Quoting: ColonelX
Could also land a Dal Colle, every GM sees their draft pick with different value.
Big thing is yes you're boosting your defense right now but KK ain't ready and Poehling ain't ready so you're taking a step back on the offensive side of the puck. I wouldn't make the deal.
Yep its a gamble. Had it been the 2017 draft, I wouldn't advocate it at all since it appeared to be a weaker draft by many people's estimation. This being the draft many refer to as the best draft in a long time, that's a decent gamble to make. You're guaranteed to get
at least one of the following with that 11th pick: Either the best goalie in the draft (Askarov). One of best shooters in the draft (Quinn). One of the best centerman in the draft (Lundell), The second best dman in the draft (Sanderson), or even one of the most skilled players in the draft (Perfetti). Of course they could all be busts but there is a decent chance they won't be also. I think the odds are in your favor with one of those players moreso than one of them being a bust.
I think too many people are glancing over Dumba here. Before this year he was one of the most sought after RHD dmen in the game at his age. A 12 month injury riddled period is not the basis for which you should make your judgement on the guy. See Gallagher after that second hand injury year. 10 goals 19 assists.....Habs fans were saying to get rid of him while he had some value because his health would only be getting worse with age due to his style of play. Good thing the Habs didn't do that.
Throw on the fact that you now, replaced the 33 year old Petry with a 25 year old RHD Dumba. You can trade Petry for "X" return, further bringing back assets. Draft the 8th, 11th and maybe if you are lucky another pick later in the round from moving Petry, or a 1st next year at the very least. This team could be very well setup in every single position on the team with future prospects, ready now young roster players and solid vets to round out the roster.
This team is not done yet. I simply made the two trades to show the impact. Nothing is stopping the Habs from adding in free agency to replace Suzuki's lost production this year, if no youngsters or rookies are ready to make the next jump. I personally think KK starts in the AHL but is on the club by November at the latest. Heck they may even offer sheet Dubois or Barzal or whomever. This team could be hella better real fast but you got to take some risks at the right time.
Maybe this deal only happens at the draft when the Habs get a better idea of who might fall into their laps at 11th with that pick. Caulfield dropped to 15th. Its not impossible a guy touted for 5th-8th drops to 11th. Regardless even if no one really falls, they are getting a top prospect with that pick. Hopefully they develop them correctly but thats a another story.