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shab101

shab101
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Jan. 23, 2017
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Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 14, 2018 at 1:01 p.m.
Thread: Long Term Lines
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>brokos73</b></div><div>This is the most realistic version I've seen on here and very close to mine. Check it out!
You gave them quite a bit more on the salary front for the big 3 and Doughty and I see why you did it but check mine out and let me know what you think. The one big change I made was to put Kapanen on the 1st line with Matthews because he brings much more speed and skill than Brown. I then had Brown on the 2nd with Nylander and Johnsson to help balance the lines a little more.</div></div>

Hey, Checked your out and that looks like a scary line up too. We would be cup contenders with that line up for a while. I used 82 million cap because they are projecting it to be between 80-82 this year so I think 82 is realistic. and yeah Kapenen did show chemistry with Matthews when he played with him. Switching them around might work and solve Goulets point too.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 16, 2018 at 2:24 p.m.
Thread: Trading for now and the future
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>40m in cap, I don't think your math is right when performance bonuses are even Horton has to be taken in consideration. Trouba looks like he wants to be UFA in the summer of 2020, I don't know if that is good long term trade for the Leafs. Not sure if the Jets, who have visions of playoff win or two, would like it either. Cole/Johnson replacing Cole and Dermot/Borgman? Isn't it better to develop the youngsters?</div></div>

The actual number if I put Horton on LTIR, rid them of gardeners contract is 38.5 million but the bonuses are 4.5 so it would be closer to 34, but none the less, a ton of money to replace the parts leaving. And while I agree that its better to develop the young, if we have cole and Johnson in the line up, its almost like having security. Once in the playoffs, if Dermott or Brogman start cracking under pressure, we have nobody. Both of the guys I acquired have playoff experience. And this way, we get a shot at the cup this year and then next year, we can put Dermott and Brogman in. For now, I really think its better to have them alternate as the number 7 defensman so they can learn rather than lean on them as a number 4-5 defensemen.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Larkinisking</b></div><div>We're assuming that if Trouba refuses to sign long term with Winnipeg, That he's a draft day trade because no way is Cheveldayoff moving him at the TDL with the Jets in the thick of the playoff race.</div></div>

I actually think they will have this discussion internally, if they have not already because if he does not plan to stay or he doesn't want to sign, why trade him on draft day when every other team knows he doesn't want to stay as opposed to the trade deadline where his value is at an all time high. This way they can replace him with Gardiner and get assets for the future.
Forum: Armchair-GMOct. 21, 2017 at 4:32 p.m.
Thread: Mathews, Marner extensions
Exactly as LeafsFan said, ANA is just a placeholder, I'm positive Lou can find a dance partner and in reality, if we have to send a third with Martin to clear up cap space, doesn't make us a basement team. I think Marner may get locked up long term to a bit lower than 7, maybe even around 6 mainly because Lou has a history of locking them up long term to lower AAV hits. Thinking long term, Marner at a 6 mil/ season when he's 25-27 would be a steal considering the growth in salary cap. In perspective, if the cap grows by 3% (not 5%) each of the next 6 seasons, when Marner is 26-27, the cap ceiling would be 90 million. If u have Marner for 6 million, Nylander for 6 and Mathews for 11, you have 3 top 25 forwards for 23 million, or 25.5% of the cap, penguins pay Geno and Sid 26.6% of their cap right now. I was liberal in most of their salaries so people don't get their feelings hurt about it not working under the cap.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 30, 2017 at 10:08 a.m.
Thread: Just some thoughts
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>clark</b></div><div>If last year is any indication, Sheehan is not a "solid two way player." His production has declined every year. Admitting your haven't really traded anything for him. Why would any team give up two fourth rounders for Marchenko?</div></div>

I know what you mean but sheahan is young at 25 and his production has got worse on a declining team. He is still adept in his own end and has previosly scored 36 points..a mark brian boyle hasnt achieved in his career. Now i think its worth the risk. Worst case we lost vailev and a 6th. Best case we have a 4th line center for the next 5-6 years. Also the two fourths arent really monumental pieces..not planning the parade off of them. One fourth as opposed to two would still be fine..point is to move the salary out

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LeafsFan</b></div><div>Great description, here are my thoughts:
-Don't want a centerman with less goals than Roman Polak (Sheahan)
-I think Babs and Lou love Martin so I can't see them trading him, but I think NYI are definitely a team we can tango with (in trades)
-Did Babs lose faith in Carrick or was he injured? I honestly don't know but I'm not a fan of trading him TBH
-I can't see BUF trading down, they only hit on their picks when its in the top 10... BUT I do agree with you about trading up... If Timmy falls to #11 I could see us pulling a deal with LA</div></div>

Sheahan has had 36 points under babcock before so he may be worth the little risk we take for him..we need a fourth line centre and sheahan can play defense well enough to fill that role in my opinion.
I agree martin is adored by the coach but at the same time..we need to let some lw prospects play to see what we have..i didnt want to trade him to anyone other than the nyi because that is essentially his home
Carrick is a tough one..does he have top 4 potential?..i dont think so..can he be a 3rd pairing guy...probably but at that cost fleury is way better and has higher potential..carrick is a decent player but if i had a choice between the two..id pick fleury 9 times out of 10.
And yeah i just selected the team randomly as stated in my description..but ur suggestion of LA is probably the best fit
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 30, 2017 at 9:56 a.m.
Thread: Continued from last post
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>clark</b></div><div>You've seriously undervalued Tzachuk.</div></div>

Its really hard to evaluate him in his first year..he was just shy of 50 points and putting him on a line with mathews and marner should get him to around 60-65..that said JVR is going to be a perennial 25-35 goal scored and 70 point guy for probably the next 5-6 years if he were to play with matthews and marner. The flames have a solid core right now and probably want to win a championship before some of their key players get too old. The first would be 20-25th range but next years draft is said to be much deeper with a few stars in dahlen and company..they could trade their two firsts to move up and snag a beauty in that draft..and on top of that theres another young prospect. I think its fair but what would you add to even out the deal.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Larkinisking</b></div><div>Rick Nash already said that he has no desire to play in Canada all Canadian teams are on his NMC and Zero chance that Liljegren falls all the way to #18,</div></div>

I agree, nash does have a ntc..but i dont see how that effects him signing as a free agent..also he said that in a year when none of the canadian teams made the playoffs and jerseys were thrown on the ice....i think the aging core in NY with the potential to play for his hometown team at a very generous salary at the risk of only one year is good enough to lock him up. I also agree that liljegren wont fall to 18 thats why you should look at my last post where i propose trading up into the 12-8 position to draft him..where almost 99%of mock drafts have him going now.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 14, 2017 at 11:40 p.m.
Thread: Next Year
Foote is 6' 2 more than 200 pounds. Our depth on Defense shows he is more ready that the plugs playing defense this year. If you read my description I wrote that we can sub in brown in place of bracco til he is ready but I do believe by the deadline he would be. He has played internationally and he is what he is. A small talented player. Last year the same was said for Marner and he was too small. But as we have seen thats not the detrimental factor. Rychel was an NHLer and he still is. I don't know how much you have watched him play but it seems like he didn't sign a jersey for your or something. He has elevated his game and is prototypical power forward. He is better than Hyman on the LW and with the depth the line up has if it doesn't work out, the leafs are deep enough to move someone back up.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 25, 2017 at 11:17 a.m.
Thread: Some ideas for the deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jdp</b></div><div>They can probably only move them if they take back other bad contracts. A team can only retain salary on three contracts.</div></div>

forgot about that rule and I think because there is no cap in the playoffs, I don't think it'd be mandatory. They are signed for this year only and if we retain 50%, plus the fact that they would be on the new team for like 20 games really reduces how much the team would be paying for them.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>Can't see why any team would want Laich, Greening and Michalek. And would is the sense of moving Polak and Hunwick? They are in the top 6 Leafs Dmen with a team in the playoff race. To trade them for virtually meaningless picks, doesn't help Leafs now or likely in the future.</div></div>

I do believe that with injuries, especially in the playoffs, depth is key. Doesn't hurt having veterans on expiring contracts that are NHL proven. They are not playing because of the depth the leafs have at forward not because of a lack of skill. It would essentially cost all the teams to move down a few spots in late rounds which is all about luck at that point. You could get a more talented player in the 7th round than the 5th but I trust leafs scouting and hence, a 5th may be better for us. Polak and Hunwick are perhaps the worst pairing in the league. Once Carrick is back, you roll with Rielly-Zaitsev, Gardiner-Carrick, Marincin-Marchenko. I would flip them for assets because we are not contending for the cup. A third and two 4ths might seem useless but management has proven they can capitalize on later round picks. Those pick could be used to draft high risk defensemen. Even if one of the three picks pay off, we get a younger defensemen than the two, one who will probably have a future with the leafs. Marchenko is familiar with Babcock and from his first game, he showed he can be a reliable 5-6 guy. Marincin is what it is, he is learning but on good days he will be great bad days he will terrible, but as a 5-6 defenseman I have no complaints compared to hunwick and polak. Corrado can be called up in case of injuries but again playoffs is icing on the cake, not the goal of the team right now. With it being such a tight race, a couple bad games and a few injuries and the leafs are on the outside looking in thinking they should have traded for assets at the deadline. NYI, FLA, BOS and TOR all fighting for spots and it can go either way. At next year's deadline we can look to acquire but for now, selling is better long term.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 15, 2017 at 12:48 p.m.
Thread: By the deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>IslesFan9</b></div><div>Islanders have all of their forwards signed for next year (minus Gionta) and have 5 former first round pick forwards they need to find slots for. Matt Martin is a terrible hockey player and the league is finally seeing it. Terrible hands, can't skate and weak in the corners. All he does is throw his weight around. He held Cizikas back these last two years. Would rather have Halak or let Garth Snow play goalie before I let Matt Martin ever play for this Islanders again.</div></div>

Loll, the terrible Matt Martin scored on the Islanders last night, might I add a tip in,,with his terrible hands. In addition he is a hard hitting 4th liner. His line doesn't allow much goals and he didn't hold Cizikas back at all, if anything he opened up a lot of space with his checking. The islanders first round picks,
Dal Colle: Good but not worth the 5th overall you guys spent on him. However, He and Martin aren't competing for a roster spot, no way they put him on the 4th line.
Bellows: Good again but at least another year or two away.
Brazal: Easily replaces storme as a third line centre, maybe even 2nd
Ho-Sang: Good winger, probably gets demoted for something stupid he did

Next year, best case scenario, Dal Colle and Brazal make the jump.

With the expansion draft, depending on which way the management wants to go, strobe might end up being available, might as well get something for him and unload salary.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 15, 2017 at 12:33 p.m.
Thread: Continued from my last post
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jdp</b></div><div>Brown and Hyman could use longer deals so they are not due further raise as Matthews and Marner are negotiating their next contracts...I doubt zaitsev signs that long for that little...</div></div>

I get what you mean but in all honesty, I think brown and especially Hyman are having such a breakout season due to them playing higher than they should. If you look at the lines now, I think they would settle down a little and we can pay them somewhere between 2-2.5 for 5 years after this contract. I don't think there is any way that they score 40 or even 30 points on the lines that they should be on at which point we would be competing for a cup and brown and Hyman would have less leverage or desire to leave. Also for Zaitsev, I heard on sportsnet that he would probably get 4X4, if you add the extra year of money, its like paying him 4 million for 4 years and guaranteeing him 2.75 regardless of performance. Plus he would be committing 5 years to a cup contender. I wouldn't mind doing 4X4 maybe even 4X5 but not more than that.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 13, 2017 at 4:12 p.m.
Thread: Deadline and next year's roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RealGudPro</b></div><div>I like where you're going, but you have to put more thought into the trades. Carolina knows what they have in Pesce. His numbers and crazy and he's so nice on the eyes. To an internal cap team like the Canes, no way are two fourth liners and a 3rd round pick gonna get him out of there. You're looking at something like a first and Dermott. Then MAYBE Carolina are interested.

Hamilton tade is interesting. Also Bracco would need to impress. Minny are high on Ek.</div></div>

Pesce is a solid bottom four pairing defensemen no arguing that but suggesting Dermott and a 1st for him is a bit much, Dermott himself has the potential to be just as good if not better. He is also 2 years younger and for defensemen those two years are crucial for developments, most defensemen make the jump around 21-22 if they are going to amount to something. Also Leivo and Soshnikov are competing for jobs on wings with the likes of JVR,Marner, Nylander,Brown,Komarov and Hyman. Carolina doesn't have that kind of depth. Them being fourth liners on the leafs is more a result of the leafs depth on the wing rather then their own lack of ability. On Carolina they would be third line players. Essentially Carolina gets two thirds of their third line all on entry level contracts at the expense of a right hand defensemen not likely to amount to anything more then their third pairing due to their depth. Both teams make a deal from a position of strength to shore up their future middle pairing and middle 6. So there was quite some thought put into the trade actually. As for looks, we have Lupul..are u giving us this year or next years first round pick.

Also Bracco already impressed. His line with Minnesota's Kunin and Greenway was dominant in the junior World Cup. They give up a centre that they are high on but get a high end piece to round out what could potentially be their first or second line in the near future.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 24, 2017 at 6:31 p.m.
Thread: Develop from within
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div><i>Although I'm not saying that trades, the "develop from within" escapes me. The team is weaker with the trades, and the Leafs would unlikely make the playoffs this year, which goes against the logic of developing the team with playoff experience this year. At the team this year. Weaken at left wing with Jenner and two non NHLer Leipsic and Rychel. Hyman has yet to play centre with year. Valiev has played for the Leafs yet and DeMelo is on LTIR. And to trade Polak and Hunwick without NHL players to take their place. It would be a dreadful and discouraging few months in the season for the guys who want a change at a playoff run.
And all those minor leaguers the Leafs give up in trades, really have little or no value to the new clubs. If they were that good, they players would be seeing NHL time.</i></div></div>

while I agree that we get weaker in the immediate future but its better to have one more sell off and accumulate a mass of assets and get younger. The two firsts would ideally help us address our right hand defensemen problem and our future pairings could look something along the lines of
Rielly-Zaitsev
Gardiner-Foote
Nielson-Liljegren
Dermott-Vailev

Essentially setting up the pairings for a decade and the forwards group as early as next year could look something along the lines of

Jenner-Mathews-Marner
Kapanen-Kadri-Nylander
Soshnikov-Tkachyov-Brown
Rychel-Gauthier-Hyman
Bracco,Lindberg, Johnson and timashov all still not in the line up
The purpose is to get the players that should be here long term and let them develop chemistry, at this point if the leafs make the playoffs, great, and it wouldn't be earth shattering that we make the playoffs with this line up considering how bad some of the other teams are playing in their conference. But I would much rather have the lineup I mentioned simply because developing for half a season this year and see the progress next year. Just the same way the sabres looked legit last year and crashed this year, the same can happen to the leafs.
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 23, 2017 at 11:27 a.m.
Thread: deadline selloff and still in playoffs
I had a feeling, wanted to get some jackets opinions on it, but with the depth our prospect pool has I think we could make it work, also for larkinisking that was in the offseason when they were coming off of a playoff appearance and thought Ladd was what would push them over the top. Now it seems a lot like they are stuck with Ladd's contract and do not have that top line winger. Hamonic is great but with Pulock ready to jump into the NHL as well as the teams expansion draft exposure problems, somethings got to give. Also, JVR has 38 points in 44 games, is on a cheaper contract and plays nearly 4 minutes less than Hall each game who has 31 points in 38 games. If you put JVR on the top line and give him 19 + minutes a game, I'm sure he could be just as significant as Hall. Also Hall and Taveres are the same player to some extent where as JVR would be a net front presence.