Sign Lindholm like Severson

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Created by: Hockey_Soul

Team: 2024-25 Columbus Blue Jackets

Initial Creation Date: Nov. 29, 2023

Published: Nov. 29, 2023

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Lindholm is an ideal 2nd line center who can easily play the top line for a year or two until Fantilli grows into that role. Much like how Severson was signed to play 1RD with Jiricek developing behind him to eventually take that slot.

Jackets can do the same thing with Lindholm that they did with Severson. Trade for his rights prior to UFA to get the 8th year incentive for him, and then structure it the same way so that the salary is front loaded in the first four years with a NMC. In the second four years his actual salary drops and the NMC becomes a M-NTC, making him much easier to move if necessary.

With the cap going up teams should be more willing to make moves this summer to bring in players that have some AAV, so Jarmo should be able to move Laine, Peeke, Boqvist, and Bean.

This signing is important because like the Provorov and Severson additions, it allows the team to be more competitive now while still allowing the young players to play and develop in a competitive culture.

The year after this, 2025-26, the Jackets will have over $20 million in cap space to re-sign Voronkov, then maybe Danforth, Olivier and/or Provorov. Those decisions will just need to be made with consideration of leaving enough room for major extensions to Fantilli, Jiricek, Johnson and potentially others in 2026-27.

With Mateychuk and others in the NHL now, the prospect pipeline looks like this:
1. Silayev
2. Dumais
3. Brindley
4. Malatesta
5. Svozil
6. Ivanov
7. Ceulemans
8. Del Bel Belluz
9. Pyyhtia
10. Whitelaw
11. Dolzhenkov
12. Richard
13. Pinelli
14. Makarov

And then somewhere in that order:
2024 2nd rounder + three 2024 3rd rounders

Then walking into 2025 with two 1st rounders. Yeesh. Look out for Columbus in 2027 boy.

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST		YEARS	CAP HIT
Brindley, Gavin		3	$910,000

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Blankenburg, Nick	1	$925,000
Johnson, Kent	2	$2,200,000
Sillinger, Cole	3	$1,950,000
Christiansen, Jake	1	$800,000
Bemström, Emil	1	$900,000
Marchenko, Kirill	8	$6,750,000
Chinakhov, Yegor	2	$2,000,000
Texier, Alexandre	2	$1,750,000
Bjork, Marcus	1	$900,000
Greaves, Jet	2	$850,000
Angle, Tyler	1	$850,000

UFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Lindholm, Elias		8	$8,500,000
Foligno, Nick		1	$1,000,000

CREATED		YEARS	CAP HIT
Silayev, Anton		3	$950,000

Trades

CBJ

Lindholm negotiation rights prior to FA

CGY

Bean, Jake [RFA Rights]

CBJ

2024 4th round pick (NJD)

VAN

Peeke, Andrew

CBJ

2024 3rd round pick (TOR)
2025 1st round pick (SEA)

SEA

Laine, Patrik

CBJ

2024 5th round pick (SJS)
2025 2nd round pick (PIT)

MTL

Boqvist, Adam

CBJ

2024 2nd round pick (CBJ)

PHI

2025 2nd round pick (CBJ)

Buyouts

Alexander Wennberg: $891,667

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2024
2025
2026

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$87,500,000	$78,886,666	$0	$4,950,000	$8,613,334

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Gaudreau, Johnny $9,750,000$9,750,000 LW NMC UFA - 5	Lindholm, Elias $8,500,000$8,500,000 C, RW UFA	Marchenko, Kirill $6,750,000$6,750,000 RW RFA
Voronkov, Dmitri $925,000$925,000 LW, C, RW RFA - 1	Fantilli, Adam $950,000$950,000 ($3,200,000$3M) C RFA - 2	Johnson, Kent $2,200,000$2,200,000 LW, C RFA
Jenner, Boone $3,750,000$3,750,000 C, LW M-NTC UFA - 2	Sillinger, Cole $1,950,000$1,950,000 C RFA	Chinakhov, Yegor $2,000,000$2,000,000 RW, LW RFA
Texier, Alexandre $1,750,000$1,750,000 LW, C, RW RFA	Kuraly, Sean $2,500,000$2,500,000 C, LW M-NTC UFA - 1	Danforth, Justin $1,100,000$1,100,000 RW, C UFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Werenski, Zachary $9,583,333$9,583,333 LD NMC UFA - 4	Severson, Damon $6,250,000$6,250,000 RD NTC UFA - 7	Merzlikins, Elvis $5,400,000$5,400,000 G M-NTC UFA - 3
Provorov, Ivan $4,725,000$4,725,000 LD UFA - 1	Jiricek, David $918,333$918,333 ($1,000,000$1M) RD RFA - 2	Tarasov, Daniil $1,050,000$1,050,000 G RFA - 1
Mateychuk, Denton $918,333$918,333 ($750,000$750K) LD RFA - 2	Gudbranson, Erik $4,000,000$4,000,000 RD M-NTC UFA - 2

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Olivier, Mathieu $1,100,000$1,100,000 RW UFA - 1
Foligno, Nick $1,000,000$1,000,000 LW, C, RW UFA - 2
Blankenburg, Nick $925,000$925,000 LD/RD UFA

Nov. 29, 2023 at 12:07 p.m.

SK101

Joined: Feb. 2022

Posts: 3,205

Likes: 2,896

I like this lineup a lot

Hockey_Soul liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 12:12 p.m.

Friendly_Cannon

Joined: Aug. 2019

Posts: 3,814

Likes: 3,286

Jarmo should be spending his final days signing marchenko to an 8 year extension like you have here. If that’s his last thing as a gm here I’ll be pretty happy.

Also adding lindholm even for the money and term would be a good idea. He’s a 1b on a contender and won’t block Fantilli as he can slot behind him fairly easily.

Hockey_Soul and squashmaple liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 12:15 p.m.

Friendly_Cannon

Joined: Aug. 2019

Posts: 3,814

Likes: 3,286

All in all I like this a lot.
I would maybe acquire one veteran winger to support the younger guys and provide some competition but overall this is decent.

I wouldn’t mind giving laine one more year to see if he can make it stick in a second line role. However if we do move on from him, I won’t be too upset.

Hockey_Soul liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 12:17 p.m.

Subbanator7667

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Joined: Jul. 2017

Posts: 7,445

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If Columbus actually drafts Silayev then they're in line to be a contender in 3-4 years.

A dcore of Jirichek - Mateychuk and Silayev would be so good. Add Fantilli as your 1C and this team would have a bright future

Hockey_Soul liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 12:19 p.m.

Hockey_Soul

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Quoting: Friendly_Cannon

I wouldn't be opposed to a veteran winger either, as long as it is the type of player who is fine with being healthy scratched. They could easily go that route instead of re-signing Bemstrom. I know everyone seems to hate him, but I think that is mostly because of the ridiculous hype and expectations put on him that he didn't live up to. He really hasn't been a bad player and is a good depth guy, but I still agree, a veteran who can be a strong leader would only help.

As for Laine, he's shown me enough already. Immensely talented, but just doesn't seem to have the mental makeup to be truly great. Seattle is a team that has been desperately searching for high-end talent to put with Beniers, so I think they'd take this shot on Laine, especially if he can rebound a bit this season and buoy his numbers.

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Nov. 29, 2023 at 12:20 p.m.

Hockey_Soul

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Quoting: Subbanator7667

Don't forget Werenski. He's still got 4 years left and after that generous contract I think he'd probably take a good deal to remain with the team and retire as an all-time Jacket.

Friendly_Cannon, Subbanator7667 and SK101 liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 12:36 p.m.

jpsnow13

You know nothing JS

Joined: Jan. 2017

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MTL wouldn't pay a 2nd+ for a Dman they don't need.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 12:36 p.m.

Hockey_Soul

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Quoting: jpsnow13

MTL wouldn't pay a 2nd+ for a Dman they don't need.

Plenty of people seem to think they do need a young RHD to replace Savard.

If they don't want him that's fine. Florida and other teams will be looking for affordable, young and talented RHD in the summer.

Friendly_Cannon liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:03 p.m.

Hockey_Soul

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Quoting: Friendly_Cannon

I would maybe acquire one veteran winger to support the younger guys and provide some competition but overall this is decent.

Check the change... How about Foligno on a 1-year deal to be the room's grandpop and retire a Jacket.

Friendly_Cannon liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:06 p.m.

#10

squashmaple

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Joined: Apr. 2022

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Quoting: Hockey_Soul

Check the change... How about Foligno on a 1-year deal to be the room's grandpop and retire a Jacket.

I would 100% love that. Please come home, Uncle Nick.

Hockey_Soul liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:15 p.m.

#11

cbjthrowaway

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 413

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i love marchenko but $54m over 8 years is very generous. he has 13 points in 21 games this year. that's 50-point pace over a full season. he's a $4-5m winger if they give him term, and closer to $3m on a bridge deal.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:20 p.m.

#12

NHLfan10506

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 40,583

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They can only get the 8th year if it is a “sign and trade” (like Severson deal). Once we get past the deadline, only his existing team can offer the 8-year max term.

If they traded for his rights…would still be limited to 7-years.

Hockey_Soul liked this.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:20 p.m.

#13

squashmaple

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Quoting: cbjthrowaway

The current trend is to lock them up early, a la Ottawa with Sanderson, NJ with Hughes, and Buffalo with Thompson. In my opinion, Marchenko is worth the gamble.

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Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:21 p.m.

#14

Hockey_Soul

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Edited Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:36 p.m.

Quoting: NHLfan10506

Yes, that is what this is intended to be, similar to the Severson deal as stated in the explanation. So you are correct, this would technically be a sign and trade.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:24 p.m.

#15

Hockey_Soul

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Quoting: cbjthrowaway

He's a $4-5 million winger right now, but seeing how he plays and the mentality he brings, I see him being an $8+ million winger in 4-5 years. Personally, I'd take the gamble to lock him up long term. Good teams do this and it keeps their championship window open longer, like how Boston did with Marchand and Pasternak, or countless other examples.

They should also have the money in 2 years to sign Fantilli, Jiricek and Johnson to good value 7-year extensions as well.

Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:40 p.m.

#16

cbjthrowaway

Joined: May 2019

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Quoting: squashmaple

The current trend is to lock them up early, a la Ottawa with Sanderson, NJ with Hughes, and Buffalo with Thompson. In my opinion, Marchenko is worth the gamble.

cannot understate how much i love marchenko's game and personality. that said, those guys aren't great comps.

hughes was 20 when he signed his deal. sanderson had just turned 21. tage was coming off of a 38-30–68 season when he signed his extension.

marchenko is 23 (much closer to being a finished product) and has a career 28-10–38 line across 80 games, which is buoyed by his 16% sh% last year. he's both less proven and more of a finished product than those three guys.

the better comp is oliver bjorkstrand's first extension with the jackets, signed in the summer of 2018 (3 years, $2.5m aav) as a 23-year-old coming off of a 40-point season. that's in line with marchenko's age and production so far. bjorkstrand's second cbj extension ($5.4m aav over 6 years) is probably the high-end comp, but he signed that after scoring at a far higher rate than marchenko has, and that one bought out 4 UFA years (i think).

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Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:43 p.m.

#17

jpsnow13

You know nothing JS

Joined: Jan. 2017

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Quoting: Hockey_Soul

Replace Savard? He is still under contract for a year and a half. Even if they traded him away right now:

Barron, Kovacevic and Lindstrom are NHL level.

Ghule, Harris and Xhekaj can also play the right side.

Reinbacher will sign before the end of the season.

And Mailloux is waiting in the AHL to be recalled.

With 9 realistic options on RHD, why would a rebuilding team pay a high pick? Zero interest from MTL.

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Nov. 29, 2023 at 1:45 p.m.

#18

Bast

First round bust

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Why would the Flames let Lindholm walk to UFA. He's going to be traded at the deadline, or signed long term(less likely)

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Nov. 29, 2023 at 2:01 p.m.

#19

Hockey_Soul

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Quoting: cbjthrowaway

I get that maybe the projection is high based on the current numbers. A lot will depend on how he finishes this season, but I value him highly and project him to be worth it. It's also 8 years, which I get is a strong committment, but it's also buying like 6 UFA years so it's going to raise the price a little bit.

Quoting: jpsnow13

Seems like a fair enough assessment. I don't watch enough MTL games to know, so was going off of numerous users here that seemed to have interest in him.

Quoting: Bast

Why would the Flames let Lindholm walk to UFA. He's going to be traded at the deadline, or signed long term(less likely)

Fair point. I guess if he is traded at the deadline and is a UFA next season, CBJ would only be able to offer him 7 years.

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