Quoting: Lenny7
My mistake, I was talking about up front since we were talking about Kapanen. As for being "pissy", I sincerely apologize. When someone makes a valid point, and the first retort is "You clearly don't follow the team", it's usually said in a super happy, sunshiny way, so I don't know how I could have possibly taken that the wrong way. I was wrong. All good.
You're also right, draft position doesn't mean a ton. Assuming that 4 guys 21 years old and younger are going to ride in on white stallions and save the day is completely logical. No fan in the world would ever overvalue their own prospects. I do agree that Bouchard is probably going to be really good though.
The good news out of all of this is that you are 100% right. They have a great young core of Klefbom, Larsson and Nurse, and adding Bouchard to that should totally fix the fact that they were #7 in the league in goals against last year, and their 30th ranked PK is probably set to be super good next year as well. They'll have Koskinen back between the pipes next year too, so that'll be fun!
As for Jones, advanced metrics may not agree with you, but numbers are for dummies. Everything that I've said is moot. Carry on with your sunshiny day! Perhaps you'll be able to enjoy the teams second playoff appearance in 14 years in 2019-2020!
Thanks! I think there's something wrong with my sarcasm meter today, so I'll just take your post at face value. Great post!
A couple of things though:
- Jones' stats. He was forced to play 1st pairing in the NHL this year due to injuries, about half of his minutes were way higher in the lineup than he should have been. If you take those minutes out you'll see that he proved capable of playing 3rd pairing. This is what I asserted above, you missed the nuance of it.
- next year. Nobody is suggesting Bouchard will make an impact next year, in fact I maintain that Bouchard should play in the AHL next year. I specifically mentioned 2020-21, which you conveniently ignored.
- 4 guys 21 and younger. Nobody is expecting all 4 guys to make the NHL full-time, although 3 are tracking that way for sure. We only need ONE of the guys to play 2nd pair, and that not until 2020. Jones has already proved he can play 3rd pair (the org feels Lagesson can, too) but if not, they can pick up UFA's to fill those spots. So you are completely misrepresenting what I wrote. ONE guy out of four, not FOUR out of four. Big, big difference.
- goals against. Injuries, poor play from the whole team, suspect goaltending play a big part in this number. GA is a team metric, after all. Remember, this is basically the same defense corp that was 8th BEST for GA in the league in 2016-17. Having Sekera and Klefbom healthy all year would be huge. If they aren't, there are now several players from the farm team that are ready to step in; before, there wasn't.