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AJM2466
Member Since
Feb. 6, 2019
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
2nd Favourite Team
New York Rangers
Forum Posts
316
Posts per Day
0.2
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 23, 2022 at 8:12 p.m.
Thread:
Selling High
Canes pass HARD.
Jarvis was a no in an Eichel trade. KK's been fantastic as the 4C. A Hertl deal could work, but it would be picks and prospects, not players off the roster. Why subtract key pieces from a cup contending roster for a rental?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 2, 2021 at 5:44 p.m.
Thread:
DeepThinkTank
Sorry, what are you protecting? That's a lot to give up. If you leave Kerfoot unprotected, he'll be what Seattle takes.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mar. 14, 2021 at 11:30 p.m.
Thread:
idrk
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AJM2466</b></div><div>This is definitely the best and most levelheaded take ive seen regarding the team. tonight definitely sucks losing to OTT but theyve played hard in that almost comeback against jets and tonight in a b2b situation where they flew today. even if we had average goaltending we wouldve stolen another point from nucks or jets. at least they get some rest and an effective trade incoming soon</div></div>
I'm actually shocked at the online response. Recency bias has overtaken Leaf nation. Yeah, the last two games have been bad from the entire team's standpoint. But the overwhelming majority of the team's success has been outscoring the opponents. People are acting like the skaters have played like **** the entire year and have been bailed-out by great goaltending.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sep. 2, 2020 at 12:54 p.m.
Thread:
Parayko-hear me out
1st Johnsson and Liljegren and I think St Louis starts to listen. It even then what's the point when you factor in paying Pietrangelo 3-4 mil more than Parayko
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 25, 2020 at 4:19 p.m.
Thread:
Kap space
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>justaBoss</b></div><div>Rodrigues' QO is $2M, so if TOR is to re-sign the guy then he'll cost at least that much.
Otherwise he becomes an UFA.</div></div>
He can agree to a long term deal below his QO. Most media (Athletic for example) seem to believe that's what will happen
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Aug. 25, 2020 at 4:35 p.m.
Thread:
two more trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AJM2466</b></div><div>the 15th overall or liljegren is a starter for severson. id want zacha thrown in as well but johnsson and dermott are not starters for a top 4 RHD with term.</div></div>
Unless the gm is Jim Rutherford lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 22, 2020 at 8:00 p.m.
Thread:
Whats the cost for Savard
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HabsFan9</b></div><div>What exactly are you saying no to? Because the Leafs literally cannot take Savard’s full cap hit</div></div>
Then they'd have to pay extra. Muzzin cost a 1st and two depth prospects. If we have to retain, improve the quality on one of those prospects. No LDs permitted, by the way.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 20, 2020 at 11:41 a.m.
Thread:
Dermott takes the QO
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AJM2466</b></div><div>with the contracts that dubas gives out, you think dermotts agent/himself will settle for a QO? they gave ceci more than his QO and im assuming they like dermott more. he gets a bridge probably close to 2x2 but i could see him getting closer to 1.5 cause of flat cap.</div></div>
Dermott doesn’t have arbitration rights this year, it’s a one year deal. Ceci had arbitration rights. Also, if he is interested in staying a Leaf, a one year QO deal may net him more money next year on a better term.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jul. 13, 2020 at 8:00 p.m.
Thread:
Bruins fans what would it take to get Carlo
It would cost more than it's worth, imo.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 18, 2020 at 5:06 p.m.
Thread:
jackets F lines question mark
Since Anderson almost certainly isn't going to make it back in time, the order of top-3 RWs is pretty much set. It's Bjorkstrand, Atkinson, Bemstrom. After them is variable, but Gerbe has been shockingly effective, and Stenlund could also see time, and depending on who's picked for #4C Nash could also end up there. And if things extend into September and Anderson <strong>does</strong> make it back, he likely moves up to #3RW and things get interesting.
Dubois has #1C locked down. As for #2C, expect some experiments with Foudy and/or Texier, but if that doesn't work out, Jenner will be there; he's the one Torts has shown the most trust in. After them come Wennberg, Nash, and Shore. Foligno subs in only if injuries get silly.
LW is a little more interesting. The most productive LW we have is Nyquist, but Foligno has shown more chemistry with Dubois and Bjorkstrand, and Texier is at LW when he's not playing C (ditto Jenner, although he's been sticking to C more often lately). So those first three spots are all up for grabs. After them, Robinson and maybe Shore are likely to get first pick for fourth line duty. My guess is that it'll go Foligno-Nyquist-Texier-Robinson to start, but don't hold me to that.
RD is absolutely 100% set in stone. Jones, Savard, Nutivaara, Peeke as depth. Barring injury or disaster, that's it.
LD is mostly set. Werenski's the best overall and he's normally played with Jones, but Murray-Jones is a common adjustment if we need more shutdown power and Murray is healthy; in those cases, Werenski moves down to 2nd pairing. Murray is the #2LD, but 1) he's not always healthy, and 2) Gavrikov-Savard has been an absolutely killer shutdown pairing, so Murray could actually end up on the bottom pairing. Behind those three are Kukan and Harrington; Kukan's better, but Harrington keeps getting more minutes because he's incapable of being injured or something.
Starting goaltender? Flip a coin. Heads it's Merzlikins, tails it's Korpisalo. Or maybe the other way around.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 18, 2020 at 4:25 p.m.
Thread:
jackets F lines question mark
Texier should be back.
Texier- PLD- Bjorkstrand
Nuqvist-Wennberg/foudy- Atkinson
Folingo- Wennberg/Jenner- Bremstrom
Robinson- Jenner/Nash- Nash/Gerbe
Werenski- Jones
Gavrikov- Savard
Murray/Kukan- Nuttivaara
Probably Korpisalo and Merzlinkins as the back up but it’s anyone’s guess at this point.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 18, 2020 at 3:59 p.m.
Thread:
jackets F lines question mark
Hard to tell because they never had a complete lineup but if I had to predict
Nyquist-Dubois-Bjorkstrand
Foligno-Wennberg-Atkinson
Bottom-6 I'm not sure especially wings on L3
Shore-Jenner-Stenlund
Robinson-Nash-Bemstrom
Depends if Foudy/Gerbe/Texier are in
8-3
Gavrikov-Savard
Murray-Nutivaara
I would go with Merzlikins
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jun. 17, 2020 at 4:44 p.m.
Thread:
Joki Add
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AJM2466</b></div><div>i was going to say that sandin is ~2 years younger but its jokijarhus birthday today and its a ~1 year difference lol, i thought the age difference was bigger and was gonna say sandins playing similarly to him while being younger but it's only a year difference. sandin was best defenseman at WJC so i think he has higher upside than joki but like you said, both good, up and coming comparable prospects. i was mainly trying to focus on the age difference but did my research but only time will tell from here</div></div>
Yeah like I just said, they comp really well with each other up to now. Let’s wait a little for The Who’s better debate
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2020 at 11:40 a.m.
Thread:
Matthews Trade
The hardest of passes. Duchene is a dark cloud that just destroys a teams dressing room. I wouldn't accept him under any circumstances.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 27, 2020 at 2:06 p.m.
Thread:
Kyle Dubas needs to be fired
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jesus</b></div><div>Then he should've fired Babcock before the season started</div></div>
It was hinted at that he wanted to, but he was overridden by higher up.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 27, 2020 at 4:04 p.m.
Thread:
Kyle Dubas needs to be fired
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KakkoForMauriceRichardAward</b></div><div>.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MaxDomi13</b></div><div>.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jesus</b></div><div>.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Saskleaf</b></div><div>.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>bhavikp27</b></div><div>.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AFOX10900</b></div><div>.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood</b></div><div>.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AJM2466</b></div><div>.</div></div>
<strong>Kyle Dubas:</strong>
1. Traded for Ceci to save Toronto from Zaitsev's crippling 6-year contract <strong>(that Lamoriello signed)</strong>
2. Traded a 1st to save Toronto from Marleau's crippling $6,250,000 contract <strong>(that Lamoriello signed)</strong>
3. Traded for our best defensive d-man (Jake Muzzin) and re-signed him to a good contract.
4. Traded for a goalie (Campbell) that had just signed a (far) below market value extension.
5. Signed Kapanen, Johnsson and Kerfoot to multi-year extensions at below market-value.
6. Signed Jason Spezza to a league minimum contract.
7. Acquired John Tavares without giving up any assets.
8. Acquired Ilya Mikheyev without giving up any assets.
9. Acquired Miko Lehtonen without giving up any assets.
10. Drafted Rasmus Sandin 29th overall.
11. Drafted Nick Robertson 53rd overall.
<strong>And sure ... Dubas definitely overpaid Matthews + Marner by a total of about $2,000,000 ... but you know what? </strong>
Mikheyev's value vs cost made up for that entire $2,000,000 this season (all by itself).
And his extension should be reasonable, so he'll probably continue that (all by himself).
I could also mention that Nylander looks primed to out-perform his contract.
I could also mention that Kapanen looks primed to out-perform his contract.
I could also mention that Sandin and Robertson will be steals on their ELC's.
<strong>But you're right ... he should have just traded Matthews + Marner because they had good agents ... right? </strong>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 15, 2020 at 12:45 a.m.
Thread:
drunk agm why not doee
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AJM2466</b></div><div>definitely agree with trading johnsson but teams might be driving a harder bargain with his injury. the cap relief would be nice but depends on cost rather than what they might obtain. i still think liljegren will be penciled in for a starting spot unless kapanen is traded in a package for a top 4 RHD. lehtonen makes the dermott deal more possible but losing engvall as cheaper depth might hurt (plus he PK's) but i dont think this scenario is totally impossible. cant wait to see what dubas does</div></div>
Just can't see the Leafs moving Dermott and Engvall without bringing in a defenseman. I think Liljegren will come up midway through the season like Dermott did a few years ago. Don't need much back from a Johnsson trade as it would unfortunately be strictly cap relief
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 9, 2020 at 3:54 p.m.
Thread:
Leafs 20-21
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>leafs101</b></div><div>Leafs and ducks both need quality young RHD, let's stop the Manson trades</div></div>
unless liligren goes back duck trades wont happen
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 9, 2020 at 4:28 p.m.
Thread:
Leafs 20-21
I can't see Detroit giving up a 3rd for a player who puts up Darren Helm like numbers.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 7, 2020 at 2:23 p.m.
Thread:
depth chart look assuming spezzaclifford bacccc
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldNYIfan</b></div><div>This is the third Toronto posting in a row that has re-signed Kyle Clifford and forgotten that this changes the 2021 second into a 2021 third.</div></div>
Yes, because Clifford is worth having around. You lose a second, keep a third. You’ll probably get a second in a Johnsson deal anyways.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 25, 2020 at 6:09 p.m.
Thread:
Muzzin extension impact
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AJM2466</b></div><div>yeah him and muzzin work really well together on the 2nd. not sure what happens next year with liljegren, if they try to acquire a top 4 RHD with kappy and dermott or just run a holl dermott lilj right side. I'm not quite sure about TVR in comparison but Holls been as steady as you could want from a D this season. probably an ill deserved ripping from other leafs fans but ive had little to no complaints about him</div></div>
I see, what about him anchoring Reilly? Lili could be with muzzin and then Sandin and Dermott?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 25, 2020 at 5:58 p.m.
Thread:
SHANAHAN STEPS BACK IN TO SHAKE UP TEAM
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>How about Carolina give you Foegele and Reimer for Rielly instead?</div></div>
How about a Zamboni driver for a 3rd
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 25, 2020 at 5:54 p.m.
Thread:
Muzzin extension impact
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AJM2466</b></div><div>I think he mainly played RD in juniors but in the A and NHL i think its been strictly left. definitely mobile enough to run 3rd pair right side</div></div>
Would Holl be the 2nd pair RHD? I've heard great things about his season. You should've seen the ass-ripping I got for suggesting TVR was better.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 23, 2020 at 6:04 p.m.
Thread:
apparently they are in the mix
Now this makes me wonder...
how does the recapture penalty work surrounding a trade to a third destination? Say Weber were to be traded to another team. Does that lessen the blow to Nashville? Does it transfer to MTL?
There could be a place to find this info, but three-way retention are rare and led me down this thought process.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 23, 2020 at 6:00 p.m.
Thread:
apparently they are in the mix
Here are the facts of retained salary:
Imaginary player has a cap hit of 4M
Team A trades him at 50% to team B
Team B is then permitted to then trade him to team C at 50%.
He has now been retained on twice and this contract can never have retained salary again.
Result:
Team A: Pays 2M of salary
Team B: Pays 1M of salary
Team C: Pays 1M of salary
Players new cap hit excluding the retained salary portions: $1M (25% of the original value)
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