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worldwidesensei

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Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 9, 2023 at 11:56 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 9, 2023 at 10:56 a.m.
Forum: NHL SigningsDec. 1, 2023 at 12:52 p.m.
Thread: Montreal Canadiens signed Samuel Montembeault (3 Years / $3,150,000 AAV)
I've been tracking goalie contracts and deployment for a few years now.

For 2023 the Avg Cap Hit per Start = $88,758

For reference, I have found a range like this seems to hold fairly true for deployment (major injuries aside):
<strong>Workhorse Goalie</strong> = 59-72 starts (80% start rate or 4 out of 5 games)
<strong>1A</strong> = 47-58 starts (65% start rate or 2 out of 3 games)
<strong>Tandem</strong> = 36-46 starts (50% start rate; every other or "hot hand" rotation that evens out)
<strong>1B</strong> = 24-35 starts (35% start rate or 1 out of 3 games)
<strong>Backup</strong> = 10-23 starts (20% start rate or 1 out of 5 games)
<strong>Spot Duty/Call-up</strong> = 1-9 starts (injury fill-in from AHL, rookies on ELC slide, or the "old school" backup that only played in B2B games)

Cap inflation next year is expected to be around 5%; thus projecting a $93,542 figure (the actual will be less since many AAV's carryover; but the UFA/RFA's are unkown)

This means the $3,150,000 contract is roughly "average price" for 34 starts per year; thus an above average 1B goalie.

Another way of looking at is the Habs committed 41% of an average team's goalie budget to Montembeault.

In that sense this seems perfectly fine. The question for Montreal (a team coming off one of the most expensive goalie contracts ever) is are they trying to lowball the position (Avs, Kings, Coyotes) due to lots of pending RFA deals; or do they see someone else as their 1A long term (Primeau, Fowler ?).

The good thing about this deal is they have flexibility either way (and with lack of NMC/NTC).
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 20, 2023 at 1:20 a.m.
Thread: wiff
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KingofRnR</b></div><div>Yeah, okay, I got no gripes with you, your opinion or what you feel your Teams needs are, you should know better than me

I do see a need/role for Zadorov on pretty much any Team and I’d say he’s been more consistent and brings a lot more than Jokiharju, but no worries

Is Kreb’s available and if so, what’s the cost!?</div></div>

Jokiharju is a RD playing well with Power
Zadorov is a LH shot
Even if he’s better than Jokiharju, he isn’t a better FIT for what we NEED
If he was RH it would be a different story, but he’s not…..


As for Krebs:
Saying he’s playing poorly isn’t all that accurate

He’s been asked to play a heavily defensive center role which has clearly affected his offensive output, but he’s developing in that role &amp; Sabres Mgmt aren’t showing any signs of wanting to dump him
He was a “must have” part of the Eichel deal, so it’s safe to say he’s well liked by the ppl who matter
And while *some* fans might be frustrated by not seeing offense from him, that simply doesn’t equate to our GM wanting to trade him

Do i think Krebs is untouchable?
No
But i do think we have plans for him being here a while
So i don’t think he’s all that “available”
Not unless it’s as part of a package for a legit #1 goalie,
or maybe a RD like Rasmus Andersson?

Something like Andersson for Krebs, Jokiharju &amp; a 1st ?
Which I’m sure seems low for you,
since u don’t seem to think highly of Krebs or Jokiharju

But that would be my guess- and yes, I’m admitting it’s a GUESS, as to the type of deal the Sabres might be willing to make
Maybe we’d add in another of our young prospects as well
I’m not sure, as I’m clearly not our GM

But i am pretty sure we aren’t gonna dump guys that our Mgmt is proven to like- not for cheap anyways
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 16, 2023 at 1:33 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 10, 2023 at 1:19 p.m.
Thread: Leon or Connor
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>nmstars31</b></div><div>Such as maximizing your opportunity to compete while Skinner is productive (and Gibson in this hypothetical), Tage is at his peak (big men fall off fast), and you have Dahlin, Tuch, Power, Benson, Mittelstadt, Peterka, and Quinn on bargain deals. Sure you’re only guaranteed 2 years of McDavid, but that’s where you bet on yourself to be successful with him and convince him to stay (can even compete against Toronto since he’d still be close to home).</div></div>

Still VERY RISKY to put together a team that might not be good enough to win a Cup

It’s giving up A TON &amp; if we don’t win a Cup, &amp;/or McDavid doesn’t sign an extension when it’s time, then what does this team look like??
It would totally tear down everything we’ve just suffered to build


Also, &amp; most importantly,
EDM isn’t gonna move McDavid- not unless they lose their minds
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 10, 2023 at 11:23 a.m.