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Crazy Ideas

Created by: CD282
Team: 2020-21 Edmonton Oilers
Initial Creation Date: Dec. 12, 2019
Published: Dec. 12, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
AKA: throwing s*** at the wall

AKA: a not-so-serious look at potential Oilers summer moves

Enjoy.

Trade #1: cleaning up the Lucic mess

Trade #2: Dubas was GM for Darnell Nurse's Soo Greyhounds junior team, and in Nurse's 2nd season Dubas brought in Sheldon Keefe as Head Coach. They love the player, and needing defense and toughness on their Leafs team, target him in the summer. He'll sign an 8 x $6.25M deal with them. I'll argue that Nurse's value is higher than either Kapanen or Johnsson, but less than both together, so I added a 3RD to the deal. Add picks to flavour.

Trade #3: Neal scores 30 goals, GM's see the CGY year as an anomoly rather than a sign of decline. Shero trades Hall during the season and decides not to give Simmonds an extension, so he needs a guy like Neal who can be a veteran presence in the room and also score goals from the doorstep on the PP. NJ has plenty of cap space and McLeod isn't showing much in his 2 years in AHL.

Trade #4: suggested by AJP_18 in this thread: https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/290169 - Sheahan is a UFA so I substituted Chiasson.

Trade #5: Detroit is potentially losing 4 NHL defensemen this summer to free agency and could use a shutdown defenseman on the cheap. He carries a $4M cap hit for 1 year (Detroit has plenty of space) but this deal happens after July 1st bonus is paid, meaning Russell is owed just $1.5M for the last year of his deal - exactly what Glendening earns.

Trade #6: Graves is hot right now but I think it's a bit of a mirage: he hasn't scored 0.40 P/GP since he was an overager in QMJHL, not even in the AHL. However, Graves also has arbitration rights which may make his next deal richer than Sakic would like. COL's blueline is getting crowded, too, and they need to make room for Byram. JP is well disliked on this board, but he's leading his team in points, CF%, CFC%, GF% in a league that is basically equivalent to the AHL, and he's just 21. He's one of the best forwards in the league defensively AND he's generating offense at a very high rate also. Best player on the best team - if your team had a 21-year-old that was doing that in the AHL you'd all be praising him up and down.

Signing Notes:

- Bear's deal is almost exactly Ryan Ellis' 2nd contract. Seems to be a pretty good comp in size and style. Ellis probably has a little more offensive upside though.
- After 2018-19 Anderson was worth a 5 x $5.25 deal or thereabouts, but his 2019-20 campaign is horrid so far. This deal is based on him recovering somewhat (although it's too late for him to score 27 again), so I knocked about a mil off what I thought he was worth.
- Kassian is a similar player to Anderson but is having a much better season. He seems to have regained his confidence and it playing extremely well. I've given him less money and term than Anderson due to age and the fact that he's clearly being zoomed by McDavid. Having traded for Anderson and having Lavoie waiting in the wings gave Kass less leverage, too. If this needs to be $3M x 3, I have the cap space.
- I like Kreider for his size and speed, but he's on pace for 40 points this year and has only (barely) broken 50 twice in his career, so please stop with projecting him at $7M+. His nearest comps are Tatar (4 x 7.07%), Nyquist (4 x 6.75%) and Silfverberg (5 x 6.60%). For the sake of argument we'll take the middle number: $84M cap x 6.75% is $5.67M, we'll round it up to $5.75M.
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
2$800,000
3$700,000
3$825,000
3$700,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
5$3,000,000
2$900,000
2$900,000
5$4,000,000
5$3,000,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$2,500,000
1$750,000
4$5,750,000
4$4,500,000
1$1,000,000
1$700,000
Trades
1.
EDM
    Ok, this isn't crazy - it's the conditional pick from the Neal-Lucic trade
    CGY
    1. 2020 3rd round pick (EDM)
    2.
    3.
    EDM
    1. McLeod, Michael
    2. 2020 4th round pick (NJD)
    4.
    EDM
    1. Anderson, Josh [RFA Rights]
    CBJ
    1. Chiasson, Alex
    2. Jones, Caleb [RFA Rights]
    3. 2021 3rd round pick (EDM)
    5.
    EDM
    1. Glendening, Luke
    2. 2021 3rd round pick (VGK)
    6.
    EDM
    1. Graves, Ryan [RFA Rights]
    COL
    1. Puljujärvi, Jesse [Reserve List]
    Buyouts
    Retained Salary Transactions
    DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
    2020
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the NJD
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    2021
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the VGK
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the EDM
    2022
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the EDM
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
    23$84,000,000$83,030,199$341,534$500,000$969,801
    Left WingCentreRight Wing
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $3,400,000$3,400,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $12,500,000$12,500,000
    C
    UFA - 6
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $2,500,000$2,500,000
    RW
    UFA - 4
    $5,750,000$5,750,000
    LW
    UFA - 7
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $8,500,000$8,500,000
    C, LW
    UFA - 5
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $3,200,000$3,200,000
    RW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $808,333$808,333
    LW, RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $6,000,000$6,000,000
    LW, C
    UFA - 1
    $4,000,000$4,000,000
    RW, LW
    UFA - 7
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $700,000$700,000
    LW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $750,000$750,000
    RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $1,200,000$1,200,000
    LW, C
    UFA - 1
    $4,500,000$4,500,000
    C
    UFA - 6
    Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
    $1,800,000$1,800,000
    C, RW, LW
    UFA - 1
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $4,167,000$4,167,000
    LD
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $3,000,000$3,000,000
    RD
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $4,500,000$4,500,000
    G
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    $1,000,000$1,000,000
    RD
    UFA
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$500,000$500K)
    RD
    RFA - 3
    $3,000,000$3,000,000
    LD
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $4,166,666$4,166,666
    RD
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $900,000$900,000
    G
    UFA
    Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
    $900,000$900,000
    LD/RD
    UFA - 2

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    Dec. 12, 2019 at 10:48 a.m.
    #1
    Mods have power egos
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    These trades are absolutely awful
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 10:57 a.m.
    #2
    arky
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    Why would Wings take your cap dump and giving a player and a pick. Would rather have Glendening than Russell. If he is traded I want a pick not Oilers bad contract.
    Wingsfan09 liked this.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 11:21 a.m.
    #3
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    Quoting: mikearky
    Why would Wings take your cap dump and giving a player and a pick. Would rather have Glendening than Russell. If he is traded I want a pick not Oilers bad contract.


    Because your defense is dogsh*t and most of the NHL-level guys are leaving in the summer. Russell is never going to score a lot, but he's pretty good as a shutdown guy: 55% GF on a team that is 46.62%, mainly due to having a much better GA rate: 1.11 GA/60 on a team that gives up 2.68 GA/60. FOr context, Glendening is on-ice for 0.99 GF/60 but 3.72 GA/60 for a 21.05 GF%! That's one of the WORST rates in the league.

    D*mn, now that I've looked at the numbers I think I should upgrade that pick to a 2nd.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 11:51 a.m.
    #4
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    Not biting on Neal if I’m Shero. Playing with McDavid and Draisaitl is the only way he scores 30, no way in hell that’s happening in NJ. NJ still needs centers and there’s still room for McLeod to improve at 21 y/o.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:01 p.m.
    #5
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    Quoting: jnorrrr
    Not biting on Neal if I’m Shero. Playing with McDavid and Draisaitl is the only way he scores 30, no way in hell that’s happening in NJ. NJ still needs centers and there’s still room for McLeod to improve at 21 y/o.


    Neal doesn't play with McDavid or Draisaitl except on the powerplay. If you look at his powerplay goals, they aren't a function of playing with McDavid. He could just as well be receiving a pass from Hughes as McDavid. He's really good at tipping shots and scoping up rebounds - these things are not passer-dependent.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:05 p.m.
    #6
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    Leafs say no, just like every other team
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:14 p.m.
    #7
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    Quoting: CD282
    Neal doesn't play with McDavid or Draisaitl except on the powerplay. If you look at his powerplay goals, they aren't a function of playing with McDavid. He could just as well be receiving a pass from Hughes as McDavid. He's really good at tipping shots and scoping up rebounds - these things are not passer-dependent.


    Neal hasn’t scored in 8 games. He played on that top line with McDavid and Draisaitl at the start of the season and had 9 goals in the first 6 games.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:14 p.m.
    #8
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    Columbus has no need for a LHD.... Most of these trades have no appeal to the other team...
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:16 p.m.
    #9
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    do not hate this idea for the Avs.

    We sir have a deal bc I do agree with you, Graves is looking like a solid NHLer, maybe not as good as he is right now for the longevity of his career but at a min hes going to be a solid 3rd pairing guy once he comes down from this heater
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:18 p.m.
    #10
    Ban Price trades
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    One of Kreider or Pageau is unnecessary in this setup: if the goal is to separate Edmonton's big centers and run three scoring lines, running a $4.5M Pageau on the 4th line is an egregious waste of cap space that could be better suited to employing something more than the corpse of Ron Hainsey as the #2LD. IF the option is to keep McDavid and Draisaitl together, Kreider is almost not needed given the wingers coming back in the Torono deal AND trying to fit Benson onto this roster. I'd be much more interested in using that money in targeting Muzzin if we aren't trading a combination of Yamamoto and PIcks to acquire a quality RFA defender that's ready for bigger minutes.

    While I do think the landing spot for Russell is likely to be Detroit - they need to hit the cap floor somehow and could use a year of a serviceable defender - I doubt the return is going to be anything close to what you have or fair whatsoever. Kris is at the point in his career where he is a bottom-pairing defender, and his cap hit doesn't justify what he brings to the ice. Strictly based on the optics of it all, Edmonton might coup a 2021 5th Round Pick for him. Given that it's a move to clear a cap hit and nothing personal against the guy, by June, I might be willing to sell low on him just to free up that much-needed cap space.

    Toronto is getting away with highway robbery here: if we've established previously that Benning is worth a 2nd Round PIck, and Nurse would be a coveted piece for any team to acquire, the return should be higher than two middle-six wingers. I'd like to see a Nick Robertson or higher pick coming back in that deal. Kappy and Mango aren't enough of a return.

    I don't think New Jersey and Columbus take those deals. Columbus is stuffed to the gills with LHD and would probably want a forward or multiple picks for Anderson, and I don't think New Jersey is supposed to be as bad as they've been this season. If they find a goaltender and someone that produces at least 50% of what Hall brought, they shouldn't be a basement team next season, and would thus have very little use for Neal. Nor do I believe he's going to hit 30 goals this season. I'm genuinely starting to have doubts that he hits 20, which only does us draft-day favours. I think the only way Neal finds himself on another NHL team is if he's bought out this summer. Based solely on his 5v5 production (he's below 4th-line production iirc) and implications regarding the expansion draft, I don't think it's entirely off the table.

    I don't like that Puljujarvi trade in the slightest. I very much believe a forward needs to be coming back in a JP trade, not a bottom-pairing defender when we still have Lagesson in the wings.
    mikearky liked this.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:27 p.m.
    #11
    Buffbry
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    Quoting: CD282
    Because your defense is dogsh*t and most of the NHL-level guys are leaving in the summer. Russell is never going to score a lot, but he's pretty good as a shutdown guy: 55% GF on a team that is 46.62%, mainly due to having a much better GA rate: 1.11 GA/60 on a team that gives up 2.68 GA/60. FOr context, Glendening is on-ice for 0.99 GF/60 but 3.72 GA/60 for a 21.05 GF%! That's one of the WORST rates in the league.

    D*mn, now that I've looked at the numbers I think I should upgrade that pick to a 2nd.


    Detroit says absolutely no, they can care less that their D is dog****. They are tanking for a pick and can sign someone jist as capable or better than Russel in the off-season. You want lgd for Russel you can throw in the 2nd round pick or no deal for Detroit, we will not be trading picks this season unless it's for young players/prospects
    Wingsfan09 and mikearky liked this.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:38 p.m.
    #12
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    Quoting: jnorrrr
    He played on that top line with McDavid and Draisaitl at the start of the season


    No he didn't. Look it up.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:39 p.m.
    #13
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    Quoting: Ajp_18
    Columbus has no need for a LHD.... Most of these trades have no appeal to the other team...


    I think YOU were the one that suggested that trade! laugh
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 12:44 p.m.
    #14
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    Quoting: CD282
    I think YOU were the one that suggested that trade! laugh


    I think you asked about it.... I never gave you an answer.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 1:08 p.m.
    #15
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    Quoting: Ajp_18
    I think you asked about it.... I never gave you an answer.


    It's right in the Explanation section above:

    Trade #4: suggested by AJP_18 in this thread: https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/290169 - Sheahan is a UFA so I substituted Chiasson.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 2:25 p.m.
    #16
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    Quoting: jnorrrr
    NJ still needs centers


    Hell no.. We need everything except centers.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 2:39 p.m.
    #17
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    Quoting: CD282
    Because your defense is dogsh*t and most of the NHL-level guys are leaving in the summer. Russell is never going to score a lot, but he's pretty good as a shutdown guy: 55% GF on a team that is 46.62%, mainly due to having a much better GA rate: 1.11 GA/60 on a team that gives up 2.68 GA/60. FOr context, Glendening is on-ice for 0.99 GF/60 but 3.72 GA/60 for a 21.05 GF%! That's one of the WORST rates in the league.

    D*mn, now that I've looked at the numbers I think I should upgrade that pick to a 2nd.


    Why not upgrade it to a first since your dogsh*t trade will never happen.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 2:53 p.m.
    #18
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    Quoting: BeterChiarelli
    One of Kreider or Pageau is unnecessary in this setup: if the goal is to separate Edmonton's big centers and run three scoring lines, running a $4.5M Pageau on the 4th line is an egregious waste of cap space that could be better suited to employing something more than the corpse of Ron Hainsey as the #2LD. IF the option is to keep McDavid and Draisaitl together, Kreider is almost not needed given the wingers coming back in the Torono deal AND trying to fit Benson onto this roster. I'd be much more interested in using that money in targeting Muzzin if we aren't trading a combination of Yamamoto and PIcks to acquire a quality RFA defender that's ready for bigger minutes.


    I agree there is redundancy in this mock - that's the whole point of "throwing s*** at the wall" isn't it? In any case, having Pageau anchor a shutdown line isn't a waste - because that's what he does best - but he's also insurance against Nuge potentially leaving as a UFA. I like the Muzzin suggestion as well, that's another option in the highly unlikely event Nurse is traded. Depending on what he's asking, of course, but it shouldn't be more than I gave Kreider, so you're dead on there.


    Quoting: BeterChiarelli
    While I do think the landing spot for Russell is likely to be Detroit - they need to hit the cap floor somehow and could use a year of a serviceable defender - I doubt the return is going to be anything close to what you have or fair whatsoever. Kris is at the point in his career where he is a bottom-pairing defender, and his cap hit doesn't justify what he brings to the ice. Strictly based on the optics of it all, Edmonton might coup a 2021 5th Round Pick for him. Given that it's a move to clear a cap hit and nothing personal against the guy, by June, I might be willing to sell low on him just to free up that much-needed cap space.


    Okay, some of your statements don't add up, specifically "they need to hit the cap floor", "a serviceable defender", "cap hit doesn't justify what he brings to the ice". If Detroit is under the cap floor then a high cap hit is good, if they're above the floor but nowhere near the cap limit then his cap hit is utterly irrelevant. They won't care what his cap hit is, they'll be looking at the actual dollars that they have to spend on him, which is quite low. And seeing as Glendening is one of the worst players in the league this year and well below replacement level, I was doing them a favour by taking on his contract. Glendening + a late 3rd (my suggestion) is about equal to an early 5th (your suggestion) in my mind, so I don't think we're far apart here despite looking at it from different angles.

    Also, I was suggesting a July trade so Edmonton would pay Russell's $1M bonus - if it's a June trade then I take that 5th in a flash - on the condition that I have something better to use that $4M savings on.


    Quoting: BeterChiarelli
    Toronto is getting away with highway robbery here: if we've established previously that Benning is worth a 2nd Round PIck, and Nurse would be a coveted piece for any team to acquire, the return should be higher than two middle-six wingers. I'd like to see a Nick Robertson or higher pick coming back in that deal. Kappy and Mango aren't enough of a return.


    Of course the Toronto trade is a win for the Leafs, but if you read what I wrote I said: "Add picks to flavour." And STILL we have a clueless Leafs fans saying "Leafs say no, just like every other team", see comment #6 above yours. tears of joy

    Quoting: BeterChiarelli
    I don't think New Jersey and Columbus take those deals. Columbus is stuffed to the gills with LHD and would probably want a forward or multiple picks for Anderson, and I don't think New Jersey is supposed to be as bad as they've been this season. If they find a goaltender and someone that produces at least 50% of what Hall brought, they shouldn't be a basement team next season, and would thus have very little use for Neal. Nor do I believe he's going to hit 30 goals this season. I'm genuinely starting to have doubts that he hits 20, which only does us draft-day favours. I think the only way Neal finds himself on another NHL team is if he's bought out this summer. Based solely on his 5v5 production (he's below 4th-line production iirc) and implications regarding the expansion draft, I don't think it's entirely off the table.


    The CBJ trade was suggested by a CBJ fan, if you read the Explanation and other comments you'll see where I got that from. As far as NJD goes, who knows. But Shero signed Simmonds last summer looking for exactly the player-type Neal is this year, but so far it's not working out as hoped for the Devils. And Neal comes with ZERO expansion draft "implications" as he has no NMC/NTC and can thus be exposed to Seattle.


    Quoting: BeterChiarelli
    I don't like that Puljujarvi trade in the slightest. I very much believe a forward needs to be coming back in a JP trade, not a bottom-pairing defender when we still have Lagesson in the wings.


    I don't either, really. But I got to the end of this and realised that (a) I don't have enough defenseman to cover for all the ones I'd traded, (b) it's unlikely Samorukov / Broberg will be ready to take on a top-4 position, and (c) I didn't have enough cap space left to sign a Muzzin or similar. So I made this deal knowing that both Hainsey and Graves have played a fair bit of top-4 this year and have done okay in that time. Also, I tried to give up more potential than I got because JP carries more risk than Graves IMO. The other thing is that Lagesson hasn't had a chance yet to prove that he's ready for 3LD, if that happens this season (no doubt it will) then that changes the need on defense drastically. Maybe JP gets included in the NJD trade and the prospect coming back gets upgraded? Or Detroit? Lots of options.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 2:56 p.m.
    #19
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    Quoting: Old_Snowman
    Why not upgrade it to a first since your dogsh*t trade will never happen.


    Take Glendening out (since you Detroiters seem to love suckage so much) and I'll downgrade the pick. He's a below-replacement-level player. I'd be glad to use his $1.8M cap hit for someone that can actually play hockey!
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 4:37 p.m.
    #20
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    Quoting: Leafs_fan13
    Leafs say no


    Quoting: BeterChiarelli
    Toronto is getting away with highway robbery here


    So... which is it? Discuss.
    Dec. 12, 2019 at 4:39 p.m.
    #21
    Ban Price trades
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    Quoting: CD282
    So... which is it? Discuss.


    If I had to guess between two middle-six wingers or a quality top-four defender and determine who's more valuable, I'd side with the top-four defender.
    Dec. 13, 2019 at 12:06 p.m.
    #22
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    Quoting: CD282
    Take Glendening out (since you Detroiters seem to love suckage so much) and I'll downgrade the pick. He's a below-replacement-level player. I'd be glad to use his $1.8M cap hit for someone that can actually play hockey!


    We'll give you Glendening for your 1st Round Pick. Final Offer.
    Dec. 13, 2019 at 12:17 p.m.
    #23
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    Quoting: Old_Snowman
    We'll give you Glendening for your 1st Round Pick. Final Offer.


    Too late, the trade is settled. Russell for a 2020 5th.
    Dec. 13, 2019 at 12:23 p.m.
    #24
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    Quoting: CD282
    Too late, the trade is settled. Russell for a 2020 5th.


    Massive overpayment to take the Oilers cap dump off their hands. You want to dump Russell, you'll give us picks

    Or you can just have him forever. Maybe Holland will give him a raise. He's good at that sort of thing.
    Dec. 13, 2019 at 12:36 p.m.
    #25
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    Quoting: Old_Snowman
    Massive overpayment to take the Oilers cap dump off their hands. You want to dump Russell, you'll give us picks

    Or you can just have him forever. Maybe Holland will give him a raise. He's good at that sort of thing.


    He's not a cap dump, he's an NHL defenseman. Something Detroit doesn't have much of.
     
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