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FireTippett

Member Since
May 24, 2017
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Arizona Coyotes
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St. Louis Blues
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Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 14, 2018 at 9:07 p.m.
Thread: AZ and WPG
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hawkisles</b></div><div>I understand that OEL is a firmly elite defenseman, but two high first round picks, a regular 20 goal scorer and young right shooting physical defenseman is quite the return for any player with only one year left on his contract. Unless Arizona is confident that they can re sign OEL next offseason, this offer would be weighted in their favor.</div></div>

Yes, AZ is confident that they can re-sign OEL. See the end of year press conference and OEL's comments. It's pretty much a given. Probably an 8 X $8M or there about.

The problem with any offer for OEL is that the offering team wants to acquire him on the cheap and claim that he only has 1 year left. That's false. He can and will sign an 8 year extension this summer. If you're trading for him, you're trading for 9 years of him and the Yotes would offer to eat 50% of 18-19. That's worth a ton.

There's a small chance OEL won't re-sign in AZ and will get traded. But in that scenario, whoever gets him will pay a pile in trade assets and cash. Most team's fans just can't stomach the cost, which is understandable. But saying he only has 1 year left is nonsense.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 11, 2018 at 9:41 a.m.
Thread: Huge moves: Trades with EDM, WSH, MTL, OTT
This roster is $6M+ over the Yotes internal budget. Or approximately 1 Nicklas Backstrom. So you can understand why the Coyotes can't make that WSH trade even if they wanted to. They need the 6OV and Crouse on ELCs. Most fans don't recognize the importance of cheap, effective contracts for AZ.

I'm curious if Edmonton is going to bother qualifying Ryan Strome. Panik outproduced R. Strome, particularly once he came to AZ. Demers is better than Sekera. Is the pick at around 10 that much more valuable than Fischer? That's debatable, depending on who falls in the draft but Fischer has a lot of value to the Coyotes as the only right handed winger in the top 9.

The Coyotes GM made it sound at the end of year press conference like he's set to make a pretty big trade at the draft. He said he laid the groundwork at the trade deadline. Personally I'm nervous that Domi or Perlini are going to get shipped out and blossom on another squad.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 29, 2018 at 5:08 p.m.
Thread: What cha all think of this craziness
Interesting take, and only a few million over the Yotes internal budget.

Problem is this roster is based on a very weak set of premises. By all accounts, it sounds like Raanta, OEL, and Richardson are set to re-sign. Hjalmarsson will probably not be re-signed this off-season, but - depending on his play and the outcome of free agency and the draft - I wouldn't be surprised to see him re-sign at some point during next season either. He was excellent when healthy and their record with him vs without him attests to that fact.

OEL 8 X $8M with full NMC
Raanta 4 X $4.25M
Richardson 1 X $1.75M
Domi is harder to peg, because he struggled to start the year, had an awful shooting percent, and only scored like 3 goals all year long (the other 5 were EN). I'm guessing either a short "show me" bridge, or a longer 3 or 4 X $3.25M.

If they "need to solidify their right wing", I think Svechnikov through the draft, Merkley through the prospect pool, or someone like Vanek or Bozak through free agency is the way it will be addressed.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 25, 2018 at 11:53 a.m.
Thread: NSH, Tavares, ARZ
Scenario and trade idea are well thought out. Kudos. From the Coyotes POV, this is a possible yes, depending on where the 2018 1st lands and how free agency plays out.

Westerlund for Fabbro is what makes the trade intriguing. Of note, Westerlund and Rasmus Dahlin both play for Frolunda. Fabbro could potentially step in next season and fill out the Yotes D. But acquiring both Bonino and Smith while only moving out Fischer would probably mean trading one of Strome or Dvorak. So it would really depend what type of return they could get on either of those guys.

OTOH, if AZ can sign a UFA that can pot 20 goals for around $4.5M per season on a 3 year deal, is it really worth trading 2 years of Fischer's ELC to go from Westerlund to Fabbro? Let's use Bozak as the comp.

Bozak, Fischer, Westerlund, 3rd round OR Smith, Bonino, Fabbro? It's close, but AZ might prefer the cheaper option on the left. Might need a little extra juice.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 22, 2018 at 6:23 p.m.
Thread: This offseason
Coyotes have an internal budget that's expected to be something like $58-60M next year. They can take on dead cap in trade if it's worth their while, because they expect to be near the cap floor.

Derek Stepan for the rights to Ryan Strome is pretty far off in value. It's not a trade the Coyotes would make, just by positional need alone. Then consider Stepan's greater production over Strome presently and historically and it becomes laughable.

That's way too much for Domi on a 2 year. That's not enough for Raanta given the numbers he put up as a starter on this club.

Considering how much cap space they have, the Coyotes might take a run at a high end UFA, depending on how the draft plays out. But it would only be one premier UFA. The rest of the team's growth has to come from internal development.

Take a look at the Coyotes record since January 1st. They don't need to change much up in the off-season.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 21, 2018 at 11:08 a.m.
Thread: 2018-19
Roster is something like $7 to $9 million below the cap floor. That really is an interesting off-season challenge for the Coyotes. They need to offer to take on cap if someone will make it worth their while like Florida and Detroit did in the past.

I imagine Coyotes would send Boqvist/Bouchard back down for their D+1 season. AZ has quite a few D prospects at further stages of development (but with lower ceilings) in Joseph, Capobianco, Dineen, Mermis, and Westerlund. Re-signing Connauton as a 7D is a good possibility too, since his play has picked up in the 2nd half.

I don't think Max Domi pulls a contract like that. If he gets term, the AAV is lower. He might be best served taking a bridge deal.

MacInnis isn't ready for the NHL. But I think they'll re-sign Richardson to a reasonable deal. He made a comment about the trade deadline and didn't get traded, so I imagine he's coming back.