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BruinsFan35

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Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 13, 2022 at 11:12 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 13, 2022 at 11:11 a.m.
Forum: Mock-DraftJul. 7, 2022 at 10:36 a.m.
Thread: Predictive Mock
You really don't need to apologize for anything. You don't own us anything.
All mocks are going to be wrong, beside the one with 225 correct picks ;) And cheese is also aged milk.

You've been more excited than me about the quality of the class. A few more teams are trying to trade their high 1st round pick, which for me is additional indication of worse quality. But at the end it doesn't matter. The point is to draft smart and for the most part to recognize BPA. Quality over quantity.
Predicting the mock, when the final draft order of the teams selecting high, adds to unpredictability.

My bold prediction is Savoie will fall out to range 10-15 and Lambert will be selected with no. 6 or no. 7, depends of the (potential) trades yet to be made and the new owners of the respective pick(s). Somebody will try to reach for him. He is very risky pick, but potential reward will attract some GMs. I also think Mintyukov and Korchinski could both be selected in top10, while I expect Yurov to still be available in the bottom third of the 1st round.
Forum: Mock-DraftJun. 28, 2022 at 4:37 p.m.
Thread: Minnesota Wild Draft Board
I completely agree with team needs.

1st round pick could also be Snuggerud. He is RW, local kid and should be available at no. 24. Local kid is also Chesley, who is RD. MIN used to be locally oriented and therefore it is possible either of the two could be selected. But Chesley might not be available anymore. Many regard him as 3rd best RD in the class. Kasper shouldn't be available at this spot. Too bad, he would adapt well on a team with fellow Austrian Rossi.

In 2nd round they could move up for Gaucher, if he would be available around no. 40. As right-shot C he would address a positional hole. He is also one of more physically matured players. Around Kaprizov's signing it was rumored that players and team management are getting impatient and want to compete for a cup as soon as possible.

Rinzel is also interesting as local kid. I would be just more confident to take him with no. 56 pick. He is committed to University of Minnesota in 2023/24, which is late.
Forum: Mock-DraftJun. 27, 2022 at 1:09 p.m.
Thread: Florida Panthers Draft Board
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BruinsFan35</b></div><div>If I’m being honest, the Panthers should probably look to take a defenseman or left winger over a goalie with their third round pick. But, they’ll need a backup for Knight, and Brennan is the strongest option that should be available to them. He’s got pro size, and has a lot of high end attributes that makes me believe he could be a #1 goalie in the future. But, for the Panthers, Brennan would be an elite backup behind one of the brightest young goalies in the league.</div></div>

I agree.

I would say they need forwards the most, especially pure offensive talents.
Of their RHD prospects is Michael Benning showing some decent offensive upside, but he is small. Other RHD prospect is Kasper Puutio, he is also below 6ft tall. One of them could be trading piece, so one bigger RHD is something they don't have yet.
Goalie Mack Guzda is 21. His OHL career is over, he should go to AHL/ECHL. Gerasimyuk will turn 19 in August. He is coming from SKA system, which is goalie-factory. So FLO can say they have something at the position, at least relative to other positions they need to address.

So I would say:

3rd and 4 th round... Buchelnikov makes a lots of sense, maybe also Neuchev (FLO likes to draft Russians). CHL overagers are also candidates; Logan Morrison, Tucker Robertson, Kyle Jackson.

5th or 6 th round... another RHD in either of the picks. Leddy should be available, possibly also Spacek, Salin, Anderson, Garett Brown, Weir, Gavin White, Komarov...

6th or 7th round... another goalie in either of the picks. Sergei Ivanov is also from SKA system (as Gerasimyuk). But he is on the smaller side which is not something FLO looks to like. On the other hand is slightly taller Alexander Smolin coming from Metallurg Magnitogorsk's system, same as Bobrovski. Smolin could be available late in 7th round. If they are without new goalie and neither of them is available at no. 221, the other candidates are Arefyev, Berezhnoy, possibly even Murashov. NA candidates could be Emett Croteau, Muszelik, Kolby Hay (Cossa's backup), Ty Young (1B option behind Brennan, but almost year younger). Wild card goalie at this spot would be Charles-Edward Gravel, who is coming from Blainville-Boisbrand Armada, same as former FLO goalie Samuel Montembeault.
Forum: Mock-DraftJun. 26, 2022 at 12:51 p.m.
Thread: Columbus Blue Jackets Draft Guide
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BruinsFan35</b></div><div>Thanks

Kemell: Electric sniper with elite skating, shot, and handles, among other top-tier attributes. His biggest knock is his defense, which, admittedly, sucks, so much so that it probably keeps him from being a day 1 NHLer. Has all of the offensive tools that teams covet, and was able to display them against men in Liiga and against his peers at the World U18s. For Columbus, they get a future elite top 6 winger (probably top line) that'll pair beautifully across from Laine on the power play as two shooting options, and with the speedy playmaking Kent Johnson at 5 on 5, which would be one of the best dynamic duos in the league.

McGroarty: McGroarty, ideally, would be a pick at #12 over #6, but he fills a bigger need than Kemell would as a future top six center to pair with Sillinger. and McGroarty provides a lot of key attributes that the Blue jackets should be looking for with anchor their skilled wingers: 200-foot effort, high IQ, and a willingness to go into the dirty areas to collect pucks and screen the goalie. Needs to work on his acceleration, which is the only skating attribute that is below average in his game, despite many saying that his skating is weak. The top speed is perfectly fine, but it takes him too long to reach it. He is also largely undisciplined, particularly with his stick, which could be accredited to his slow first steps losing him races and needing to make up for it by reaching. But, considering the downsides, McGroarty has been a consistent three-zone stud for the NTDP this year, and reminds me of Anze Kopitar in a lot of ways, which, as I've already mentioned, is the exact archetype of center that the Blue Jackets should covet to help anchor lines with their poor-defensive wingers (Laine, Johnson, Chinakhov to lesser extent)</div></div>

Thank you.

I feel like Columbus also lacks some physical youth up front. Maybe they consider taking Yurov with the 6th pick?
Forum: Mock-DraftJun. 24, 2022 at 12:02 p.m.
Thread: Detroit Red Wings Draft Board
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BruinsFan35</b></div><div>Really high IQ defender that has all the tools of a solid top 4 defender. Excellent fundamentals, often puts himself in the best position to make plays, especially in the defensive zone. Really strong skater, underrated offensive ability almost going point-per-game this season as a defense-first defender. In my Draft Guide, I was really nitpicking things to put as weaknesses for this kid, his game is sound and really well-rounded. I deemed that communication is his biggest flaw: he could sometimes be seen pinching at the same time as his defensive partner, allowing odd man rushes the other way. Again, a nitpick, but those issues become more prevalent in the pros. Overall, Mateychuk has every desirable trait that teams should be looking for in a top four defender.</div></div>

If Slafkovsky were to fall to Detroit, would they take them?
Forum: Mock-DraftJun. 23, 2022 at 12:01 p.m.
Thread: Edmonton Oliers Draft Board
I agree, defense, defense, defense.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>christianyog</b></div><div>Edmonton should definitely target one of the overaged goalies like Malik, Brochu, Whitehead in the later rounds.

Could I have an explanation for Murashov?</div></div>

For overage goalie I have decent candidate (not in games that I watched, but it was too small sample size): Zakhar Vinogradov. He is 6ft2, plays in VHL, which is not well scouted. He will turn 20 in autumn and is under contract until 2023/24. He plays positional style, where reading the flow of the play has advantage before athleticism. As mentioned, he wasn't outstanding in games that I watched, just good enough to win. But VHL is league of grown men, nothing should be taken for granted. And his SV% shows he "must" be good. I think he wasn't selected last season, because VHL is not well scouted. Imagine, CAR selected in 7th round goalie from MHL who has also had small sample size (Naumov)... but that guy hasn't played a game this season. In fact he wasn't even good in his 9 games last season. If Vinogradov would be playing MHL or KHL, someone would notice him.
Forum: Mock-DraftJun. 23, 2022 at 11:46 a.m.
Thread: Detroit Red Wings Draft Board
DET is the most thin on centers of all kind. Another scoring wing could also help, but not as much as centers. And I don't see DET being super-high on another LD. They have several of them in pipeline already (Edvinsson, Wallinder, Johansson, Viro, Sebrango, Buium, McIsaac). I guess they could select exclusively defensive D-man, but majority of the guys projects as NHL players. Roster spots are limited. On the other hand are their RDs already in the NHL. Tuomisto is not in NHL, he is 21 and at RD position might be described as the only prospect with chances to become NHL-er. I would be surprised if DET wouldn't select another NHL-projectable RHD in 2nd or 3rd round.

So for 1st round I agree on BPA forward. Kemell, Lambert, Kasper, Nazar, Russians etc., almost anybody makes sense.
1st pick in 2nd round: center, preferebly big one (Gaucher, Bystedt). If both are gone, BPA big RHD.
2nd pick in 2nd round: probably big RHD. If they already have one, another C makes sense (Goyette, Kulich, Beck, Hughes...)
3rd round and lower: BPAs. DET love Swedish Frolunda team (Persson, Ratkovic Berndtsson, Milosevic). In OHL they like Guelph's players (Bertuzzi, Fabri, Smith, Suter). I guess Yzerman is not as huge fan of a program as former GM Holland, but he traded for Suter anyway. So selecting Zhilkin, Poitras, Karabela or Buchinger in 3rd round and lower would not surprise me.
Forum: Mock-DraftJun. 21, 2022 at 1:09 p.m.
Thread: Columbus Blue Jackets Draft Guide
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Playersoverpayed</b></div><div>I forgot about Johnson, he is prospect. On the other hand, Sillinger, Chinakhov and Boqvist are young roster players. It might seem like a lot, but it's really not.

In non-covid years teams need around 30 players who are capable to play in NHL. Injuries are common. That would mean 20-25 older players and 5-10 prospects (who are capable to jump in). I would say on average team should raise 3 new roster players every year. Not necesserely top-6 Fs and top-4 D-men, that would be unreal, but at least players who can play at least 10 minutes per night on their own. After some age, let's say 30, number of players from draft class begin to quickly fall down. By the age of 35 usually there are way less than 10 players from draft class still active. So you can't count on players to play on average 10 seasons (that would be on average up to 820 GP). In fact, 10 seasons per player is rather exception than rule. But I will say franchise needs 30 players per season and (for easier calculation) they play 10 seasons on average. 30:10= 3. On average teams need 3 new faces every season. 2 is not much, 3 is enough. Because, to be fair, drafting is not the only way to get new people. There is also UFA signing, including NCAA and European players. But young players have another advantage, they are cheap (ELC) and waivers-exempt.

To say it differently, CBJ's problem is not bad scouting or development. CBJ is paying price for past effort to jump over first round in the playoffs. Look at 2019 draft, CBJ ended with 3 new prospects, none before 4th round. Over the past several years they have had below-average number of draft picks and below-average position of first selection in the draft. These things usually have to be paid in arrears. 2021 draft was good starting point for revitalization, but it takes more than that.</div></div>

appreciate the explanation!