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Strangely optimistic for the future of the Pens

Created by: Pens3lieve
Team: 2024-25 Pittsburgh Penguins
Initial Creation Date: Mar. 19, 2024
Published: Mar. 21, 2024
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Don't trade any players under 27, sign a bunch of guys to 1-year deals each offseason for the remainder of Sid's career while giving the kids the chance to play... flip everybody you can for younger players, then hopefully we'll only have to tank for a few seasons post-sid to get some top-5 draft picks to supplement our younger group of talent...

all trades i made below don't take too seriously... just in theory just like the Jake trade, we'll be moving guys on expiring deals for younger players, etc...also tried to take the quantity over quality approach, none of the prospects listed below are even close to top-5 within their own system...
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
3$950,000
3$800,000
3$800,000
3$800,000
3$800,000
3$800,000
3$800,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$800,000
1$800,000
1$1,700,000
1$3,500,000
Trades
1.
PIT
  1. Salin, Otto [Reserve List]
  2. Ziemmer, Koehn
  3. 2025 4th round pick (LAK)
LAK
  1. Smith, Reilly ($2,500,000 retained)
2.
PIT
    Kings #8 and #14 prospects but rankings vary
    LAK
    3.
    PIT
    1. 2025 4th round pick (EDM)
    TBL
    1. Nieto, Matt
    2. 2025 7th round pick (PIT)
    4.
    PIT
    1. Edwards, Ethan [Reserve List]
    2. Misyul, Daniil
    3. Shlaine, Artem [Reserve List]
    4. 2026 4th round pick (NJD)
    Additional Details:
    #8/#14/#18 NJD prospects give or take
    4th round pick is conditional, 3rd if NJD make playoffs, 2nd if ECF, 1st if SC Final
    NJD
    1. Pettersson, Marcus ($2,000,000 retained)
    5.
    PIT
    1. 2026 3rd round pick (EDM)
    6.
    7.
    PIT
    1. Anderson, Josh
    2. Armia, Joel
    Additional Details:
    bad contract swap
    8.
    PIT
    1. Krug, Torey
    Additional Details:
    not horrendous but still just a change of scenery for players on bigger deals
    9.
    Buyouts
    Retained Salary Transactions
    DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
    2024
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PHI
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the NYR
    2025
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the LAK
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the FLA
    2026
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the SJS
    Logo of the EDM
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the NJD
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the CHI
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
    22$87,500,000$86,829,167$0$0$670,833
    Left WingCentreRight Wing
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $5,125,000$5,125,000
    RW, LW
    NMC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $8,700,000$8,700,000
    C
    NMC
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $5,500,000$5,500,000
    RW, LW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $4,500,000$4,500,000
    LW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $6,100,000$6,100,000
    C
    NMC
    UFA - 2
    $3,500,000$3,500,000
    RW, LW
    UFA
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $950,000$950,000
    RW, LW
    UFA
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $925,000$925,000
    LW
    UFA - 1
    $800,000$800,000
    RW, LW
    UFA
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $3,400,000$3,400,000
    RW, LW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
    $800,000$800,000
    C, LW
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $800,000$800,000
    RW
    UFA - 1
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
    $5,950,000$5,950,000
    LD/RD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $6,100,000$6,100,000
    RD
    NMC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $5,375,000$5,375,000
    G
    M-NTC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $775,000$775,000
    LD
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $10,000,000$10,000,000
    RD
    NMC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $1,700,000$1,700,000
    G
    UFA
    Logo of the St. Louis Blues
    $6,500,000$6,500,000
    LD
    NTC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $775,000$775,000
    RD
    RFA
    ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
    $800,000$800,000
    RW, LW
    UFA
    $775,000$775,000
    LD
    RFA
    Taxi Squad
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $950,000$950,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    C, LW, RW
    RFA
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $886,667$886,667 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$57,500$58K)
    G
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $795,000$795,000 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$20,000$20K)
    C
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $850,000$850,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    C, LW
    RFA
    Logo of the Los Angeles Kings
    $875,000$875,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    RW
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $805,833$805,833 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
    RW
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $918,333$918,333 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$250,000$250K)
    LD
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the New Jersey Devils
    $867,500$867,500 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$57,500$58K)
    LD
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $870,000$870,000 ($0$0$0$0) (Performance Bonus$80,000$80K)
    LD
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    G
    RFA
    $800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    LD
    RFA
    $800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    RD
    RFA
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    RW
    RFA
    $800,000$800,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    C
    RFA
    Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
    $775,000$775,000 ($0$0$0$0)
    LW
    RFA

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    Mar. 21 at 11:08 a.m.
    #1
    Once a Kings Fan Too
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    We'd rather have Arvidsson and Ziemmer than one season of Reilly Smith at $2.5 million. Depending upon how things go with Matt Roy, we might be able to afford $4 x 3 for Viktor.
    Mar. 21 at 11:21 a.m.
    #2
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    I think NJ accepts. Petey fits nicely, especially retained.
    A think a simpler deal would be a 2nd and 3rd but that prospect list wouldn't be an issue.
    Mar. 21 at 11:23 a.m.
    #3
    Thread Starter
    Hockey IQ
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    Quoting: DevilsFanInTX
    I think NJ accepts. Petey fits nicely, especially retained.
    A think a simpler deal would be a 2nd and 3rd but that prospect list wouldn't be an issue.


    yeah i didn't think i was asking for anything crazy, ofc knowing very little abt those prospects... i'm not opposed to picks, but dubas has indicated he prefers getting prospects to try to speed up the youth movement that has barely begun, thanks for the feedback
    DevilsFanInTX liked this.
    Mar. 21 at 11:25 a.m.
    #4
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    Quoting: OldNYIfan
    We'd rather have Arvidsson and Ziemmer than one season of Reilly Smith at $2.5 million. Depending upon how things go with Matt Roy, we might be able to afford $4 x 3 for Viktor.


    fair enough, i was just looking for players with injury plagued or rough seasons to sign for a year for potential bounce back, sell at the TDL type stuff... friedman mentioned LAK as a team to watch for reilly smith but idc where me move him as long as he's gone lol
    OldNYIfan liked this.
    Mar. 21 at 11:26 a.m.
    #5
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    I'm not particularly optimistic about this lineup.
    Brown, Anderson, and Krug aren't exactly guys I think are better than what we have now.
    Ludvig, St. Ivany, and Puljujarvi all strike me as guys you'd rather have as a 13th F or 7th D

    Then with trade values:
    I'm skeptical that Winnipeg is willing to part with Schmidt and Stanley for so little unless they're in a massive cap crunch this offseason.
    Same thing as the Jets trade but the other way around for Marcus Pettersson. He's been a legit top pairing defenseman the past two seasons, and makes both Karlsson and Letang better. Quantity over quality is not the direction to go in for a player like him.

    It's certainly different from the usual Pens ACGMs and there are some good ideas here. But will any of these deals fix the team's problems these past two years? Will they set us up for an easier rebuild? I'm not sure they'll do either.
    Mar. 21 at 11:27 a.m.
    #6
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    Just floating an idea out there. Do you think Dubas and the Pens would entertain something like this:

    MTL
    Anderson
    Barron
    2024 1st WPG
    2025 3rd VAN
    2024 7th WSH (We know Dubas loves his 7ths so throwing one in here)

    for

    PIT
    Smith Reilly
    2024 2nd PHI
    Pens3lieve liked this.
    Mar. 21 at 11:33 a.m.
    #7
    I Love J Boqvist
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    Sign me up TODAY. Yes please I’ll come pick him up myself
    DevilsFanInTX liked this.
    Mar. 21 at 11:35 a.m.
    #8
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    There's no incentive for Winnipeg to consider that.
    Mar. 21 at 11:45 a.m.
    #9
    mokumboi
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    The Blues pass, but if you feel like giving away Pettersson and Smith half retained I'm sure Army would love to discuss those players. Fairly sure the Pens won;t want to gift New Jersey goodies like that.
    Pens3lieve liked this.
    Mar. 21 at 12:10 p.m.
    #10
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    The way I look at it is basically Krug/Anderson/Armia/Schmidt at a higher cap hit in for Graves/Rakell/Smith/Pettersson. I'd probably go with the latter. Ludvig on the 2nd pair scares me a little too haha
    Mar. 21 at 1:31 p.m.
    #11
    CapEvasionEnthusiast
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    TB doesn't need Nieto and neither does it need to give up an asset, got enough bottom six players in the squad as is or can just call up a player from Syracuse next season instead
    Mar. 21 at 5:32 p.m.
    #12
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    Hockey IQ
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    Quoting: Haymaker26
    I'm not particularly optimistic about this lineup.
    Brown, Anderson, and Krug aren't exactly guys I think are better than what we have now.
    Ludvig, St. Ivany, and Puljujarvi all strike me as guys you'd rather have as a 13th F or 7th D

    Then with trade values:
    I'm skeptical that Winnipeg is willing to part with Schmidt and Stanley for so little unless they're in a massive cap crunch this offseason.
    Same thing as the Jets trade but the other way around for Marcus Pettersson. He's been a legit top pairing defenseman the past two seasons, and makes both Karlsson and Letang better. Quantity over quality is not the direction to go in for a player like him.

    It's certainly different from the usual Pens ACGMs and there are some good ideas here. But will any of these deals fix the team's problems these past two years? Will they set us up for an easier rebuild? I'm not sure they'll do either.


    all the players i targeted are bounce back candidates or for guys like josh anderson and torey krug it was more just swapping bad or overpaid contracts... i took on more $ for fewer years you'll notice, just in theory i thought that made sense for what PIT is doing...so that way we have alot of cap cleared up sooner.... then some players on 1 year deals to build their value that we can flip at the TDL...

    yeah this is different bc this is me recognizing that we're not winning anything and i'm just trying to figure out what is plausible... bad or large contracts we have won't be moved for a 7th, we'll have to take $ back... then i want to leave spots open for younger players to play so thats why some questionable players are in the lineup... this team isnt' really trying to win, bc i don't think it's likely at this point... this is just us not tanking bc a full tank/rebuild is not possible...

    pettersson is next year's guentzel... we don't want to move him, but keeping him doesnt' help us at all... we're not winning so i'd rather have younger players play and get experience... and unless we get a high end offer and assuming it's more a guentzel haul with mid prospects and 2nd round picks......

    hopefully that all makes sense lol
    Mar. 21 at 5:45 p.m.
    #13
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    Quoting: F50marco
    Just floating an idea out there. Do you think Dubas and the Pens would entertain something like this:

    MTL
    Anderson
    Barron
    2024 1st WPG
    2025 3rd VAN
    2024 7th WSH (We know Dubas loves his 7ths so throwing one in here)

    for

    PIT
    Smith Reilly
    2024 2nd PHI


    oh probably, i'd do that bc i'd take a third for reilly smith then the other stuff is fair to take anderson's contract... my thought above was sending a bigger contract the other way which i think makes more sense for PIT, but rakell doesn't have a big NTC like others so he'd be easier to move anyway...
    F50marco liked this.
    Mar. 21 at 5:46 p.m.
    #14
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    Edited Mar. 21 at 5:52 p.m.
    Quoting: mokumboi
    The Blues pass, but if you feel like giving away Pettersson and Smith half retained I'm sure Army would love to discuss those players. Fairly sure the Pens won;t want to gift New Jersey goodies like that.


    both Pettersson and Smith will be gone by next year's TDL or i'd be shocked... open to offers 100% and PIT will retain 50%
    feel free to shoot me a ballpark offer for anything lol and i'll put it in my next ACGM and tag you
    Mar. 21 at 6:46 p.m.
    #15
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    Quoting: Pens3lieve
    all the players i targeted are bounce back candidates or for guys like josh anderson and torey krug it was more just swapping bad or overpaid contracts... i took on more $ for fewer years you'll notice, just in theory i thought that made sense for what PIT is doing...so that way we have alot of cap cleared up sooner.... then some players on 1 year deals to build their value that we can flip at the TDL...

    yeah this is different bc this is me recognizing that we're not winning anything and i'm just trying to figure out what is plausible... bad or large contracts we have won't be moved for a 7th, we'll have to take $ back... then i want to leave spots open for younger players to play so thats why some questionable players are in the lineup... this team isnt' really trying to win, bc i don't think it's likely at this point... this is just us not tanking bc a full tank/rebuild is not possible...

    pettersson is next year's guentzel... we don't want to move him, but keeping him doesnt' help us at all... we're not winning so i'd rather have younger players play and get experience... and unless we get a high end offer and assuming it's more a guentzel haul with mid prospects and 2nd round picks......

    hopefully that all makes sense lol


    I see the method to the madness, but I disagree with the general premise. Skirting both buying and selling again doesn't do us any good. I'd like to pick a lane, be it going all in for one last push or blowing it up. To me, this team is mediocre, which is the worst thing a sports team can be.
    And I don't think a full tank is impossible. A couple players will be hard to move (Graves, maybe Raks), and the big 3 should retire here. Almost everyone else is on the table.

    With the Pettersson argument, part of the reason Guentzel got a lesser return is that he was pretty much guaranteed to be a rental. Pettersson is a couple years younger and could pretty easily sign an extention with a team at ~6-7M. Defensemen of that level have gotten a 1st+ at the last 3 deadlines: Hampus Lindholm, Dmitri Orlov, and Noah Hanifin. Why not the Dragon?

    It makes sense, but I don't think another year like this one does us any good. The Pens need to pick a direction before time does it for them, if it hasn't already.
    Mar. 23 at 12:34 p.m.
    #16
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    Hockey IQ
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    Quoting: Haymaker26
    I see the method to the madness, but I disagree with the general premise. Skirting both buying and selling again doesn't do us any good. I'd like to pick a lane, be it going all in for one last push or blowing it up. To me, this team is mediocre, which is the worst thing a sports team can be.
    And I don't think a full tank is impossible. A couple players will be hard to move (Graves, maybe Raks), and the big 3 should retire here. Almost everyone else is on the table.

    With the Pettersson argument, part of the reason Guentzel got a lesser return is that he was pretty much guaranteed to be a rental. Pettersson is a couple years younger and could pretty easily sign an extention with a team at ~6-7M. Defensemen of that level have gotten a 1st+ at the last 3 deadlines: Hampus Lindholm, Dmitri Orlov, and Noah Hanifin. Why not the Dragon?

    It makes sense, but I don't think another year like this one does us any good. The Pens need to pick a direction before time does it for them, if it hasn't already.


    i agree with you in the sense of being a 100% seller is the best path, but with all the NMC/NTC and bigger contracts thats almost impossible rn, that's why i said to sell of everything possible, (pettersson, eller, reilly smith) and i'd look to move karlson, jarry, rakell, etc if there were any takers... but a full sell is not possible, and we can't move out big contracts without taking some $ back... so i was attempting to lessen the term of some larger deals to free up more cap space sooner for pit, like the exact moves might not be feasible, but the premise stands as valid.
    dubas has 6 more years on his contract, so he has to think long term which is why i don't see pettersson getting extended and i bet all signings or acquisitions are either younger players under-26 or 1-year deals for bounce back candidates or guys we can flip each and every deadline...
    i agree with your logic 100%, i just don't see Pit being able to full out tear down for several years...
     
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