Quoting: Hawksguy81
Without retention, not less than a 1st. If the pick is a 2nd, then the prospect needs to be a lot closer to a "can't miss" guy than Heinosalmi. He's a smaller guy, which Hawks are moving away from on their blue line, and he seems to be having his struggles playing in his own end. He strikes me as Ian Mitchell 2.0.
Murphy is declining and didn't look very good last year and this year has been even worse. There is not a team that is going to offer a 1st without retention. Two years ago that was very realistic, last year maybe assuming he just had a down year, but this year not at all with an even worse year. Without retention he's worth a 2nd rounder at best, so a 2nd with a decent prospect is a very good offer that the Hawks would be silly to not seriously consider.
According to The Athletic, who just did player cards and rankings for all players, Murphy's market value is $800k. Compared to other d-men, he's in the 15% for offense, 11% defense, goals against 11%, blocks 96%, PK 62%. In other words, his 5 on 5 play is not very good with the exception of blocks and his PK is better than average....other than that he's not been good this season and was showing a fair amount of decline last season. The eye test backs this up as well.
I'm a huge murphy fan (was), but it's time to face reality that he's declining fast, battles injuries, and besides being a mentor for the youth is not anywhere worth his cap hit.