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If They Didnt Overpay Marner

Created by: AnalyticsGeek
Team: 2020-21 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: Dec. 7, 2020
Published: Dec. 7, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
For me, the biggest mistake of the Kyle Dubas era will always be the Mitch Marner contract. Even though he is an excellent player, there is no way to justify paying him the same amount as the franchise cornerstones John Tavares and Auston Matthews. With the cap savings from him, the team could've afforded to sign a 2RD and their roster would be unstoppable.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$3,500,000
CREATEDYEARSCAP HIT
Marner, Mitchell
5$9,250,000
Offer Sheets
Offer sheet annual average (AAV) is calculated by dividing the contract value by the lower of: 1. The contract length, or 2. Five years
PLAYERAAVCOMPENSATION
Cernak, Erik$3,500,000
2021 2nd round pick
Trades
TOR
  1. 2023 3rd round pick (TBL)
Retained Salary Transactions
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2021
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2022
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Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
2023
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Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TBL
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$81,500,000$81,321,741$0$0$178,259

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,250,000$2,250,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,640,250$11,640,250
C
UFA - 4
Marner, Mitchell
$9,250,000$9,250,000
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,645,000$1,645,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$11,000,000$11,000,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$6,962,366$6,962,366
RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$900,000$900,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,500,000$3,500,000
LW, C, RW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,500,000$1,500,000
RW, LW
NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
C, LW
NMC
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,625,000$5,625,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD/RD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,650,000$1,650,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$925,000$925,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$874,125$874,125
LD/RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$10,903,000$10,903,000
RW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$700,000$700,000
LD
UFA - 1

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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:02 p.m.
#26
Hidalgo
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Quoting: mhockey91
The leafs bias is REAL.
Good joke


I don’t see that as a bias. Kapanen was such an exciting and skillful player on Toronto but absolutely could not apply it to anything useful and cost the team more than he helped it in lots of games. At the same price I’d prob take kapanen based on upside potential but at 1/4 of the price I also take Vesey with no hesitation
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:04 p.m.
#27
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
my point being that they don't both make 900K

people seem to think the pay difference is indicative that vesey sucks big time, but 1. kappy wasn't that great when he was here and 2. vesey, despite playing on the worse team in the NHL still put up respectable numbers

would you rather have kappy or vesey, simmonds, thornton, bogosian, anderson, and mikheyev?


all these players combined make way more than Kap... what are you saying? and kappy was good in toronto despite what you're saying now. I remember back in the spring leafs fans all wanted a first for Kappy. now apparently he sucks. unbelievable
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:04 p.m.
#28
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Quoting: MitchMarnerElite
Do you guys think this team is strong enough to win the cup?


I don’t understand why leaf fans feel the need to ask this question everyday when the answer is always no
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:04 p.m.
#29
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Quoting: Jamiepo
If they were both making 900k... I would take kappy back all day long. Vesey has a bit of potential though. Certainly not upset about that signing.


yeah the Vesey signing is fine. no worries there.
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:06 p.m.
#30
Ovchinnikov 137
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
"The Rangers got great value out of Laffy’s ELC as they watched him pot a boat load of goals and points. He capped the three years off by scoring over a point per game game in a contract year. A huge reason as to why this overpay occurred is because of Laffys platform year. Using points to evaluate forwards is a bit reductive, but the fact is, points are what get players paid, and Laffy had lots of them.

The Rangers signed Artemi Panarin as an unrestricted free agent in July 2019 to a seven-year contract at an $11 642 857M annual cap hit. If they could have signed him for just a little bit less – say, a $10.5M cap hit – that would have not just saved them that money, it also would have set a lower precedent for the other key players that they knew they would need to sign in the near future: Kaako last year, Laffy and buchnevich this summer.
It’s the Rangers management that they should be angry with, because they set the wheels in motion last year by caving in to the demands of Kaako – a player who hadn’t proven that he is as valuable to the team’s success as Laffy now has proven himself to be."

do you see how silly it sounds in other contexts?

Tavares already took a paycut to come to toronto of like 2-3M, why is he taking even less? How does a 28 year old franchise centre signing a deal impact what a 90+ point winger and a 40-50 goal scoring centre ask for? Nylander was and continues to be an elite winger, a play-driving, play-making, sniping winger who takes faceoffs and is damn good at them.


Can you read?
My point was Tavares’s contract set the table for the Marner contract. Are you telling me that he still scores 94 points and gets 10.89 without JT on the Leafs. Give me a break
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:06 p.m.
#31
Formerly Jamiepo
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
my point being that they don't both make 900K

people seem to think the pay difference is indicative that vesey sucks big time, but 1. kappy wasn't that great when he was here and 2. vesey, despite playing on the worse team in the NHL still put up respectable numbers

would you rather have kappy or vesey, simmonds, thornton, bogosian, anderson, and mikheyev?


Yup, I agree. Although I do think kappy is good. Tons of raw talent. Needs to get his brain to catch up with his body. He has shown improvement over the years with the leafs. Curling back and hitting open guys rather than the low percentage waster shot all the time.

My point was only if they made the same. Which they don’t. Which is what I was pointing out in my roundabout way.
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:07 p.m.
#32
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Quoting: TheLeafsSeason
Vesey has "potential" (but won't) while Kappy is already there. Little Jimmy will show the Leafs how to win a playoff round


bogosian will show them, just like how he showed the bolts
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:08 p.m.
#33
Formerly Jamiepo
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Quoting: mhockey91
all these players combined make way more than Kap... what are you saying? and kappy was good in toronto despite what you're saying now. I remember back in the spring leafs fans all wanted a first for Kappy. now apparently he sucks. unbelievable


Thinking he was going with money above replacement. Even then you wouldn’t fit everyone here.
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:08 p.m.
#34
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Quoting: KINGS67
I don’t understand why leaf fans feel the need to ask this question everyday when the answer is always no


the answer will always be no until it actually happens because most leaf fans hate themselves and cant grant themselves any hope and other fan bases could never admit it even if they assembled the salt lake city gold team in their prime as leafs
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:09 p.m.
#35
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Quoting: mhockey91
all these players combined make way more than Kap... what are you saying? and kappy was good in toronto despite what you're saying now. I remember back in the spring leafs fans all wanted a first for Kappy. now apparently he sucks. unbelievable


Quoting: Jamiepo
Thinking he was going with money above replacement. Even then you wouldn’t fit everyone here.


sry, got that talking point mixed up with johnsson + kappy

just in terms of kappy's 3.2M though, vesey simmonds and thornton I would much rather have over just kappy

also, I never wanted a first for kappy, no doubt some did. He was hilariously over valued here and that showed even after he was traded. He had a rep as this scrappy winger who in reality was lazy, one dimensional and more often than not took stupid penalties. He put up decent numbers with matthews, but even then, he's a third liner playing first line minutes, he's not a top 6 winger
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:11 p.m.
#36
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
sry, got that talking point mixed up with johnsson + kappy

just in terms of kappy's 3.2M though, vesey simmonds and thornton I would much rather have over just kappy

also, I never wanted a first for kappy, no doubt some did. He was hilariously over valued here and that showed even after he was traded. He had a rep as this scrappy winger who in reality was lazy, one dimensional and more often than not took stupid penalties. He put up decent numbers with matthews, but even then, he's a third liner playing first line minutes, he's not a top 6 winger


and dont forget to throw in what kappy was traded for.
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:12 p.m.
#37
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
sry, got that talking point mixed up with johnsson + kappy

just in terms of kappy's 3.2M though, vesey simmonds and thornton I would much rather have over just kappy

also, I never wanted a first for kappy, no doubt some did. He was hilariously over valued here and that showed even after he was traded. He had a rep as this scrappy winger who in reality was lazy, one dimensional and more often than not took stupid penalties. He put up decent numbers with matthews, but even then, he's a third liner playing first line minutes, he's not a top 6 winger


Kap will be a legit top 6 guy on pit. Kap is also worth way more than Vesey/simmonds/thornton. gimme a break. Simmonds and Thornton are so passed their prime. Kap is one of the most UNDERRATED players on this site. people like you think hes a mediocre 3rd liner when thats just not the case. Hes scored 20+ goals and 40+ points being shuffled all over the lineup from first line with matthews to 3rd line when Nylander came back. once he has a solid fit on Crosby's wing on pittsburgh he will be putting up a 20+ goal 50+ point pace which is top 6 in my book
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:13 p.m.
#38
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Quoting: LeafsfanMathews
Can you read?
My point was Tavares’s contract set the table for the Marner contract. Are you telling me that he still scores 94 points and gets 10.89 without JT on the Leafs. Give me a break


marner wanted matthews money. that's the simple matter of it - that and he absolutely despised babs and was not in any mood to take a pay cut

Matthews earned his contract, 40 goals in his rookie year and year after year, despite missing games was easily a top 5 goal scorer

92aefd2ecb35513ca2d243dbac1d6008.png03fcd66b950069c3c49e9e69dd21ed08.png

matthews wanted mcdavid money, he got it but over 5 years, marner wanted that. Tavares didn't factor in. Eventually marner compromised (while turning down more lucrative offer sheets from other teams) and took about a million-ish less and signed for one extra year
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:16 p.m.
#39
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Quoting: mhockey91
Kap will be a legit top 6 guy on pit. Kap is also worth way more than Vesey/simmonds/thornton. gimme a break. Simmonds and Thornton are so passed their prime. Kap is one of the most UNDERRATED players on this site. people like you think hes a mediocre 3rd liner when thats just not the case. Hes scored 20+ goals and 40+ points being shuffled all over the lineup from first line with matthews to 3rd line when Nylander came back. once he has a solid fit on Crosby's wing on pittsburgh he will be putting up a 20+ goal 50+ point pace which is top 6 in my book


one thing i love about this response is that there are AGM's on here DAILY about how the leafs need to move Marner or Nylander for futures or multiple lesser players to flesh out their depth but when they do it with Kapanen it's a bad move
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:17 p.m.
#40
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Quoting: mhockey91
Kap will be a legit top 6 guy on pit. Kap is also worth way more than Vesey/simmonds/thornton. gimme a break. Simmonds and Thornton are so passed their prime. Kap is one of the most UNDERRATED players on this site. people like you think hes a mediocre 3rd liner when thats just not the case. Hes scored 20+ goals and 40+ points being shuffled all over the lineup from first line with matthews to 3rd line when Nylander came back. once he has a solid fit on Crosby's wing on pittsburgh he will be putting up a 20+ goal 50+ point pace which is top 6 in my book


he played over half of his 5v5 ice time with one of matthews or JT in 18-19, I'd hope he could muster up 20 goals lmao

b967b6ddfd6274dddb13b7a3e535df2b.png

I'll never forget when we tried to play kappy with JT at the start of 19-20 and he absolute murdered the line and we had to bury him back on the third line
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:18 p.m.
#41
Hidalgo
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Quoting: mhockey91
Kap will be a legit top 6 guy on pit. Kap is also worth way more than Vesey/simmonds/thornton. gimme a break. Simmonds and Thornton are so passed their prime. Kap is one of the most UNDERRATED players on this site. people like you think hes a mediocre 3rd liner when thats just not the case. Hes scored 20+ goals and 40+ points being shuffled all over the lineup from first line with matthews to 3rd line when Nylander came back. once he has a solid fit on Crosby's wing on pittsburgh he will be putting up a 20+ goal 50+ point pace which is top 6 in my book


Assuming you’re a Pitt fan, I think kapanen will be great on Pittsburgh. He just didn’t have a place where he meshed well on Toronto and was pretty much useless when he was put in roles out of his comfort zone. However I think with his elite skill set and having Crosby to mentor him on his decision making and seeing the ice (kapanens biggest weakness), he’ll be really impressive hopefully. I do disagree about him not having the value of thornton Vesey etc. Individually he hes the most valuable of those players, but having all of those guys combined at the same cap hit as kapanen is a huge huge win for Toronto IMO
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:18 p.m.
#42
Ovchinnikov 137
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
marner wanted matthews money. that's the simple matter of it - that and he absolutely despised babs and was not in any mood to take a pay cut

Matthews earned his contract, 40 goals in his rookie year and year after year, despite missing games was easily a top 5 goal scorer

92aefd2ecb35513ca2d243dbac1d6008.png03fcd66b950069c3c49e9e69dd21ed08.png

matthews wanted mcdavid money, he got it but over 5 years, marner wanted that. Tavares didn't factor in. Eventually marner compromised (while turning down more lucrative offer sheets from other teams) and took about a million-ish less and signed for one extra year


I actually think this guy does some really good Leaf content. He does a whole vid series on this. Don’t have to watch it all, I’ll even tee up where to tune in. 6:50min

https://youtu.be/p8mkQqODFsc

It’s not like I’m alone in this thought process 😂
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:19 p.m.
#43
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
he played over half of his 5v5 ice time with one of matthews or JT in 18-19, I'd hope he could muster up 20 goals lmao

b967b6ddfd6274dddb13b7a3e535df2b.png

I'll never forget when we tried to play kappy with JT at the start of 19-20 and he absolute murdered the line and we had to bury him back on the third line


And the remainder of his 5v5 minutes he was buried on the 3rd line. If he had a permanent top 6 spot he would’ve been 25+ goals plus that season.
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:21 p.m.
#44
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Quoting: Hidalgo
Assuming you’re a Pitt fan, I think kapanen will be great on Pittsburgh. He just didn’t have a place where he meshed well on Toronto and was pretty much useless when he was put in roles out of his comfort zone. However I think with his elite skill set and having Crosby to mentor him on his decision making and seeing the ice (kapanens biggest weakness), he’ll be really impressive hopefully. I do disagree about him not having the value of thornton Vesey etc. Individually he hes the most valuable of those players, but having all of those guys combined at the same cap hit as kapanen is a huge huge win for Toronto IMO


As long as he’s good in Pittsburgh I couldn’t care less about how Toronto fans rate him. I think he’ll be a welcome addition once this season starts (if we even get hockey this year)
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:24 p.m.
#45
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Quoting: LeafsfanMathews
I actually think this guy does some really good Leaf content. He does a whole vid series on this. Don’t have to watch it all, I’ll even tee up where to tune in. 6:50min

https://youtu.be/p8mkQqODFsc

It’s not like I’m alone in this thought process 😂


Yo I love downstown sports, I watch his videos lol

imo he's making a different point though - if marner doesn't score 94 points and has another year of 70 points playing with a worse player - yeah ofc he takes less

but are we mad at JT now for elevating our team and making our players better lmao?

I'm thrilled that JT was able to come in and pot 47 goals and elevate marner to an uber high end level
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:26 p.m.
#46
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Quoting: KINGS67
I don’t understand why leaf fans feel the need to ask this question everyday when the answer is always no


It's not "Leafs fans" it's one guy making ACGMs over and over again with the Marner contract being the talking point.

Most Leafs fans have long moved on and so this one twat keeps Capfriendly busy with his one idea over and over again.
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:27 p.m.
#47
Ovchinnikov 137
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
Yo I love downstown sports, I watch his videos lol

imo he's making a different point though - if marner doesn't score 94 points and has another year of 70 points playing with a worse player - yeah ofc he takes less

but are we mad at JT now for elevating our team and making our players better lmao?

I'm thrilled that JT was able to come in and pot 47 goals and elevate marner to an uber high end level


Dude everything I’ve said on this was John Tavares propped up Marner, and yes you can say the same thing for JT stats. My original statement was if no JT, no way in hell Marner gets 10.89. That’s it
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:32 p.m.
#48
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Quoting: Lyle_Bubas
marner wanted matthews money. that's the simple matter of it - that and he absolutely despised babs and was not in any mood to take a pay cut

Matthews earned his contract, 40 goals in his rookie year and year after year, despite missing games was easily a top 5 goal scorer

92aefd2ecb35513ca2d243dbac1d6008.png03fcd66b950069c3c49e9e69dd21ed08.png

matthews wanted mcdavid money, he got it but over 5 years, marner wanted that. Tavares didn't factor in. Eventually marner compromised (while turning down more lucrative offer sheets from other teams) and took about a million-ish less and signed for one extra year


Matthews earned his pay, he definitely did not earn his contract of 5 years
Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:33 p.m.
#49
torontos finest
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Quoting: oneX
It's not "Leafs fans" it's one guy making ACGMs over and over again with the Marner contract being the talking point.

Most Leafs fans have long moved on and so this one twat keeps Capfriendly busy with his one idea over and over again.


Toronto has no moves to make until the season starts, so Capfriendly gets subjected to the daily Nylander/Marner ACGMs and Kerfoot/Holl dumps. Things got mixed up a week ago with the "Tavares sucks" narrative but this is par for the course at least until mid next month.
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Dec. 7, 2020 at 6:35 p.m.
#50
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dude, Marner's contract has been signed. it's done, get over it. It's not gonna change so stop making these kind of teams.
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