Hawks decline, they are not paying for players, especially players who have underperformed for multiple years. Despite retaining 50%, if you want Chicago to take Mantha you will have to send a sweetener with him.

Sabres decline

Love Dowd, but he's not what Tampa Bay needs right now. Especially at an ask involving that many pieces.

I like TVR but that is a considerable overpay. Mantha is damaged goods, nobody is taking him w/o getting paid handsomely to do so.

Hawks counter is Colin Blackwell for Mantha, best '25 2nd, and '24 4th. Hawks don't need the retention, they need legit assets to take a 6.5 million dump for a guy that has averaged 50-60 games and 25ish points for going on 4 seasons.

Sabres can’t say “HELL NO” fast enough to that awful offer
No chance whatsoever

Not sure I give up Minnetian 1-for-1 for TVR. Between Lundkvist and Hakanpaa, the Stars have 3rd pair depth on their roster already.

IF the caps go full sell mode, I expect (just ballpark value, not with any consequential money coming back):

Carlson untouchable and not moved
Kuemper probably a 2nd round pick to the right team
TVR, Jensen ask for a first, settle for a 2nd
Pacioretty 3rd
Edmundson 3rd maybe a 2nd
Dowd ask for 1st, settle for 2nd+
Kuzy nothing at deadline, 2nd in the offseason