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NHLfan10506

Member Since
May 5, 2019
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New Jersey Devils
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Forum: Armchair-GM3 hours ago
Thread: Marner
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ChiHawk</b></div><div>Marner isn't worth what a lot of people on here think IMO because....
a) he's a one year rental
b) even as a UFA, his next contract is going to be massive and not a lot of teams can just fit a $12.5M or so contract for the next 7 years into their plans
c) not a lot of teams have a matthews on the line with marner or even JT more recently....so what does he look like away from Matthews or JT?</div></div>

d) He has full control on where he goes. Even if he eventually asks for trade, it will likely be to where he chooses.
e) Last time he was negotiating a new deal, Leafs had to sacrifice the Seth Jarvis pick to make room…and he held out until mid-September. He would not be taking any team-friendly discounts.
Forum: Armchair-GM4 hours ago
Thread: Trade down for goalie
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>YeahDudeitsChris</b></div><div>So idk about this one but most of those draft pick value models are some form of WAR measurment of the average performance of those draft picks over any of the first 5,6, or 7 years of the players career. To accurately value the players going along with the draft picks you'd have to account for years of control remaining and expected performance (wins added most likely) over those years using a similar player aging curve. Markstrom's for example might be (made up numbers ahead) a 12 next year and 6 the following making him worth an 18 in your evaluation instead of whatever you are using currently</div></div>

It’s not a perfect science, by any means. It’s just another fun way to look at things.