanche
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Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 6 at 3:23 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 22, 2023 at 11:46 a.m.
Thread: I say we sign these guys
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xqb15a</b></div><div>I love how guys throw up JFresh cards with no context or understanding how they work. Tatar is listed and ranked against 3rd liners Kane against 1st liners. But tell me why the entire NHL has passed on signing Tatar, when I can tell you Kane is going sign where he wants to. But tell me again why every team in the league has passed on Tatar, I know why Kane hasn’t signed because he isn’t ready. Tatar is the ultimate tease, he starts to have a nice regular season convinced he is finally going to do something in the playoffs then never, ever does a thing.</div></div>

I agree that JFresh cards are often used without context/understanding. However, the percentiles are not tied to what line players are on. Percentiles compare the player to all other players at the same position (forward/defense/goaltending - it does not differentiate between LW/C/RW or LD/RD) regardless of TOI. The TOI indicator would be better off just listing the actual TOI instead of converting to a line equivalent.

Tatar is likely still available because he and his agent went looking for a market that wasn't there. Likely wanting to still be paid in the $5M AAV range and he will have to settle for less.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 28, 2023 at 12:56 p.m.
Thread: Crazy idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HockeyManiac95</b></div><div>I think the pairs should be:
Toews/Makar
Girard/Byram
JJ/Manson

In that order, Byram is a RD, cause he belongs on the 2nd line. So does Girard tho. Ok so either could be either side. Still tho, do we really want JJ all 82 games (if he can stay healthy thru all of them)? I don't, and he's a LD. So, they need another actual roster player vs a depth D like Hunt and MacDermid</div></div>
Expected minutes if everyone is healthy

Makar 25
Toews 25
Byram 22
Girard 20
Manson 18

Leaves JJ or whoever is 6D with 10 minutes to fill. JJ Hunt and MacD have shown they can reliably fill 10 minutes a night as needed during the regular season. And JJ/Hunt can play up as needed to cover injuries. Another depth D would be fine, but they already have 15 D signed between NHL and AHL.

If they do add another D, my preference would be Bear. RD that would be an immediate upgrade at 6D as soon as he is healthy enough to come off LTIR.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 27, 2023 at 10:53 a.m.
Thread: Roster projection
I just don't get the hate Meyers gets. IMO, he was incredibly unlucky at the NHL level last year. Of all the guys that got 25+ games, he had the highest xGF% on the roster and the lowest actual GF%. His xGoals/60 was 1st and Goals/60 was 6th on the roster. These rate stats are inflated by the fact that he had similar ice time to MacDermid so with an expanded role, I would expect them to drop a bit. The lack of assists correlates with the fact that pucks just didn't go in the net when he was on the ice. In his 360 minutes last year, the difference between his +/- and expected +/- was 10 goals. Some of those were high danger chances that Meyers failed to convert on, but many were chances that linemates failed to convert on that would have been assists. In his AHL time, he put up 6-18-24 in 30 games for nearly a PPG, so its not like he doesn't generate chances.

If he gets an extended look (60-70 GP, ~650 minutes) and even average puck luck I fully expect Meyers to put up 10-15-25.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 27, 2023 at 10:21 a.m.
Thread: Get rid of MacDermid
MacDermid's value is twofold. He has the ability to fill the 13th F/7th D with 1 roster spot which has allowed them to run their preferred 21 man roster and accumulate capspace. They have better options in the AHL that can be called up to fill long term injury (Hunt/JLF/etc). Additionally, he is one of the hardest working players on the roster. It helps the Avs set the culture they want when the bottom guy on the roster is the first guy on the ice and last guy off the ice at practice and doesn't complain about playing time.

I think he loses a lot of the value he brings now that they will be forced to use LTIR for the whole season and won't have the ability to accumulate capspace.

His 1M isn't hurting the roster construction. The only player he is preventing them from signing is Tarasenko. And Tarasenko would be a luxury at this point. Suter is the better fit for what this roster needs. Avs need one more guy that can kill penalties and play both wing and center. It would give them the flexibility to move Colton up to the second line if Drouin falters or there is an injury.