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psoglav

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St. Louis Blues
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Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 23, 2020 at 10:00 a.m.
Thread: sept 23rd Habs trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DomCholette</b></div><div>Value: Domi, Armia, 2nd is not enough? Do StL still want to sign Pietro? if NOT I understand that STL are not in a cap crunch anymore</div></div>
The Blues cap crunch is overstated and this trade wouldn't do much to solve it anyway. You're sending about $4.5m + Domi.

If the Blues are trading Dunn then the return I'm looking for is a pick in the 15-22 range and a good prospect, something that seems widely offered on here. Wouldn't have any interest at all in something like Poehling, Kulak and a late second... it doesn't help the Blues.

Domi and Armia for Tarasenko? If Domi was signed to an amazing contract? It wouldn't be an outlandish offer given the circumstances. Otherwise, Armia is likely a rental and the next Domi contract is a risk. I'd rather just gamble that Tarasenko will return to health.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 22, 2020 at 8:21 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 21, 2020 at 9:37 a.m.
Thread: Oilers Recover 2020 Draft Picks Change D and G
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>anduril</b></div><div>Thank you for engaging thoughtfully. I take your point about Bozak at $2.5m having more suitors. That's fair. I'll need to reconsider how to make it more enticing or if there is a way for Edmonton to take the contract straight across. I also appreciate the insight on Mikkola and Perunovich. I'm not convinced that a left-side of Dunn, Scandella, and Gunnarsson is terribly attractive. Dunn and Klefbom would be a better top 4 by far with whoever the Blues wanted to slot in at number 3. My intent with the pairings was less about the chemistry of the combinations and more about pointing out the top 4. With AP, CP, and JF on the right side, you've got three righties that can and expect to play lots of minutes so that's the argument I was making for balance. I think more and more, NHL coaches prefer to play their D on their natural side.</div></div>
Playing on their natural side is preferred, but Armstrong has wanted to have three strong RHD for a while. He tried to extend Shattenkirk, then he almost got Hamilton before he went to Carolina and finally got Faulk. So it's been five years that Armstrong has either had the depth on RHD, or been looking to add it. Even if Pietrangelo is to leave this offseason, I wouldn't be surprised if Armstrong trades for another RHD or adds someone like Brodie in UFA.

I agree that Dunn, Scandella &amp; Gunnarsson isn't particularly attractive on the left. However, it's not really meant to be. It's constructed so that the LHD is a solid player who is a good fit with his RHD partner, and the RHD is carrying the pairing and elevating the LHD players effectiveness on the ice.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 20, 2020 at 4:38 p.m.
Thread: Oilers Recover 2020 Draft Picks Change D and G
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>anduril</b></div><div>If you think it's terrible, then you either aren't noticing that EDM is taking on nearly $4m in cap or you are seriously underrating Klefbom (or overrating Parayko). The reasoning makes a lot of sense. The premise is STL wants to keep Pietrangelo (which may or may not be true). Including AP, STL has 3 righties that can play in the top 4. I think Faulk is untradeable because of the contract they gave him so that means STL has to decide between AP and CP. If they want to keep AP, they need cap. Bozak is their worst contract and they have more than enough forward depth that they can absorb his loss. So in this deal, they gain just under $4m in cap space by sending him out, even retaining 50% with 1 yr left. They also acquire Klefbom who is not as strong defensively as CP but offers a bit more offensive ability and plays an excellent two-way game. Klefbom's contract is universally recognized as a value deal and they get him for 3 years (as opposed to just 2 more with CP). The drop-off from CP to Klefbom is not massive by any stretch. A B prospect is a reasonable starting point to compensate for the retained money but I'd be open to increase the value of the sweetner to a point.</div></div>
No, I think the trade is terrible because it is terrible for the Blues.

It saves the Blues $4m in cap? Entirely disingenuous. If the Blues are willing to retain 50% on Bozak then there are plenty of teams who would want Bozak at a $2.5m cap hit and $2.125m salary. Bozak at 50% for a mediocre prospect doesn't do anything for the Blues... they can find that easily elsewhere.

So this trade is Kelfbom for Parayko. Which saves the Blues $1.33m in cap.

First, Parayko is comfortably a top-5 defensive defenseman in the League, he's significantly better than Klefbom in this regard. Klefbom is a top-pairing defenseman, but Parayko is elite defensively.

Is Klefbom better than Parayko offensively? Sure. Parayko average 33.77 points per 82 games in his five years in the League. In the same five year span Klefbom averages 36.23 points per 82 games. 2.5 points a season better offensively isn't closing that defensive gap.

Then we come to the fact that RHD are more valuable than LHD. Then we can talk about the fact that Parayko has missed 13 games in his five years in the League. Klefbom has missed 99 in that same span.

Klefbom has an extra year on his contract, and that's great... but it doesn't add the value you think. It's far, far easier to be comfortable giving a healthy Parayko a long term extension at 29, how comfortable will it be giving an injury-prone 30 year old Klefbom the deal he's looking for in three years?

As for the whole right-left balance on defense... that's a load of nonsense. If Parayko was a lefty then he still wouldn't be playing with Pietrangelo, if you have two stud defensemen then you want them on different pairings; so that one is on the ice 45-50 minutes a game and they are raising the level of their two defensive partners.

As for your proposed pairings for the Blues should that trade happen... Dunn-Faulk would not be a good second pairing when you consider their skill sets. There isn't the issue that some like to pretend there is in having so much money tied up on one side of the defense, particularly when one can play either side.

Then the fact that the Blues have Dunn, Scandella and Gunnarsson on the left side, with Mikkola viewed as NHL ready and the organisation extremely high on Perunovich. Yet, we've got nobody beyond Pietrangelo, Parayko, Faulk &amp; Bortuzzo in the right. Taking a RHD to add a lefty wouldn't make sense.

Downgrading Parayko to Klefbom to save $1.33m in cap is a terrible, terrible idea for the Blues. We save more than that buying Steen out.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 20, 2020 at 12:50 p.m.
Thread: Not Pietrangelo
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BradDillon17</b></div><div>STL badly needs any cap space they can get. For a 6th and a good prospect I’d do it

You’re undervaluing Bracco FYI. Think he could use a change of scenery where he can get some playing time, STL will have a couple holes after next season and the Seattle draft</div></div>
I'm not undervaluing Bracco at all. Toronto are absolutely desperate for cheap talent to fill out their forward positions and Bracco can't even get a look, that sums it up. If they beleived there was any chance he could contribute in the NHL, he'd have either had a look by now or there isn't any way the Leafs would move him. He's looking at a career similar to Kenny Agostino.

If the Blues are going to move Bortuzzo, it won't be to move $500k of cap and lose reliable depth. It'll because they're getting something useful in return and the cap space saving is a bonus. There is no point moving out five or six players and completely messing with the roster when it can be achieved by moving two or three.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 19, 2020 at 9:07 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 18, 2020 at 1:58 p.m.